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Tofas vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 111-91
22-21 32-25 28-27 29-18
Position#11
Record10-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game87.4
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#4
Record19-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game84.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 28· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tofas v Karsiyaka
23 Apr 2027
TOF v KAR
upcoming
03 May 2026
TOF87
KAR78
17 May 2025
TOF90
KAR76
21 Apr 2024
TOF111
KAR91
05 Mar 2023
TOF81
KAR86
12 Dec 2021
TOF69
KAR71
30 Mar 2021
TOF90
KAR79
17 Oct 2020
TOF78
KAR88
07 Dec 2019
TOF94
KAR88
26 Jan 2019
TOF93
KAR91
15 Apr 2018
TOF94
KAR75
21 Jan 2017
TOF80
KAR86
06 Nov 2012
TOF63
KAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
92avg 80
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 80
H13/03
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
82avg 80
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
59avg 80
A19/03
Champions League
Darussafaka
#13
L
83-90
83
90
-7
82avg 80
H24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
98avg 80
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 80
A03/04
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
73-94
73
94
-21
62avg 80
H07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
89avg 80
H10/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
55-78
55
78
-23
47avg 80
A17/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
23-28
31-16
22-28
28-23
17-20
23-18
8-19
15-25
21-20
30-22
17-20
16-30
16-21
18-12
15-15
14-26
23-19
25-15
21-30
24-14
27-25
20-29
24-21
16-21
19-10
20-24
22-28
21-27
19-29
17-17
16-21
21-26
22-12
25-25
22-18
11-26
20-21
10-18
14-13
164.5Avg total
79.0Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.887.4172.2-2.538%
Season at home (13)87.684.8172.4+2.854%
Season away (13)82.190.0172.1-7.923%
Last 10 (10)79.085.5164.5-6.520%
Last 5 (5)78.085.0163.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.588.8165.3-12.310%
vs Similar (14)83.482.9166.3+0.443%
vs Weaker (6)92.276.0168.2+16.267%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#8
W
102-68
102
68
+34
108avg 84
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Peristeri
#15
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 84
A06/03
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
92avg 84
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
71avg 84
A13/03
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
98-97
98
97
+1
102avg 84
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
98-87
98
87
+11
96avg 84
H19/03
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
66-115
66
115
-49
58avg 84
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
94avg 84
H30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 84
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
103-71
103
71
+32
102avg 84
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
23-14
26-25
27-12
19-20
20-13
11-16
23-27
24-21
25-19
21-19
23-28
22-21
19-21
21-28
17-18
27-27
25-17
19-17
27-36
30-19
17-27
21-19
30-22
12-30
23-31
17-32
14-22
31-16
25-23
15-19
21-18
23-20
24-19
18-26
27-21
25-22
28-10
24-15
26-24
174.7Avg total
89.6Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.184.0173.0+5.170%
Season at home (14)93.580.4173.9+13.186%
Season away (13)84.387.8172.1-3.554%
Last 10 (10)89.685.1174.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)90.287.0177.2+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.291.4173.6-9.220%
vs Similar (12)86.785.1171.8+1.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.782.3172.0+7.358%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
TofasKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/03
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A19/03
Champions League
Darussafaka
#13
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A03/04
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A17/04
Champions League
83.6Avg total
39.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.282.5-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.041.785.7+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.879.3-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.683.6-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.282.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.345.082.3-7.730%-
vs Similar (14)40.543.083.5-2.543%-
vs Weaker (6)44.735.880.5+8.883%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#8
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Peristeri
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A06/03
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A13/03
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/03
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.5Avg total
46.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.139.183.2+5.080%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.738.485.1+8.393%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.881.3+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)46.840.787.5+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.643.491.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.444.084.4-3.640%-
vs Similar (12)46.240.586.7+5.792%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.435.879.2+7.683%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.517.7
58.0%
53.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.8
31.9%
36.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.816.2
77.9%
74.7%16.2
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.4
57.1%
53.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.49.5
42.4%
36.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.819.5
78.6%
74.7%19.5
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWLLWLLLLL
Karsiyaka
WWWLWWLWLW
#11
League position
#4
-9.1
Net rating
+6.1
109.1
Offensive rating
120.2
118.2
Defensive rating
114.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
59.6%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.43
31.9%
3-point %
42.4%
74.3%
Assist %
66.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 120.2Defence118.2 · 114.2Shooting53.2% · 59.6%3-point %31.9% · 42.4%Ball care17.5% · 14.7%Off. rebounds26.1% · 21.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Tofas   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tofas wins
7
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
24/12/23Karsiyaka v Tofas98-71
05/03/23Tofas v Karsiyaka81-86
21/10/22Karsiyaka v Tofas72-83
09/04/22Karsiyaka v Tofas79-78
12/12/21Tofas v Karsiyaka69-71
30/03/21Tofas v Karsiyaka90-79
03/03/21Karsiyaka v Tofas78-70
31/01/21Karsiyaka v Tofas90-71
17/10/20Tofas v Karsiyaka78-88
07/12/19Tofas v Karsiyaka94-88
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24ATenerife55-78
10/04/24HTenerife90-81
07/04/24HBuyukcekmece73-94
03/04/24ATenerife77-83
29/03/24ABursaspor95-89
24/03/24HDarussafaka83-90
19/03/24AStrasbourg65-78
16/03/24ATurk Telekom83-87
13/03/24HUnicaja76-80
10/03/24HAnadolu Efes93-95
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HSamsunspor103-71
06/04/24AGalatasaray92-86
30/03/24HBahcesehir Kol.92-76
23/03/24ABesiktas66-115
19/03/24HHapoel Jerusalem98-87
16/03/24AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor98-97
13/03/24ATenerife79-88
10/03/24HBuyukcekmece93-87
06/03/24APeristeri73-76
01/03/24ABursaspor102-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeWWLLL54%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%54%23%
Points / game84.887.682.1
Allowed / game87.484.890.0
Point differential-2.5+2.8-7.9
Avg total172.2172.4172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%86%54%
Points / game89.193.584.3
Allowed / game84.080.487.8
Point differential+5.1+13.1-3.5
Avg total173.0173.9172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes2724389%87.280.1+7.1
2 Fenerbahce2823582%91.675.2+16.4
3 Besiktas2719870%81.074.9+6.1
4 Karsiyaka2719870%89.184.0+5.1
5 Manisa28151354%82.283.9-1.7
6 Petkim Spor28141450%82.882.1+0.6
7 Galatasaray27131448%83.282.7+0.6
8 Bursaspor28131546%82.484.6-2.1
9 Turk Telekom27121544%81.681.5+0.1
10 Buyukcekmece28121643%81.781.5+0.2
11 Bahcesehir Kol.28121643%86.887.0-0.2
12 Darussafaka28121643%80.985.0-4.1
13 Merkezefendi28111739%80.185.1-5.1
14 Tofas26101638%84.887.4-2.5
15 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor2781930%80.485.1-4.7
16 Samsunspor2832511%73.589.0-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas22322829111
Karsiyaka2125271891
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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