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Air Force vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 66-68
28-28 38-40
Position#331
Record8-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#304
Record10-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Air Force v Fresno State
31 Jan 2026
AIR 62
FRES79
22 Feb 2025
AIR 72
FRES69
10 Feb 2024
AIR 66
FRES68
21 Feb 2023
AIR 69
FRES74
22 Feb 2022
AIR 40
FRES65
13 Feb 2021
AIR 64
FRES67
11 Feb 2021
AIR 63
FRES69
28 Jan 2020
AIR 68
FRES79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
60-88
60
88
-28
H02/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
69-78 OT
69
78
-9
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
90-58
90
58
+32
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A28/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
56-94
56
94
-38
A03/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-42
31-46
24-30
30-37
33-46
34-24
27-24
37-40
24-44
42-41
39-24
51-34
43-40
27-44
36-34
36-49
27-41
29-53
20-45
44-32
145.2Avg total
66.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)68.171.1139.2-3.036%
Season at home (12)67.471.7139.1-4.233%
Season away (10)68.970.4139.3-1.540%
Last 10 (10)66.878.4145.2-11.610%
Last 5 (5)70.479.2149.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)66.674.1140.7-7.617%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.967.3136.2+1.650%
vs Weaker (2)73.060.5133.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-39
21-35
32-36
25-36
35-28
32-40
39-40
46-42
27-40
35-43
32-42
36-30
40-43
44-27
28-37
41-41
25-31
36-42
34-33
35-24
139.8Avg total
66.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.472.5141.9-3.043%
Season at home (13)73.071.0144.0+2.054%
Season away (10)64.874.4139.2-9.630%
Last 10 (10)66.972.9139.8-6.030%
Last 5 (5)70.270.0140.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)62.973.6136.5-10.611%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.168.5146.6+9.680%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: -0.9-0.9
Air ForceFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H02/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A03/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
20-45
20
45
-25
H07/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
30.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.932.864.7-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.933.965.9-2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)31.931.663.4+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)30.237.067.2-6.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.869.8-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.334.263.4-4.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.132.367.4+2.880%-
vs Weaker (2)39.523.563.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
31.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.533.765.3-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.232.966.1+0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)29.434.864.2-5.423%-
Last 10 (10)31.836.968.7-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)31.837.269.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.435.564.9-6.128%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.232.666.8+1.640%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Air Force wins
7
Fresno State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HSan Diego State64-77
03/02/24ABoise State56-94
31/01/24HWyoming72-83
28/01/24AFresno State70-84
24/01/24AUNLV90-58
20/01/24HNew Mexico66-85
17/01/24AColorado State69-78 OT
14/01/24HSan Jose State67-70
10/01/24ANevada54-67
02/01/24HUtah State60-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24ASan Jose State69-57
04/02/24HColorado State61-73
31/01/24AUNLV69-78
28/01/24HAir Force84-70
24/01/24HBoise State68-72
20/01/24AUtah State62-83
17/01/24HSan Jose State85-82
13/01/24AWyoming67-68
07/01/24HNevada57-72
04/01/24ASan Diego State47-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game68.167.468.9
Allowed / game71.171.770.4
Point differential-3.0-4.2-1.5
Avg total139.2139.1139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %9%8%10%
Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLWLWL54%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %43%54%30%
Points / game69.473.064.8
Allowed / game72.571.074.4
Point differential-3.0+2.0-9.6
Avg total141.9144.0139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2321291%80.567.7+12.8
2 New Mexico2319483%84.469.7+14.7
3 Utah State2319483%81.069.3+11.7
4 Colorado State2419579%79.068.2+10.8
5 Nevada2419579%76.366.1+10.2
6 San Diego State2418675%75.867.3+8.5
7 Boise State2316770%74.966.8+8.0
8 UNLV2112957%75.169.7+5.5
9 Wyoming23121152%73.175.0-1.9
10 Fresno State23101343%69.472.5-3.0
11 Air Force2281436%68.171.1-3.0
12 San Jose State2481633%71.774.5-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force283866
Fresno State284068
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