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Rostock vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 93-65
12-26 30-12 22-16 29-11
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game74.7
Rostock 🏆
vs
Position#42
Record0-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game104.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Stadthalle Rostock
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-70
99
70
+29
97avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
86-116
86
116
-30
76avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
56avg 75
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
81-85
81
85
-4
68avg 75
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
122-113 OT
122
113
+9
no box
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
101-72
101
72
+29
103avg 75
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 75
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
89-94
89
94
-5
83avg 75
A20/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
22-19
33-20
21-19
29-29
17-22
18-30
22-35
14-12
28-26
17-27
20-14
20-24
19-18
15-21
22-21
23-19
12-20
23-25
23-21
19-25
26-22
27-34
21-12
22-16
25-15
26-21
28-20
22-15
26-19
17-24
28-16
27-24
18-22
20-15
11-17
17-28
25-20
29-23
18-23
178.8Avg total
91.5Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.074.7164.7+15.367%
Season at home (1)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)88.575.0163.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)91.587.3178.8+4.250%
Last 5 (5)96.286.2182.4+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.291.3169.6-13.125%
vs Similar (10)82.284.9167.1-2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)94.982.1177.0+12.771%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
A11/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
no box
H13/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
no box
A16/05
Korisliiga
Nes Ziona
#16
L
56-92
56
92
-36
47avg 68
H26/09
Champions League
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 68
A03/10
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 68
H07/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 68
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
83avg 68
H14/10
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
L
88-104
88
104
-16
76avg 68
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 68
A21/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
16-29
18-21
22-19
17-12
12-23
22-21
20-15
12-28
14-20
21-17
19-26
20-19
13-20
11-27
12-26
21-16
22-25
20-19
18-26
12-17
15-25
12-20
28-18
28-13
21-24
8-19
15-13
26-15
18-20
20-27
24-18
14-18
27-24
16-31
31-31
24-20
29-26
23-18
12-15
160.6Avg total
76.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.0104.0192.0-16.00%
Season at home (1)88.0104.0192.0-16.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.484.2160.6-7.840%
Last 5 (5)80.682.4163.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (14)75.381.2156.5-5.936%
vs Weaker (15)90.179.1169.1+11.087%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
RostockKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/10
BBL
84.1Avg total
43.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.183.0-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.940.581.5+0.462%-
Last 30 away (17)40.943.284.1-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.784.1+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.286.6+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.746.485.1-7.825%-
vs Similar (10)42.039.981.9+2.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.437.781.1+5.757%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H13/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A16/05
Korisliiga
Nes Ziona
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H26/09
Champions League
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/10
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H07/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H14/10
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A21/10
Korisliiga
79.4Avg total
38.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.780.0+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.436.678.0+4.753%-
Last 30 away (13)41.441.382.7+0.154%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.079.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.483.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (14)37.739.977.6-2.243%-
vs Weaker (15)45.337.582.8+7.967%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.7
51.2%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.3
38.7%
33.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.1
75.4%
73.0%14.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.916.9
47.0%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.29.5
29.5%
33.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.111.6
72.1%
73.0%11.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLWWWLLWLW
Karhu Basket
WLWWLLLLWL
#5
League position
#42
-5.4
Net rating
-11.4
110.9
Offensive rating
96.3
116.3
Defensive rating
107.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
45.7%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
20.0%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.7%
3-point %
29.5%
64.8%
Assist %
59.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 96.3Defence116.3 · 107.7Shooting54.1% · 45.7%3-point %38.7% · 29.5%Ball care18.6% · 20.0%Off. rebounds31.0% · 32.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
0
Karhu Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23AOldenburg89-94
18/10/23AAEK Larnaca76-78
05/10/23HKeravnos93-74
04/10/23AFeniks 2010101-72
01/10/23HHeidelberg122-113 OT
29/09/23ACrailsheim Merlins81-85
23/09/23AVechta76-84
07/05/23HLudwigsburg92-87 OT
05/05/23AUlm86-116
30/04/23HBayreuth99-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AKouvot Kouvola88-79
18/10/23HJonava88-104
14/10/23HKataja88-80
11/10/23ASalon Vilpas72-69
07/10/23HBC Nokia67-80
03/10/23AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-86
26/09/23HNes Ziona56-92
16/05/23AHelsinki Seagulls66-91
13/05/23HHelsinki Seagulls79-76 OT
11/05/23AHelsinki Seagulls79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game90.093.088.5
Allowed / game74.774.075.0
Point differential+15.3+19.0+13.5
Avg total164.7167.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karhu Basket
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game104.0104.0-
Point differential-16.0-16.0-
Avg total192.0192.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz110100%98.072.0+26.0
2 Legia110100%85.062.0+23.0
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Varese110100%95.080.0+15.0
5 Manisa440100%84.871.5+13.2
6 Caledonia Gladiators110100%80.068.0+12.0
7 Balkan110100%88.078.0+10.0
8 Trepca220100%77.068.0+9.0
9 Basket Zaragoza330100%88.780.0+8.7
10 Leiden110100%77.069.0+8.0
11 Gottingen110100%86.081.0+5.0
12 Mornar Bar110100%80.075.0+5.0
13 AEK Larnaca220100%82.578.0+4.5
14 Bilbao110100%83.079.0+4.0
15 Sporting CP110100%83.079.0+4.0
16 Spojnia Stargard110100%92.089.0+3.0
17 Levice110100%93.091.0+2.0
18 Nymburk110100%89.088.0+1.0
19 FC Porto43175%84.578.2+6.2
20 Rostock32167%90.074.7+15.3
21 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
22 Sabah Baku53260%77.677.4+0.2
23 Bahcesehir Kol.21150%85.577.0+8.5
24 CSM Oradea21150%89.083.0+6.0
25 Jonava21150%92.087.5+4.5
26 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
27 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
28 TSU21150%72.073.0-1.0
29 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
30 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
31 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Keravnos41325%80.277.8+2.5
34 Kataja41325%75.583.8-8.2
35 Den Bosch1010%89.092.0-3.0
36 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
37 Anwil Wloclawek1010%79.083.0-4.0
38 Brindisi1010%87.091.0-4.0
39 Alba Fehervar2020%78.585.5-7.0
40 Gravelines-Dunkerque1010%69.077.0-8.0
41 Bakken Bears2020%77.085.5-8.5
42 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
43 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
44 CSU Sibiu1010%68.080.0-12.0
45 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
46 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
47 Karhu Basket1010%88.0104.0-16.0
48 Norrkoping2020%61.579.0-17.5
49 Peja1010%72.098.0-26.0
50 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1230222993
Karhu Basket2612161165
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