PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEK Larnaca vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-96
20-27 16-25 20-23 13-21
Position#29
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game89.0
AEK Larnaca
vs
Tofas 🏆
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Kition Athletic Center
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
93avg 82
H21/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
85-71
85
71
+14
88avg 82
H26/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
79avg 82
A30/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
84avg 82
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 82
H15/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
61avg 82
A19/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
74-61
74
61
+13
78avg 82
H23/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
63-68
63
68
-5
58avg 82
A27/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 82
H30/05
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
59-89
59
89
-30
41avg 82
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
19-25
19-15
24-20
24-13
23-14
16-14
22-30
15-11
30-26
18-22
23-26
21-16
20-27
22-21
25-10
21-9
19-20
13-19
18-16
20-28
12-24
26-26
16-14
20-17
11-16
24-16
19-12
16-18
15-16
15-22
17-12
17-23
22-20
15-17
23-24
21-12
11-20
15-29
12-28
152.9Avg total
76.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)59.089.0148.0-30.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)59.089.0148.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)76.576.4152.9+0.160%
Last 5 (5)69.478.8148.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)59.089.0148.0-30.00%
vs Similar (10)76.176.8152.9-0.740%
vs Weaker (19)94.769.7164.4+24.9100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
73-94
73
94
-21
62avg 81
H07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
89avg 81
H10/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
55-78
55
78
-23
47avg 81
A17/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
W
111-91
111
91
+20
117avg 81
H21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 81
A28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 81
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
92avg 81
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
99-95
99
95
+4
96avg 81
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
99-81
99
81
+18
104avg 81
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 81
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
19-29
17-17
16-21
21-26
22-12
25-25
22-18
11-26
20-21
10-18
14-13
22-21
32-25
28-27
29-18
27-17
17-17
20-26
26-25
23-29
20-22
21-15
16-12
21-29
26-24
21-22
29-22
30-30
24-20
19-23
26-22
30-15
19-14
16-33
34-19
24-22
19-23
20-14
17-17
174.5Avg total
87.9Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)99.081.0180.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)99.081.0180.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.986.6174.5+1.370%
Last 5 (5)92.087.4179.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.988.6171.5-5.730%
vs Similar (15)84.683.9168.5+0.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.281.0168.2+6.260%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
AEK LarnacaTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H21/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H26/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A30/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H15/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A19/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H23/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A27/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/05
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
75.4Avg total
38.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.535.979.5+7.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.936.381.2+8.669%-
Last 30 away (14)41.935.577.4+6.457%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.175.4+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.871.8-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)32.032.064.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (10)37.239.576.7-2.330%-
vs Weaker (19)47.534.381.7+13.284%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A17/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
89.7Avg total
44.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.084.0-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.942.187.1+2.867%-
Last 30 away (15)36.943.980.9-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.989.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.692.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.345.585.8-5.250%-
vs Similar (15)41.042.983.9-1.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.038.480.4+3.660%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.8
53.9%
52.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.7
27.5%
34.0%17.1
🏀 Free throws24.417.2
70.5%
72.6%17.2
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.7
58.1%
52.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.0
35.6%
34.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.916.8
80.4%
72.6%16.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
LLLWLWWWWW
Tofas
WWWLWWWLWL
#29
League position
#4
+1.0
Net rating
+0.4
105.3
Offensive rating
116.2
104.3
Defensive rating
115.8
49.5%
Effective FG%
56.0%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.5%
3-point %
35.6%
66.4%
Assist %
74.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 116.2Defence104.3 · 115.8Shooting49.5% · 56.0%3-point %27.5% · 35.6%Ball care18.0% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.4% · 25.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24ABasketball Braunschweig59-89
30/05/24HKeravnos77-84
27/05/24AKeravnos63-68
23/05/24HKeravnos74-61
19/05/24AKeravnos74-92
15/05/24HKeravnos71-64
08/05/24HApoel BC88-74
30/04/24AApoel BC86-85
26/04/24HApoel BC85-71
21/04/24HAnorthosis88-76
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AGalatasaray80-76
09/10/24HKeravnos99-81
05/10/24HBesiktas99-95
04/05/24HGalatasaray102-107 OT
01/05/24AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor80-78
28/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.90-85
21/04/24HKarsiyaka111-91
17/04/24ATenerife55-78
10/04/24HTenerife90-81
07/04/24HBuyukcekmece73-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game59.0-59.0
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential-30.0--30.0
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Tofas
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game99.099.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total180.0180.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek110100%114.071.0+43.0
2 Dijon330100%106.071.3+34.7
3 Basketball Braunschweig110100%89.059.0+30.0
4 Bilbao330100%88.060.0+28.0
5 Ludwigsburg110100%86.062.0+24.0
6 Maroussi440100%96.276.5+19.8
7 Tofas110100%99.081.0+18.0
8 BC Kalev/Cramo220100%76.562.0+14.5
9 Cholet220100%92.078.0+14.0
10 Levice220100%89.576.0+13.5
11 Sassari110100%82.069.0+13.0
12 FC Porto110100%77.068.0+9.0
13 PAOK110100%74.070.0+4.0
14 Arges Pitesti110100%67.065.0+2.0
15 CSM Oradea110100%77.075.0+2.0
16 Anorthosis32167%80.077.3+2.7
17 BC Prievidza32167%87.786.0+1.7
18 Le Portel21150%83.569.5+14.0
19 Basket Zaragoza21150%93.090.0+3.0
20 Antwerp Giants21150%84.582.0+2.5
21 Alba Fehervar42250%90.594.5-4.0
22 Spirou Charleroi31233%74.376.3-2.0
23 Sporting CP31233%72.374.3-2.0
24 CSM Constanta31233%74.376.7-2.3
25 BC Dnipro31233%71.089.0-18.0
26 Parnu1010%65.067.0-2.0
27 Spojnia Stargard1010%75.077.0-2.0
28 Limburg1010%70.074.0-4.0
29 Sabah Baku2020%75.582.0-6.5
30 Kutaisi1010%69.077.0-8.0
31 Szolnoki Olaj1010%68.077.0-9.0
32 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
33 Fribourg Olympic1010%75.090.0-15.0
34 Keravnos1010%81.099.0-18.0
35 Norrkoping1010%80.099.0-19.0
36 Rilski Sportist2020%74.593.5-19.0
37 Bursaspor1010%84.0106.0-22.0
38 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
39 Caledonia Gladiators1010%62.086.0-24.0
40 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
41 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
42 AEK Larnaca1010%59.089.0-30.0
43 Balkan1010%55.095.0-40.0
44 Trepca1010%73.0118.0-45.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2016201369
Tofas2725232196
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.