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Fresno State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-70
40-43 44-27
Position#304
Record8-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#331
Record8-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fresno State v Air Force
14 Feb 2026
FRES93
AIR 63
17 Jan 2025
FRES74
AIR 65
27 Jan 2024
FRES84
AIR 70
14 Jan 2023
FRES48
AIR 51
01 Jan 2022
FRES v AIR
upcoming
04 Mar 2020
FRES70
AIR 77
19 Feb 2020
FRES71
AIR 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H19/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A30/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-17
37-41
28-41
37-24
34-39
23-38
26-22
45-45
26-39
21-35
32-36
25-36
35-28
32-40
39-40
46-42
27-40
35-43
32-42
36-30
137.5Avg total
64.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.273.1142.3-3.942%
Season at home (11)73.170.9144.0+2.255%
Season away (8)63.876.1139.9-12.425%
Last 10 (10)64.772.8137.5-8.130%
Last 5 (5)67.875.4143.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)63.973.8137.8-9.917%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.070.5146.5+5.570%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#305
W
80-58
80
58
+22
A03/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H09/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
60-88
60
88
-28
H02/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
69-78 OT
69
78
-9
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
90-58
90
58
+32
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
43-25
26-41
42-32
37-42
36-34
43-43
36-40
29-42
31-46
24-30
30-37
33-46
34-24
27-24
37-40
24-44
42-41
39-24
51-34
144.2Avg total
70.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.768.1136.8+0.644%
Season at home (10)67.370.0137.3-2.740%
Season away (8)70.465.8136.1+4.650%
Last 10 (10)70.673.6144.2-3.020%
Last 5 (5)69.271.6140.8-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)65.771.8137.5-6.117%
vs Similar ◀ (10)67.167.1134.2+0.050%
vs Weaker (2)73.060.5133.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +2.9+2.9
Fresno StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H16/12
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H19/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A30/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/01
NCAA
64.7Avg total
30.3Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.434.065.4-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.032.165.1+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)29.636.165.7-6.614%-
Last 10 (10)30.334.464.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.037.270.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)30.336.066.3-5.728%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.232.464.6-0.240%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#305
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A03/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H09/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H02/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A24/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
31.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.532.664.1-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.733.264.9-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)31.332.163.3-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)31.936.968.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)29.433.663.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.333.562.8-4.228%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.932.966.8+1.070%-
vs Weaker (2)39.523.563.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fresno State wins
2
Air Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HBoise State68-72
20/01/24AUtah State62-83
17/01/24HSan Jose State85-82
13/01/24AWyoming67-68
07/01/24HNevada57-72
04/01/24ASan Diego State47-74
30/12/23ASan Diego Toreros71-67
23/12/23ASan Francisco57-77
19/12/23HPortland State72-75 OT
16/12/23HCSU Bakersfield61-58
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AUNLV90-58
20/01/24HNew Mexico66-85
17/01/24AColorado State69-78 OT
14/01/24HSan Jose State67-70
10/01/24ANevada54-67
02/01/24HUtah State60-88
21/12/23HNorthern Colorado79-83
16/12/23AUT Arlington73-76
09/12/23HEast. Washington68-73
03/12/23APortland80-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWLLWL55%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %42%55%25%
Points / game69.273.163.8
Allowed / game73.170.976.1
Point differential-3.9+2.2-12.4
Avg total142.3144.0139.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %11%9%12%
Air Force
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeLLLLL40%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game68.767.370.4
Allowed / game68.170.065.8
Point differential+0.6-2.7+4.6
Avg total136.8137.3136.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%20%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %11%10%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2119290%79.566.7+12.8
2 Utah State2018290%82.568.8+13.8
3 New Mexico2017385%84.269.5+14.8
4 Nevada2016480%77.065.5+11.5
5 San Diego State2016480%76.266.8+9.5
6 Colorado State2015575%80.269.8+10.3
7 Boise State2014670%74.066.4+7.6
8 Wyoming2011955%73.875.0-1.1
9 UNLV189950%75.671.2+4.4
10 Air Force1881044%68.768.1+0.6
11 San Jose State1981142%75.373.9+1.4
12 Fresno State1981142%69.273.1-3.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State404484
Air Force432770
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