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Akita vs Chiba Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Scheduled
Position#23
Record5-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#14
Record9-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game95.1
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2026-27
Meetings · Akita v Chiba
13 Dec 2026
AKIT v CHIB
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
AKIT v CHIB
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
AKIT50
CHIB69
03 Nov 2024
AKIT72
CHIB65
02 Nov 2024
AKIT82
CHIB89
05 May 2024
AKIT93
CHIB88
04 May 2024
AKIT72
CHIB88
10 Apr 2024
AKIT81
CHIB76
11 Jan 2023
AKIT63
CHIB74
20 Apr 2022
AKIT67
CHIB88
08 May 2021
AKIT70
CHIB98
04 Apr 2021
AKIT v CHIB
upcoming
08 Apr 2020
AKIT v CHIB
upcoming
22 Mar 2020
AKIT v CHIB
upcoming
21 Mar 2020
AKIT v CHIB
upcoming
23 Oct 2019
AKIT77
CHIB96
03 Apr 2019
AKIT83
CHIB85
23 Dec 2018
AKIT65
CHIB85
22 Dec 2018
AKIT86
CHIB89
02 Apr 2017
AKIT73
CHIB95
01 Apr 2017
AKIT80
CHIB70
16 Oct 2016
AKIT72
CHIB57
15 Oct 2016
AKIT70
CHIB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
74avg 69
A21/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
95-86
95
86
+9
95avg 69
H24/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
69avg 69
A26/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 69
H30/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 69
H01/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
118-123
118
123
-5
no box
A06/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
H08/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
H11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
94-110
94
110
-16
no box
H13/11
B League
Osaka
#26
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
H15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
25-33
11-26
23-17
22-23
18-18
25-23
30-22
18-14
17-22
19-23
17-20
18-28
20-16
28-20
19-25
21-34
14-24
28-20
20-24
39-31
28-29
27-30
24-33
21-24
28-32
28-23
19-22
22-22
28-22
10-19
23-32
25-26
23-31
19-27
27-26
12-14
19-25
31-16
20-21
185.0Avg total
89.1Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.390.7173.9-7.428%
Season at home (9)89.093.4182.4-4.433%
Season away (9)77.687.9165.4-10.322%
Last 10 (10)89.195.9185.0-6.820%
Last 5 (5)94.6101.0195.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.189.3167.4-11.220%
vs Similar (4)86.091.0177.0-5.025%
vs Weaker (1)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
64-107
64
107
-43
51avg 80
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
79-102
79
102
-23
68avg 80
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
87-65
87
65
+22
87avg 80
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
93-100
93
100
-7
87avg 80
H31/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 80
H01/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
no box
H06/11
B League
Saga
#25
W
111-103
111
103
+8
no box
A08/11
B League
Osaka
#26
W
106-94 OT
106
94
+12
no box
H10/11
B League
Shiga
#16
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
11-22
12-32
16-27
21-26
19-28
24-28
15-20
23-20
29-15
20-14
15-16
34-27
19-30
11-24
29-19
19-20
10-26
23-19
26-18
20-19
24-19
23-15
10-24
34-20
24-21
25-26
28-36
24-23
23-15
19-25
27-30
11-23
30-20
21-26
28-18
24-16
23-21
22-21
17-22
179.1Avg total
88.3Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.295.1187.3-2.950%
Season at home (10)89.496.5185.9-7.140%
Season away (8)95.693.4189.0+2.262%
Last 10 (10)88.390.8179.1-2.560%
Last 5 (5)96.490.2186.6+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.499.5188.9-10.130%
vs Similar (9)85.286.6171.8-1.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.984.5179.4+10.582%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
AkitaChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A21/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A26/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H01/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A06/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H08/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/11
B League
Osaka
#26
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H15/11
B League
93.3Avg total
44.3Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.283.6-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.946.688.5-4.836%-
Last 30 away (16)37.342.079.3-4.725%-
Last 10 (10)44.349.093.3-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)49.051.2100.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.844.184.0-4.332%-
vs Similar (4)39.045.884.8-6.825%-
vs Weaker (1)31.039.070.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H31/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/11
B League
Saga
#25
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A08/11
B League
Osaka
#26
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H10/11
B League
Shiga
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/11
B League
88.4Avg total
44.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.343.690.9+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.142.787.8+2.456%-
Last 30 away (12)50.644.995.5+5.758%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.788.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.486.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)46.448.995.3-2.530%-
vs Similar (9)41.944.186.0-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)52.538.390.8+14.3100%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
53.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.1
36.5%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
73.8%13.8
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.8
50.3%
53.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.3
33.1%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.416.3
76.2%
73.8%16.3
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
WLLLLLLLWL
Chiba
WWWWWLLWLL
#23
League position
#14
-5.5
Net rating
-7.1
95.5
Offensive rating
90.5
101.1
Defensive rating
97.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.5%
3-point %
33.1%
63.4%
Assist %
68.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 90.5Defence101.1 · 97.6Shooting52.7% · 50.0%3-point %36.5% · 33.1%Ball care12.7% · 14.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Akita   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Akita wins
7
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Chiba v Akita97-59
29/10/25Akita v Chiba50-69
27/04/25Chiba v Akita77-68
26/04/25Chiba v Akita80-65
03/11/24Akita v Chiba72-65
02/11/24Akita v Chiba82-89
05/05/24Akita v Chiba93-88 OT
04/05/24Akita v Chiba72-88
10/04/24Akita v Chiba81-76
17/01/24Chiba v Akita105-73
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HOsaka82-76
13/11/26HDiamond Dolphins94-110
11/11/26HIbaraki Robots83-95
08/11/26HShinshu96-101
06/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido118-123
01/11/26HAltiri Chiba83-102
30/10/26HAltiri Chiba85-89
26/10/26AKyoto71-79
24/10/26HYokohama95-86
21/10/26AHiroshima D.84-98
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNagasaki86-80
12/11/26AShiga90-87
10/11/26HOsaka106-94 OT
08/11/26ASaga111-103
06/11/26HAltiri Chiba89-87 OT
01/11/26HToyama78-83
31/10/26HToyama93-100
25/10/26AOsaka87-65
21/10/26HKyoto79-102
19/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers64-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game83.389.077.6
Allowed / game90.793.487.9
Point differential-7.4-4.4-10.3
Avg total173.9182.4165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chiba
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeLLWWW40%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%40%62%
Points / game92.289.495.6
Allowed / game95.196.593.4
Point differential-2.9-7.1+2.2
Avg total187.3185.9189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %22%30%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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