AEK Larnaca face Anorthosis on 15 November 2026 in Division A, with the Pythia model designating AEK Larnaca as the clear favourite at 96% to win, a reflection of their undefeated 5-0 season record, 89.6 points scored per game and 69.6 allowed, and a league position of 1; Anorthosis sit at the bottom with a 0-5 record, 75.0 points per game and 82.2 allowed, and a league position of 9. AEK Larnaca have won both of their home games, averaging 85.0 points and conceding 70.0, while Anorthosis have lost all three of their road contests, scoring 79.0 and allowing 87.3. In the last five games, AEK Larnaca went 3-2, including a 103-78 win over Morphou and a 76-78 loss to Wurzburg, whereas Anorthosis went 0-5, with defeats to AEL, Keravnos and Morphou. Historically, AEK Larnaca have dominated the rivalry 9-1, most recently beating Anorthosis 81-64 on 31 January 2026. The model projects a 93-71 score, 163.9 total points, a home line of -23.5 with a 43% chance of covering, an over line of 159.5 with a 61% chance of the over, and a 1% likelihood of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 89.6 | 69.6 | 159.2 | +20.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 85.0 | 70.0 | 155.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 92.7 | 69.3 | 162.0 | +23.3 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.2 | 76.3 | 161.5 | +8.9 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.0 | 73.4 | 156.4 | +9.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 73.2 | 79.5 | 152.8 | -6.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (7) | 78.0 | 76.6 | 154.6 | +1.4 | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 88.2 | 76.0 | 164.2 | +12.2 | 89% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 75.0 | 82.2 | 157.2 | -7.2 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 69.0 | 74.5 | 143.5 | -5.5 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 79.0 | 87.3 | 166.3 | -8.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.7 | 85.2 | 163.9 | -6.5 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.0 | 82.2 | 157.2 | -7.2 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 72.3 | 87.3 | 159.5 | -15.0 | 13% |
| vs Similar (10) | 78.4 | 83.3 | 161.7 | -4.9 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 72.2 | 67.0 | 139.2 | +5.2 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.9 | 40.1 | 84.0 | +3.8 | 50% | 77% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 45.7 | 39.4 | 85.1 | +6.4 | 57% | 71% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.3 | 40.7 | 83.0 | +1.6 | 44% | 81% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.4 | 38.0 | 84.4 | +8.4 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.4 | 35.8 | 81.2 | +9.6 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 38.5 | 42.8 | 81.2 | -4.2 | 25% | 100% |
| vs Similar (7) | 40.3 | 39.1 | 79.4 | +1.1 | 29% | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 46.9 | 39.6 | 86.5 | +7.3 | 67% | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.4 | 40.7 | 77.1 | -4.3 | 37% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.1 | 41.3 | 79.3 | -3.2 | 47% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 34.7 | 40.1 | 74.8 | -5.3 | 27% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.2 | 41.6 | 81.8 | -1.4 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.4 | 40.8 | 80.2 | -1.4 | 20% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 35.6 | 42.8 | 78.4 | -7.2 | 27% | 53% |
| vs Similar (10) | 36.3 | 40.8 | 77.1 | -4.5 | 40% | 60% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 39.0 | 34.0 | 73.0 | +5.0 | 60% | 40% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anorthosis over 65.5 | 71.7% | 1.49 | 1.49 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp |
| Anorthosis over 64.5 | 75.0% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +13.2pp |
| AEK Larnaca over 87.5 | 70.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.7 | 22.7 | 52.0% | 45.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.0 | 7.4 | 34.4% | 22.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.0 | 16.1 | 72.9% | 16.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.5 | 18.1 | 52.0% | 36.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.7 | 9.4 | 34.4% | 28.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.6 | 13.3 | 72.9% | 13.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 | AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis | 81-64 |
| 16/11/25 | Anorthosis v AEK Larnaca | 83-97 |
| 08/05/25 | AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis | 88-73 |
| 04/05/25 | Anorthosis v AEK Larnaca | 70-86 |
| 01/05/25 | AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis | 82-63 |
| 16/03/25 | AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis | 89-83 |
| 12/02/25 | Anorthosis v AEK Larnaca | 82-88 |
| 05/12/24 | AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis | 76-73 |
| 21/04/24 | AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis | 88-76 |
| 19/01/24 | Anorthosis v AEK Larnaca | 82-72 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Wurzburg | 76-78 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Morphou | 103-78 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Iraklis | 64-81 |
| 31/10/26 | H | ETHA Engomi | 87-61 |
| 27/10/26 | A | MZT Skopje | 85-69 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Paralimni | 85-74 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Tartu Ulikool | 99-93 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Apoel BC | 83-79 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Dziki Warszawa | 80-94 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Apollon | 90-56 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | AEL | 74-82 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Keravnos | 84-94 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Morphou | 74-76 |
| 19/10/26 | H | ETHA Engomi | 64-67 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Paralimni | 79-92 |
| 07/03/26 | H | ETHA Engomi | 90-78 |
| 13/02/26 | A | Apoel BC | 71-94 |
| 07/02/26 | H | AEL | 89-93 |
| 31/01/26 | A | AEK Larnaca | 64-81 |
| 26/01/26 | H | Apollon | 98-95 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 89.6 | 85.0 | 92.7 |
| Allowed / game | 69.6 | 70.0 | 69.3 |
| Point differential | +20.0 | +15.0 | +23.3 |
| Avg total | 159.2 | 155.0 | 162.0 |
| Over 159.5 | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 75.0 | 69.0 | 79.0 |
| Allowed / game | 82.2 | 74.5 | 87.3 |
| Point differential | -7.2 | -5.5 | -8.3 |
| Avg total | 157.2 | 143.5 | 166.3 |
| Over 159.5 | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 89.6 | 69.6 | +20.0 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 75.2 | +14.8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 77.8 | 70.0 | +7.8 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.7 | 79.2 | +5.5 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 77.3 | 75.2 | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 69.7 | 72.3 | -2.7 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 70.0 | 79.3 | -9.3 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 70.0 | 83.0 | -13.0 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 75.0 | 82.2 | -7.2 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 74.4 | 91.6 | -17.2 |
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