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Air Force vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 03:40
Final 64-77
20-45 44-32
Position#331
Record8-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#48
Record17-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Air Force v San Diego State
07 Feb 2026
AIR 54
SAN 88
22 Jan 2025
AIR 76
SAN 77
06 Feb 2024
AIR 64
SAN 77
21 Jan 2023
AIR 60
SAN 70
24 Jan 2021
AIR 59
SAN 91
22 Jan 2021
AIR 61
SAN 98
08 Feb 2020
AIR 74
SAN 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#132
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
60-88
60
88
-28
H02/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
69-78 OT
69
78
-9
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
90-58
90
58
+32
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A28/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
56-94
56
94
-38
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
36-40
29-42
31-46
24-30
30-37
33-46
34-24
27-24
37-40
24-44
42-41
39-24
51-34
43-40
27-44
36-34
36-49
27-41
29-53
147.3Avg total
68.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.370.8139.1-2.538%
Season at home (11)67.771.2138.9-3.536%
Season away (10)68.970.4139.3-1.540%
Last 10 (10)68.379.0147.3-10.710%
Last 5 (5)70.880.8151.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.973.8139.7-7.917%
vs Similar (10)68.967.3136.2+1.650%
vs Weaker (2)73.060.5133.5+12.5100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#21
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A30/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H04/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H06/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A10/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A13/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H18/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
46-37
39-26
35-21
35-25
37-36
42-41
39-37
37-40
33-48
38-24
33-35
31-34
35-33
34-32
47-33
29-37
42-42
42-36
39-31
143.6Avg total
75.1Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.267.3143.5+8.977%
Season at home (14)78.962.9141.7+16.0100%
Season away (8)71.675.1146.8-3.538%
Last 10 (10)75.168.5143.6+6.670%
Last 5 (5)74.067.4141.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.065.9138.9+7.171%
vs Similar (13)71.067.5138.5+3.577%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.161.8140.9+17.3100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -5.5-5.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -5.5-5.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
Air ForceSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#132
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H02/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A03/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
32.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.464.5-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.733.265.9-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)31.631.563.1+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)32.536.869.3-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.670.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.733.463.1-3.733%-
vs Similar (10)35.132.367.4+2.880%-
vs Weaker (2)39.523.563.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#21
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A30/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H04/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H06/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H03/02
NCAA
69.7Avg total
36.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.366.9+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (21)37.029.966.9+7.186%-
Last 30 away (9)32.334.666.9-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.533.269.7+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.667.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.030.662.6+1.471%-
vs Similar (13)34.332.266.5+2.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.731.270.9+8.4100%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Air Force wins
7
San Diego State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ABoise State56-94
31/01/24HWyoming72-83
28/01/24AFresno State70-84
24/01/24AUNLV90-58
20/01/24HNew Mexico66-85
17/01/24AColorado State69-78 OT
14/01/24HSan Jose State67-70
10/01/24ANevada54-67
02/01/24HUtah State60-88
21/12/23HNorthern Colorado79-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HUtah State81-67
31/01/24AColorado State71-79
24/01/24HWyoming81-65
20/01/24ABoise State66-67
18/01/24HNevada71-59
13/01/24ANew Mexico70-88
10/01/24ASan Jose State81-78
06/01/24HUNLV72-61
04/01/24HFresno State74-47
30/12/23AGonzaga84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%36%40%
Points / game68.367.768.9
Allowed / game70.871.270.4
Point differential-2.5-3.5-1.5
Avg total139.1138.9139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %10%9%10%
San Diego State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %77%100%38%
Points / game76.278.971.6
Allowed / game67.362.975.1
Point differential+8.9+16.0-3.5
Avg total143.5141.7146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%79%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2321291%80.567.7+12.8
2 New Mexico2319483%84.469.7+14.7
3 Utah State2319483%81.069.3+11.7
4 Nevada2318578%76.666.1+10.4
5 Colorado State2318578%79.669.2+10.4
6 San Diego State2217577%76.267.3+8.9
7 Boise State2316770%74.966.8+8.0
8 UNLV2112957%75.169.7+5.5
9 Wyoming23121152%73.175.0-1.9
10 Fresno State23101343%69.472.5-3.0
11 Air Force2181338%68.370.8-2.5
12 San Jose State2381535%72.874.9-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force204464
San Diego State453277
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