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Air Force vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 48-79
26-28 22-51
Position#331
Record9-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#70
Record19-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Air Force v Boise State
04 Mar 2025
AIR 57
BOIS80
27 Feb 2024
AIR 48
BOIS79
31 Jan 2023
AIR 52
BOIS59
16 Feb 2022
AIR 59
BOIS85
15 Jan 2020
AIR 85
BOIS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
90-58
90
58
+32
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A28/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
56-94
56
94
-38
A03/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H07/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H10/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
43-72
43
72
-29
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-44
42-41
39-24
51-34
43-40
27-44
36-34
36-49
27-41
29-53
20-45
44-32
28-28
38-40
34-31
32-42
24-37
19-35
37-36
41-41
144.2Avg total
67.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)67.371.3138.7-4.035%
Season at home (14)65.671.4137.0-5.929%
Season away (12)69.471.2140.6-1.842%
Last 10 (10)67.177.1144.2-10.020%
Last 5 (5)63.473.4136.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)64.773.7138.4-8.917%
vs Similar (10)69.367.6136.9+1.740%
vs Weaker (2)73.060.5133.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H20/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
H27/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
94-56
94
56
+38
H03/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A07/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H18/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
82-50
82
50
+32
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
92-72
92
72
+20
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
33-35
42-32
30-36
39-37
37-39
41-38
45-40
41-27
53-29
30-37
32-38
30-41
31-39
48-33
42-33
38-16
44-34
51-36
41-36
149.1Avg total
79.0Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.866.9142.7+9.070%
Season at home (17)78.163.2141.3+14.982%
Season away (10)71.973.1145.0-1.250%
Last 10 (10)79.070.1149.1+8.970%
Last 5 (5)77.468.6146.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (17)68.871.2140.0-2.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.762.5146.3+21.291%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: -5.2-5.22nd half: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: -5.2-5.22nd half: +2.9+2.9
Air ForceBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A03/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
20-45
20
45
-25
H07/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H10/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
31.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.532.664.1-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.134.065.1-2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)32.031.063.0+1.064%-
Last 10 (10)31.236.067.2-4.850%-
Last 5 (5)28.635.464.0-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)28.734.262.9-5.533%-
vs Similar (10)35.031.566.5+3.580%-
vs Weaker (2)39.523.563.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A24/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H27/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
38-16
38
16
+22
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A25/02
NCAA
72.2Avg total
39.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.032.170.1+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.229.368.5+9.984%-
Last 30 away (11)35.937.072.9-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.432.872.2+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.672.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.024.058.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (17)34.133.467.5+0.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.030.673.6+12.482%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
7
Boise State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24ANew Mexico78-77
22/02/24HUNLV43-72
14/02/24ASan Jose State66-73
10/02/24HFresno State66-68
07/02/24HSan Diego State64-77
03/02/24ABoise State56-94
31/01/24HWyoming72-83
28/01/24AFresno State70-84
24/01/24AUNLV90-58
20/01/24HNew Mexico66-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AWyoming92-72
21/02/24HSan Jose State82-50
18/02/24HFresno State90-66
11/02/24AUtah State61-80
07/02/24AColorado State62-75
03/02/24HAir Force94-56
01/02/24ANew Mexico86-78
27/01/24HUtah State84-90 OT
24/01/24AFresno State72-68
20/01/24HSan Diego State67-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %35%29%42%
Points / game67.365.669.4
Allowed / game71.371.471.2
Point differential-4.0-5.9-1.8
Avg total138.7137.0140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %8%7%8%
Boise State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %70%82%50%
Points / game75.878.171.9
Allowed / game66.963.273.1
Point differential+9.0+14.9-1.2
Avg total142.7141.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2824486%80.168.4+11.8
2 Utah State2722581%79.669.3+10.4
3 Nevada2822679%76.566.3+10.2
4 New Mexico2821775%82.871.1+11.7
5 San Diego State2821775%75.366.0+9.2
6 Colorado State2820871%76.967.8+9.1
7 Boise State2719870%75.866.9+9.0
8 UNLV26161062%74.268.3+5.8
9 Wyoming27131448%72.976.0-3.1
10 Fresno State27111641%68.072.7-4.7
11 Air Force2691735%67.371.3-4.0
12 San Jose State2891932%70.875.0-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force262248
Boise State285179
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