PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aguada vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 81-67
26-11 19-24 24-21 12-11
Position#3
Record14-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game79.7
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#11
Record6-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game86.1
UruguayLiga Uruguaya
Other2018-19
Meetings · Aguada v Welcome
10 Nov 2025
AGUA112
WELC82
04 Mar 2025
AGUA101
WELC72
28 Jan 2019
AGUA81
WELC67
16 Jan 2018
AGUA80
WELC77
15 Feb 2016
AGUA68
WELC72
12 Feb 2016
AGUA57
WELC77
14 Nov 2015
AGUA63
WELC71
18 Sep 2012
AGUA67
WELC76
12 Oct 2011
AGUA68
WELC64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#10
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Atenas
#12
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#7
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Verdirrojo
#14
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#13
W
100-83
100
83
+17
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#8
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
17-21
22-12
22-35
20-22
21-15
25-18
13-22
–
–
–
–
11-16
20-18
14-20
32-22
17-23
20-17
11-15
26-25
21-28
10-20
15-19
22-19
23-3
34-21
20-21
23-30
27-16
15-14
28-26
30-27
16-21
14-20
27-22
39-27
14-18
26-25
23-18
16-16
165.4Avg total
84.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.479.7163.1+3.867%
Season at home (10)82.879.3162.1+3.570%
Season away (11)84.080.0164.0+4.064%
Last 10 (10)84.181.3165.4+2.870%
Last 5 (5)88.682.2170.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.585.5157.0-14.00%
vs Similar (21)78.678.1156.7+0.548%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)94.178.9173.0+15.3100%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Verdirrojo
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
85-104
85
104
-19
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Atenas
#12
W
100-91
100
91
+9
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
19-22
17-23
20-20
27-17
14-21
23-23
20-17
28-17
23-19
23-24
20-24
16-28
18-28
21-21
30-27
19-19
7-26
24-26
22-19
25-27
21-23
21-21
23-29
27-33
17-16
26-21
30-21
15-24
18-15
17-20
21-22
15-22
14-24
18-18
31-28
11-19
24-21
22-17
19-25
172.1Avg total
83.2Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.586.1166.6-5.627%
Season at home (11)80.186.1166.2-6.027%
Season away (11)80.986.2167.1-5.327%
Last 10 (10)83.288.9172.1-5.730%
Last 5 (5)83.089.2172.2-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.886.9163.7-10.16%
vs Similar (5)79.675.4155.0+4.240%
vs Weaker (7)87.981.6169.4+6.386%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
AguadaWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Verdirrojo
#14
W
57-24
57
24
+33
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
75.2Avg total
37.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.335.672.9+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.435.170.5+0.236%-
Last 30 away (14)39.336.175.4+3.250%-
Last 10 (9)37.837.475.2+0.333%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.277.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.546.082.5-9.550%-
vs Similar (20)34.035.869.8-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.731.580.2+17.2100%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Verdirrojo
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#13
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Atenas
#12
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
82.7Avg total
38.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.141.279.3-3.041%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.441.177.6-4.721%-
Last 30 away (15)39.741.280.9-1.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.444.382.7-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.882.2-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.342.577.8-7.228%-
vs Similar (5)40.438.679.0+1.840%-
vs Weaker (6)44.839.384.2+5.583%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Aguada wins
4
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
16/11/18Welcome v Aguada90-97
12/03/18Welcome v Aguada83-85
17/01/18Aguada v Welcome80-77
28/10/17Welcome v Aguada96-80
05/12/16Welcome v Aguada0-20
16/02/16Aguada v Welcome68-72
13/02/16Aguada v Welcome57-77
11/02/16Welcome v Aguada86-89
15/11/15Aguada v Welcome63-71
07/11/12Welcome v Aguada63-72
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/19AGoes79-77
19/01/19HNacional96-90
14/01/19HSayago100-83
10/01/19HVerdirrojo100-75
07/01/19HOlimpia Kings68-86
04/01/19AUrunday74-80
22/12/18HDefensor77-76
15/12/18HAtenas93-82
11/12/18HBigua79-77
07/12/18AHebraica y Macabi75-87
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/19HBigua76-82
22/01/19AHebraica y Macabi78-92
18/01/19HTrouville71-81
15/01/19HAtenas100-91
11/01/19AGoes90-100
08/01/19HMalvin72-90
04/01/19ANacional85-104
20/12/18HSayago94-84
17/12/18AVerdirrojo84-78
10/12/18AOlimpia Kings82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%70%64%
Points / game83.482.884.0
Allowed / game79.779.380.0
Point differential+3.8+3.5+4.0
Avg total163.1162.1164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeWLWLL27%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%27%27%
Points / game80.580.180.9
Allowed / game86.186.186.2
Point differential-5.6-6.0-5.3
Avg total166.6166.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malvin2015575%83.177.8+5.3
2 Urunday2115671%85.478.1+7.2
3 Nacional2115671%85.778.6+7.0
4 Olimpia Kings2215768%86.677.7+9.0
5 Aguada2114767%83.479.7+3.8
6 Defensor2214864%88.484.7+3.7
7 Trouville2112957%81.877.4+4.3
8 Goes2112957%85.582.7+2.9
9 Hebraica y Macabi22121055%83.181.6+1.5
10 Bigua21101148%81.880.7+1.1
11 Atenas2271532%82.291.6-9.4
12 Welcome2261627%80.586.1-5.6
13 Verdirrojo222209%77.592.2-14.7
14 Sayago221215%76.590.8-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2619241281
Welcome1124211167
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.