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AEL vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-69
19-15 19-20 19-21 20-13
Position#3
Record15-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game74.8
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Position#6
Record9-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game83.1
CyprusDivision ARound 26· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · AEL v Paralimni
17 Oct 2026
AEL89
PARA77
31 Mar 2026
AEL99
PARA82
02 Feb 2026
AEL75
PARA74
15 Apr 2025
AEL77
PARA69
26 Oct 2024
AEL99
PARA67
12 Feb 2024
AEL86
PARA42
16 Dec 2022
AEL92
PARA78
23 Jan 2022
AEL81
PARA75
24 Oct 2020
AEL65
PARA75
09 Feb 2020
AEL81
PARA60
25 Jan 2020
AEL79
PARA63
02 Mar 2019
AEL79
PARA63
19 Jan 2019
AEL80
PARA61
18 Feb 2015
AEL0
PARA20
31 Jan 2015
AEL0
PARA20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paralimni winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
66-80
66
80
-14
56avg 80
H18/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 80
A24/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
94-91
94
91
+3
84avg 80
H31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 80
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
100-70
100
70
+30
98avg 80
H27/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
87-58
87
58
+29
86avg 80
A07/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
76-57
76
57
+19
71avg 80
H12/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
75avg 80
A16/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
89avg 80
H29/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-87
60
87
-27
49avg 80
A01/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
12-22
14-21
16-23
19-13
21-29
26-22
28-14
22-29
27-15
20-17
25-30
20-25
31-18
24-23
16-15
29-16
27-19
20-20
24-15
16-19
25-10
24-20
22-9
16-14
18-19
20-13
22-11
24-23
17-24
20-29
26-24
20-13
23-23
24-14
19-22
22-22
17-34
7-22
14-9
161.5Avg total
84.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.374.8161.1+11.568%
Season at home (11)91.170.8161.9+20.391%
Season away (11)81.578.8160.3+2.645%
Last 10 (10)84.177.4161.5+6.770%
Last 5 (5)79.274.8154.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.284.5157.7-11.320%
vs Similar (2)57.568.0125.5-10.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.270.9160.2+18.383%
This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParalimni
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#5
L
71-98
71
98
-27
71avg 73
A26/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
70-52
70
52
+18
68avg 73
H01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
84avg 73
A06/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
63avg 73
H11/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
65-83
65
83
-18
56avg 73
A28/02
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
98-71
98
71
+27
96avg 73
H12/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
86-71
86
71
+15
84avg 73
A17/03
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
97avg 73
H23/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
69avg 73
A28/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
62-87
62
87
-25
49avg 73
H01/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
22-24
19-22
9-26
23-15
15-14
24-8
8-15
20-20
25-22
19-23
18-21
20-18
16-18
12-24
18-20
16-29
11-21
16-19
22-14
20-13
28-15
29-18
21-25
20-15
19-15
29-21
18-20
17-15
26-17
24-22
13-26
19-15
19-34
23-23
10-17
16-21
17-22
18-17
11-27
159.3Avg total
77.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.883.1161.9-4.441%
Season at home (11)81.979.7161.6+2.255%
Season away (11)75.686.5162.2-10.927%
Last 10 (10)77.282.1159.3-4.930%
Last 5 (5)83.684.4168.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)65.790.2155.9-24.610%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (9)86.375.7162.0+10.778%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -6.3-6.3
AELParalimni
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H27/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A07/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A16/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H29/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A01/04
Division A
83.1Avg total
43.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.982.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.938.080.9+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)41.341.682.9-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.183.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.043.881.8-5.820%-
vs Similar (2)23.540.063.5-16.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.437.784.1+8.783%-
This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#5
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A06/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A28/02
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H12/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/03
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H23/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A28/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H01/04
Division A
77.9Avg total
39.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.979.0-4.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.335.974.2+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)35.947.983.8-11.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.977.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.476.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.245.379.6-11.129%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (9)43.833.977.7+9.989%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.0
49.3%
51.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.3
33.2%
34.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.513.4
72.4%
70.5%13.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paralimni: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
51.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.5
31.9%
34.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.113.3
69.6%
70.5%13.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
LWLWWWWWWL
Paralimni
LLLWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#6
+8.3
Net rating
-6.6
109.3
Offensive rating
98.0
101.1
Defensive rating
104.6
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
21.4%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.2%
3-point %
31.9%
67.0%
Assist %
65.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 98.0Defence101.1 · 104.6Shooting49.5% · 51.0%3-point %33.2% · 31.9%Ball care15.8% · 21.4%Off. rebounds34.8% · 25.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ AEL   ■ Paralimni
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEL wins
5
Paralimni wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Paralimni v AEL93-88
26/10/24AEL v Paralimni99-67
12/02/24AEL v Paralimni86-42
24/11/23Paralimni v AEL70-78
17/02/23Paralimni v AEL104-103 OT
16/12/22AEL v Paralimni92-78
23/01/22AEL v Paralimni81-75
23/10/21Paralimni v AEL86-73
13/12/20Paralimni v AEL85-64
24/10/20AEL v Paralimni65-75
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25AApoel BC60-87
29/03/25HAnorthosis86-72
16/03/25AKeravnos87-100
12/03/25HAEK Larnaca76-57
07/03/25AAchilleas K.87-58
27/02/25HETHA Engomi100-70
12/02/25AApollon91-81
31/01/25HKeravnos94-91
24/01/25AApoel BC94-78
18/01/25HAEK Larnaca66-80
Paralimnilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25HKeravnos62-87
28/03/25AAEK Larnaca71-89
23/03/25HAchilleas K.101-104 OT
17/03/25AETHA Engomi86-71
12/03/25HApollon98-71
28/02/25AApoel BC65-83
11/02/25HApoel BC66-80
06/02/25AAEK Larnaca82-86
01/02/25HAchilleas K.70-52
26/01/25AAnorthosis71-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayWWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%91%45%
Points / game86.391.181.5
Allowed / game74.870.878.8
Point differential+11.5+20.3+2.6
Avg total161.1161.9160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%73%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paralimni
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%55%27%
Points / game78.881.975.6
Allowed / game83.179.786.5
Point differential-4.4+2.2-10.9
Avg total161.9161.6162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca2221195%85.470.4+15.0
2 Keravnos2218482%95.680.2+15.4
3 AEL2215768%86.374.8+11.5
4 Apoel BC23131057%83.080.3+2.7
5 Anorthosis22121055%87.682.2+5.4
6 Paralimni2291341%78.883.1-4.4
7 Apollon2271532%83.592.5-9.0
8 ETHA Engomi2231914%74.588.0-13.5
9 Achilleas K.232219%67.489.7-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL1919192077
Paralimni1520211369
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