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Air Force vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 52-59
21-34 31-25
Position#251
Record12-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#57
Record17-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game61.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Air Force v Boise State
04 Mar 2025
AIR 57
BOIS80
27 Feb 2024
AIR 48
BOIS79
31 Jan 2023
AIR 52
BOIS59
16 Feb 2022
AIR 59
BOIS85
15 Jan 2020
AIR 85
BOIS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#288
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A29/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
85-74 OT
85
74
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H18/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H22/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
36-34
23-36
32-35
25-36
44-39
28-44
37-33
30-30
35-35
20-26
31-22
32-36
50-38
24-39
36-31
31-46
21-36
34-43
39-38
137.6Avg total
65.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)68.366.0134.3+2.455%
Season at home (14)71.364.3135.6+7.064%
Season away (8)63.168.9132.0-5.838%
Last 10 (10)65.971.7137.6-5.840%
Last 5 (5)63.671.0134.6-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)61.474.8136.2-13.48%
vs Similar (15)67.763.7131.3+4.067%
vs Weaker (2)71.554.5126.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#53
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A22/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A12/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A15/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
22-39
27-30
45-44
41-29
26-35
45-30
37-29
–
–
41-33
44-35
42-36
35-26
37-31
35-41
23-25
40-28
44-29
36-30
140.6Avg total
74.7Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.061.1134.1+12.077%
Season at home (13)74.958.2133.2+16.792%
Season away (9)70.365.2135.6+5.156%
Last 10 (10)74.765.9140.6+8.870%
Last 5 (5)76.864.6141.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)69.465.1134.5+4.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)73.458.5131.9+14.993%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.9-8.91st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +1.4+1.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.9-8.91st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +1.4+1.4
Air ForceBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#288
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H31/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H22/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/01
NCAA
64.5Avg total
27.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.132.062.1-1.927%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.530.461.8+1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)28.334.262.5-5.98%-
Last 10 (10)27.836.764.5-8.90%-
Last 5 (5)28.238.066.2-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)27.536.363.8-8.88%-
vs Similar (15)31.729.961.7+1.833%-
vs Weaker (2)34.520.054.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#53
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A22/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
37.3Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.730.064.6+4.776%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.729.064.7+6.784%-
Last 30 away (10)32.631.864.4+0.860%-
Last 10 (9)37.330.868.1+6.678%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.868.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)33.330.964.2+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)36.128.965.1+7.286%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
5
Boise State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23ANew Mexico73-81
25/01/23ASan Jose State52-82
22/01/23HSan Diego State60-70
18/01/23HWyoming82-74
15/01/23AFresno State51-48
11/01/23AColorado State85-74 OT
04/01/23HUtah State65-77
31/12/22HNevada69-75
29/12/22ASan Diego State55-71
21/12/22ANorthern Colorado67-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23HColorado State80-59
25/01/23HFresno State63-53
21/01/23ANew Mexico79-81 OT
18/01/23HNevada77-62
15/01/23AWyoming85-68
12/01/23AUNLV84-66
07/01/23HUtah State82-59
04/01/23HSan Jose State67-64
29/12/22ANevada72-74
22/12/22ASanta Clara58-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWLLWL64%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %55%64%38%
Points / game68.371.363.1
Allowed / game66.064.368.9
Point differential+2.4+7.0-5.8
Avg total134.3135.6132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %9%7%12%
Boise State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %77%92%56%
Points / game73.074.970.3
Allowed / game61.158.265.2
Point differential+12.0+16.7+5.1
Avg total134.1133.2135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%77%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico2219386%82.470.9+11.5
2 San Diego State2117481%75.466.0+9.4
3 Boise State2217577%73.061.1+12.0
4 Utah State2217577%79.971.0+8.9
5 Nevada2216673%73.566.7+6.7
6 UNLV2114767%76.068.1+7.9
7 Grand Canyon2113862%70.865.4+5.4
8 San Jose State2213959%67.766.2+1.5
9 Air Force22121055%68.366.0+2.4
10 Colorado State22101245%73.971.4+2.5
11 Fresno State2071335%60.563.3-2.8
12 Wyoming2061430%70.172.0-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force213152
Boise State342559
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