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Boise State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 94-56
41-27 53-29
Position#70
Record15-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#331
Record8-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Boise State v Air Force
24 Jan 2026
BOIS96
AIR 54
21 Dec 2024
BOIS77
AIR 59
03 Feb 2024
BOIS94
AIR 56
18 Jan 2022
BOIS62
AIR 56
08 Jan 2021
BOIS80
AIR 69
06 Jan 2021
BOIS78
AIR 59
02 Jan 2021
BOIS v AIR
upcoming
11 Feb 2020
BOIS74
AIR 57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#45
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A22/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H30/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A06/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H10/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A13/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H17/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H20/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
H27/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
34-33
48-31
37-32
33-40
45-29
28-21
37-37
30-27
34-29
34-36
30-32
34-31
33-35
42-32
30-36
39-37
37-39
41-38
45-40
140.8Avg total
72.6Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.667.0141.5+7.671%
Season at home (14)75.964.4140.3+11.479%
Season away (7)72.072.0144.0+0.057%
Last 10 (10)72.668.2140.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)74.674.0148.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (19)70.670.9141.5-0.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.066.2145.2+12.878%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#136
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
60-88
60
88
-28
H02/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
69-78 OT
69
78
-9
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
90-58
90
58
+32
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A28/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-42
36-34
43-43
36-40
29-42
31-46
24-30
30-37
33-46
34-24
27-24
37-40
24-44
42-41
39-24
51-34
43-40
27-44
36-34
36-49
147.2Avg total
70.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)68.969.7138.6-0.840%
Season at home (11)67.771.2138.9-3.536%
Season away (9)70.367.8138.1+2.644%
Last 10 (10)70.077.2147.2-7.210%
Last 5 (5)73.477.6151.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.771.9137.6-6.217%
vs Similar (10)68.967.3136.2+1.650%
vs Weaker (2)73.060.5133.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -2.9-2.9
Boise StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#45
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A22/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H10/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A13/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A24/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H27/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
35.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.569.1+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.630.568.1+7.174%-
Last 30 away (11)34.936.070.9-1.145%-
Last 10 (10)35.632.668.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.872.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.024.058.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (19)34.233.567.6+0.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.231.271.4+9.078%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#136
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H02/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H31/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
33.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.032.164.1-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.033.265.2-1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)31.930.962.8+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)33.536.970.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.833.267.0+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.433.062.4-3.633%-
vs Similar (10)35.132.367.4+2.880%-
vs Weaker (2)39.523.563.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boise State wins
1
Air Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24ANew Mexico86-78
27/01/24HUtah State84-90 OT
24/01/24AFresno State72-68
20/01/24HSan Diego State67-66
17/01/24HUNLV64-68
13/01/24ANevada64-56
10/01/24HColorado State65-58
06/01/24ASan Jose State78-69
30/12/23HUtah Valley State85-63
22/12/23AWashington State61-66
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HWyoming72-83
28/01/24AFresno State70-84
24/01/24AUNLV90-58
20/01/24HNew Mexico66-85
17/01/24AColorado State69-78 OT
14/01/24HSan Jose State67-70
10/01/24ANevada54-67
02/01/24HUtah State60-88
21/12/23HNorthern Colorado79-83
16/12/23AUT Arlington73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWLWL79%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %71%79%57%
Points / game74.675.972.0
Allowed / game67.064.472.0
Point differential+7.6+11.4+0.0
Avg total141.5140.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %5%7%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%36%44%
Points / game68.967.770.3
Allowed / game69.771.267.8
Point differential-0.8-3.5+2.6
Avg total138.6138.9138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%18%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %10%9%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2220291%80.267.7+12.5
2 Utah State2219386%81.869.0+12.8
3 New Mexico2218482%84.169.5+14.6
4 Nevada2217577%76.566.3+10.3
5 San Diego State2217577%76.267.3+8.9
6 Colorado State2116576%80.169.9+10.2
7 Boise State2115671%74.667.0+7.6
8 Wyoming2112957%74.374.8-0.5
9 UNLV2011955%75.870.8+5.0
10 Fresno State2191243%69.973.2-3.3
11 Air Force2081240%68.969.7-0.8
12 San Jose State2281436%73.575.2-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State415394
Air Force272956
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