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Agrigento vs Latina Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-87
18-16 29-21 19-20 23-30
Position#19
Record9-26
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#23
Record8-27
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game84.2
ItalySerie A2Round 4· PalaMoncada
Other2023-24
Meetings · Agrigento v Latina
15 May 2024
AGRI89
LATI87
26 Nov 2023
AGRI88
LATI77
30 Oct 2022
AGRI72
LATI61
25 Feb 2019
AGRI87
LATI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Agrigento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AgrigentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAgrigento
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
70-82
70
82
-12
66avg 67
H02/03
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 67
A08/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 67
H24/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 67
A30/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 67
H07/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
76-89
76
89
-13
64avg 67
A14/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 67
H21/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
68-61
68
61
+7
58avg 67
A05/05
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 67
H08/05
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
61-85
61
85
-24
48avg 67
A12/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
12-22
21-14
14-20
19-19
19-19
23-20
9-24
16-23
19-20
19-25
30-20
18-24
20-29
22-24
14-17
19-20
17-20
24-23
21-16
19-26
14-24
21-20
22-19
32-25
22-24
4-13
28-18
23-20
19-19
14-8
12-14
27-27
18-24
16-13
18-20
13-14
13-28
25-21
10-22
157.3Avg total
74.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)74.281.0155.2-6.826%
Season at home (17)76.678.2154.8-1.641%
Season away (18)72.083.7155.7-11.711%
Last 10 (10)74.982.4157.3-7.530%
Last 5 (5)74.079.8153.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.085.0159.0-11.017%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.380.1155.4-4.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Latina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatinaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatina
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
L
58-75
58
75
-17
50avg 66
A09/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
73-92
73
92
-19
58avg 66
A17/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
47avg 66
H23/03
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 66
A30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
71-70
71
70
+1
63avg 66
H06/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 66
A14/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
83avg 66
H21/04
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 66
A05/05
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
64-91
64
91
-27
46avg 66
H08/05
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
60-66
60
66
-6
51avg 66
A12/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
13-22
11-12
15-23
23-27
14-17
20-25
16-23
15-24
9-20
19-20
20-13
17-17
11-16
21-10
20-22
22-23
21-16
13-13
15-18
24-30
13-20
27-17
12-24
27-26
22-15
21-20
17-28
20-20
20-22
25-23
23-15
17-27
10-25
20-21
17-18
11-22
23-19
15-15
11-10
150.5Avg total
70.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)75.984.2160.0-8.323%
Season at home (17)76.785.2161.9-8.518%
Season away (18)75.183.2158.2-8.128%
Last 10 (10)70.979.6150.5-8.730%
Last 5 (5)75.083.4158.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.583.9157.4-10.421%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.682.5162.1-2.836%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
AgrigentoLatina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AgrigentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H02/03
Serie A2
Cento
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H24/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A30/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A14/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H21/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A05/05
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H08/05
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A12/05
Serie A2
83.5Avg total
38.2Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.779.2-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.079.9-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)35.443.278.6-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)38.245.383.5-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.286.2-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.644.781.2-8.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.239.777.9-1.650%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Latina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A17/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H23/03
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H06/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A14/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H21/04
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A05/05
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
27-52
27
52
-25
H08/05
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A12/05
Serie A2
77.7Avg total
35.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.142.780.7-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.543.782.1-5.240%-
Last 30 away (15)37.741.779.3-4.027%-
Last 10 (10)35.142.677.7-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.282.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.742.679.4-5.932%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.442.783.1-2.436%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Agrigentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Agrigento: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.115.1
43.0%
50.3%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.1
38.3%
34.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.8
69.8%
74.2%11.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latina: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.2
45.6%
50.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.3
31.3%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.914.8
74.4%
74.2%14.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Agrigento
LLWWLWLLLL
Latina
LLWLLWWLLL
#19
League position
#23
-13.2
Net rating
-12.4
99.3
Offensive rating
97.8
112.5
Defensive rating
110.2
49.2%
Effective FG%
46.1%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.3%
3-point %
31.3%
59.9%
Assist %
50.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 97.8Defence112.5 · 110.2Shooting49.2% · 46.1%3-point %38.3% · 31.3%Ball care17.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds24.3% · 25.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Agrigento   ■ Latina
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Agrigento wins
3
Latina wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Latina v Agrigento80-71
26/11/23Agrigento v Latina88-77
22/01/23Latina v Agrigento87-71
30/10/22Agrigento v Latina72-61
25/02/19Agrigento v Latina87-80
18/11/18Latina v Agrigento94-89 OT
Agrigentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24ALuiss Roma61-85
08/05/24HCento79-84
05/05/24ANardo68-61
21/04/24HOrzinuovi86-80
14/04/24ANardo76-89
07/04/24HFortitudo Bologna81-79
30/03/24AAssigeco Piacenza74-94
24/03/24HChiusi84-88
08/03/24ACento70-82
02/03/24HUdine70-82
Latinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24ANardo60-66
08/05/24HChiusi64-91
05/05/24ACento88-80
21/04/24HForli87-89
14/04/24AOrzinuovi76-91
06/04/24HVerona71-70
30/03/24ACento69-65
23/03/24HFortitudo Bologna63-77
17/03/24ARimini73-92
09/03/24ACividale58-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Agrigento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL26%
HomeLLWWL41%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %26%41%11%
Points / game74.276.672.0
Allowed / game81.078.283.7
Point differential-6.8-1.6-11.7
Avg total155.2154.8155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Latina
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayLWLWL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %23%18%28%
Points / game75.976.775.1
Allowed / game84.285.283.2
Point differential-8.3-8.5-8.1
Avg total160.0161.9158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3632489%87.275.9+11.3
2 Forli3629781%79.873.1+6.6
3 Cantu36261072%84.578.1+6.4
4 Fortitudo Bologna35251071%76.671.0+5.6
5 Udine35241169%78.671.0+7.6
6 Sebastiani Rieti35231266%80.776.9+3.8
7 Verona36231364%78.375.0+3.3
8 Trieste35211460%81.278.5+2.7
9 Basket Torino35201557%82.981.1+1.8
10 Rimini35181751%78.175.8+2.3
11 Cividale36181850%76.075.7+0.3
12 Cento35171849%75.277.1-1.9
13 Assigeco Piacenza36171947%77.876.9+0.9
14 Urania Milano36162044%82.584.7-2.2
15 Treviglio35142140%77.279.3-2.1
16 JuVi Cremona35142140%80.784.6-3.9
17 Nardo35142140%75.379.8-4.5
18 Chiusi34122235%68.572.9-4.4
19 Vigevano36122433%76.681.6-4.9
20 Luiss Roma34112332%77.984.8-6.8
21 Orzinuovi32102231%75.378.3-2.9
22 Agrigento3592626%74.281.0-6.8
23 Latina3582723%75.984.2-8.3
24 Monferrato3272522%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Agrigento1829192389
Latina1621203087
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