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Paralimni vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-79
21-13 19-33 16-20 21-13
Position#5
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.8
vs
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
Position#3
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game83.0
CyprusDivision ARound 7· Paralimni Basket Stadium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paralimni v AEL
11 Dec 2026
PARA v AEL
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
PARA77
AEL79
05 Jan 2025
PARA93
AEL88
24 Nov 2023
PARA70
AEL78
17 Feb 2023
PARA104
AEL103
23 Oct 2021
PARA86
AEL73
13 Dec 2020
PARA85
AEL64
30 Nov 2019
PARA74
AEL80
14 Oct 2018
PARA75
AEL64
31 Oct 2014
PARA20
AEL0
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paralimni winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParalimniCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParalimni
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
69avg 71
A28/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
62-87
62
87
-25
49avg 71
H01/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
62avg 71
A15/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
42avg 71
H23/04
Division A
Morphou
#8
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
42avg 71
A05/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
54avg 71
A11/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
71-54
71
54
+17
60avg 71
H19/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
84-66
84
66
+18
73avg 71
A26/10
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 71
H31/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 71
A08/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
19-34
23-23
10-17
16-21
17-22
18-17
11-27
15-19
20-19
21-19
13-20
26-23
17-16
16-18
14-23
18-20
21-19
21-24
19-16
20-28
18-19
16-20
16-19
14-11
18-7
19-15
20-21
22-20
14-13
28-19
20-14
23-13
19-27
24-18
22-26
26-20
23-22
17-20
16-28
155.4Avg total
75.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.877.8157.7+2.050%
Season at home (2)79.569.0148.5+10.5100%
Season away (4)80.082.2162.2-2.225%
Last 10 (10)75.480.0155.4-4.630%
Last 5 (5)79.076.0155.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.587.1160.6-13.612%
vs Similar ◀ (2)79.569.0148.5+10.5100%
vs Weaker (11)85.975.8161.7+10.173%
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
W
96-66
96
66
+30
48avg 74
A23/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
49avg 74
A30/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 74
H03/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
85-102
85
102
-17
74avg 74
A07/05
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
80-62
80
62
+18
74avg 74
H03/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 74
A11/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
63avg 74
H19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
63avg 74
H24/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 74
A01/11
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
77avg 74
H09/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
25-15
22-24
24-18
20-20
19-17
14-20
13-21
20-16
22-24
12-24
18-17
21-24
24-22
21-26
19-30
28-20
17-13
21-19
14-10
17-20
10-25
23-25
22-18
23-24
16-17
21-20
17-26
19-31
25-26
14-22
19-17
18-21
31-18
22-23
17-17
26-16
22-24
22-21
20-25
162.8Avg total
80.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.783.0163.7-2.350%
Season at home (4)81.082.8163.8-1.850%
Season away (2)80.083.5163.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)80.382.5162.8-2.240%
Last 5 (5)80.887.2168.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.884.9160.7-9.118%
vs Similar ◀ (2)78.579.0157.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (17)88.273.2161.4+14.982%
This opponent (Paralimni) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
ParalimniAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A28/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H01/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A15/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H23/04
Division A
Morphou
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A11/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
32-18
32
18
+14
H19/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A26/10
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H31/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A08/11
Division A
77.3Avg total
38.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.379.5+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.034.775.7+6.371%-
Last 30 away (16)39.443.382.8-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.877.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.075.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.943.882.7-4.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.029.066.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (11)42.634.376.9+8.482%-
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
W
50-24
50
24
+26
A23/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A30/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/05
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A11/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H24/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A01/11
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H09/11
Division A
83.0Avg total
42.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.482.8+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.982.3+6.580%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.983.3+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.283.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.485.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.241.881.0-2.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)44.545.089.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (17)45.937.283.2+8.782%-
This opponent (Paralimni) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paralimni: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.7
49.9%
51.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.2
29.1%
32.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.1
70.6%
71.5%15.1
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.2
52.1%
51.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.6
30.5%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
71.5%12.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paralimni
LWWWLLLLLL
AEL
WWLLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#3
-4.8
Net rating
-5.4
100.3
Offensive rating
105.1
105.1
Defensive rating
110.5
47.6%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.1%
3-point %
30.5%
56.6%
Assist %
57.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 105.1Defence105.1 · 110.5Shooting47.6% · 49.7%3-point %29.1% · 30.5%Ball care16.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds24.8% · 29.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Paralimni   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Paralimni wins
6
AEL wins
DateGameScore
15/04/25AEL v Paralimni77-69
05/01/25Paralimni v AEL93-88
26/10/24AEL v Paralimni99-67
12/02/24AEL v Paralimni86-42
24/11/23Paralimni v AEL70-78
17/02/23Paralimni v AEL104-103 OT
16/12/22AEL v Paralimni92-78
23/01/22AEL v Paralimni81-75
23/10/21Paralimni v AEL86-73
13/12/20Paralimni v AEL85-64
Paralimnilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AAEK Larnaca82-90
31/10/25HApollon88-84
26/10/25AAchilleas K.84-66
19/10/25HAnorthosis71-54
11/10/25AKeravnos70-86
05/10/25AMorphou84-87 OT
23/04/25HAnorthosis73-80
15/04/25AAEL69-77
01/04/25HKeravnos62-87
28/03/25AAEK Larnaca71-89
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HMorphou90-86
01/11/25AETHA Engomi88-79
24/10/25HApoel BC77-96
19/10/25HKeravnos77-87
11/10/25AAEK Larnaca72-88
03/10/25HApollon80-62
07/05/25AKeravnos85-102
03/05/25HKeravnos72-81
30/04/25AKeravnos66-78
23/04/25AApollon96-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paralimni
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game79.879.580.0
Allowed / game77.869.082.2
Point differential+2.0+10.5-2.2
Avg total157.7148.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
AEL
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.781.080.0
Allowed / game83.082.883.5
Point differential-2.3-1.8-3.5
Avg total163.7163.8163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca660100%88.870.8+18.0
2 Keravnos65183%85.568.2+17.3
3 Apoel BC74357%79.984.0-4.1
4 Paralimni63350%79.877.8+2.0
5 AEL63350%80.783.0-2.3
6 ETHA Engomi63350%81.086.3-5.3
7 Apollon73443%84.480.6+3.9
8 Morphou73443%79.483.1-3.7
9 Anorthosis62433%66.272.3-6.2
10 Achilleas K.7070%69.185.3-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paralimni2119162177
AEL1333201379
← all games of the day
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