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Akita vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 87-85 (OT)
16-18 21-9 15-25 25-25 10-8
Position#26
Record9-42
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game85.4
Akita 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#19
Record17-34
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game82.2
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2025-26
Meetings · Akita v Koshigaya Alphas
12 Apr 2026
AKIT87
KOSH85
11 Apr 2026
AKIT94
KOSH85
23 Oct 2024
AKIT78
KOSH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
L
59-97
59
97
-38
A11/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A14/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A15/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H28/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H29/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A01/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A04/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A08/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H11/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
17-27
12-26
13-23
8-20
24-32
11-23
27-18
18-19
27-20
16-27
15-21
17-21
23-19
22-22
29-18
20-16
23-18
8-29
12-23
20-27
12-12
20-13
14-22
18-29
14-20
17-18
19-18
11-25
19-21
18-16
24-24
17-24
24-25
22-28
11-15
31-22
22-26
19-17
22-20
159.8Avg total
73.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)73.785.4159.0-11.718%
Season at home (26)75.685.3160.9-9.727%
Season away (25)71.685.4157.1-13.88%
Last 10 (10)73.386.5159.8-13.220%
Last 5 (5)74.884.4159.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)76.786.1162.8-9.320%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H11/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
72-101
72
101
-29
H14/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
80-109
80
109
-29
H15/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A28/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
A29/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A01/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H04/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A08/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A11/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
17-30
31-24
21-17
17-28
21-23
12-29
22-21
22-33
22-27
21-25
15-24
20-26
14-10
17-21
19-21
20-18
15-21
18-22
19-11
14-13
14-20
21-33
20-23
17-20
15-26
23-18
23-20
22-18
17-13
20-18
25-28
17-24
21-29
17-11
23-28
22-31
26-22
17-19
20-22
170.6Avg total
80.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)74.682.2156.9-7.633%
Season at home (26)74.380.4154.7-6.138%
Season away (25)75.084.2159.1-9.228%
Last 10 (10)80.190.5170.6-10.420%
Last 5 (5)78.887.2166.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)73.587.3160.8-13.919%
vs Similar (8)80.080.4160.4-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)85.094.0179.0-9.00%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
AkitaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A11/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A14/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H28/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A01/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A04/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H11/04
B League
82.6Avg total
38.2Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.644.685.2-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.285.6+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.447.384.6-9.914%-
Last 10 (10)38.244.482.6-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.646.283.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)40.644.685.2-4.037%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H14/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H15/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A01/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/04
B League
82.2Avg total
37.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.680.6-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.441.679.0-4.231%-
Last 30 away (17)38.443.481.8-5.024%-
Last 10 (10)37.644.682.2-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.280.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.643.580.0-6.924%-
vs Similar (8)40.439.179.5+1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)48.053.0101.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.7
50.4%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.2
28.3%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.911.3
71.1%
73.1%11.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.4
52.7%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.4
38.8%
33.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.811.7
65.7%
73.1%11.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
WLLLLLWLLL
Koshigaya Alphas
LLWLLLLLLW
#26
League position
#19
-14.9
Net rating
-11.5
84.4
Offensive rating
92.0
99.3
Defensive rating
103.6
46.9%
Effective FG%
55.1%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.3%
3-point %
38.8%
67.3%
Assist %
72.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence84.4 · 92.0Defence99.3 · 103.6Shooting46.9% · 55.1%3-point %28.3% · 38.8%Ball care15.1% · 18.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Akita   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Akita wins
2
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Akita v Koshigaya Alphas94-85
06/04/25Koshigaya Alphas v Akita73-55
05/04/25Koshigaya Alphas v Akita68-80
12/03/25Koshigaya Alphas v Akita93-80 OT
23/10/24Akita v Koshigaya Alphas78-69
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26HKoshigaya Alphas94-85
08/04/26AYokohama74-92
05/04/26AAlvark72-86
04/04/26AAlvark68-85
01/04/26ADiamond Dolphins66-74
29/03/26HKyoto63-86
28/03/26HKyoto91-80
15/03/26ASendai76-87
14/03/26ASendai70-93
11/03/26AChiba59-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26AAkita85-94
08/04/26AChiba78-92
05/04/26HOsaka84-77
04/04/26HOsaka78-84
01/04/26ABrave Thunders69-89
29/03/26AYokohama93-96 OT
28/03/26AYokohama70-78
15/03/26HDiamond Dolphins80-109
14/03/26HDiamond Dolphins72-101
11/03/26HToyama92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW18%
HomeLLWLW27%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %18%27%8%
Points / game73.775.671.6
Allowed / game85.485.385.4
Point differential-11.7-9.7-13.8
Avg total159.0160.9157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %33%38%28%
Points / game74.674.375.0
Allowed / game82.280.484.2
Point differential-7.6-6.1-9.2
Avg total156.9154.7159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki51401178%91.279.3+11.9
2 Diamond Dolphins51391276%84.173.0+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex51381375%86.180.4+5.8
4 Ryukyu51361571%81.474.6+6.9
5 Gunma51351669%82.773.1+9.5
6 SeaHorses Mikawa51351669%83.777.8+5.9
7 Chiba51341767%82.776.4+6.3
8 Alvark51341767%80.477.3+3.1
9 Hokkaido51321963%87.885.6+2.1
10 Sendai51312061%82.079.7+2.3
11 NeoPhoenix51302159%85.683.0+2.6
12 Hiroshima D.51292257%86.783.5+3.2
13 Saga52272552%82.082.3-0.4
14 Shimane51232845%79.580.6-1.1
15 Yokohama51222943%79.281.8-2.6
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya51213041%77.180.5-3.5
17 Shiga51213041%80.484.0-3.6
18 Osaka51203139%80.182.5-2.4
19 Kyoto52183435%73.580.6-7.2
20 Koshigaya Alphas51173433%74.682.2-7.6
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles51163531%80.283.5-3.4
22 Altiri Chiba51163531%78.884.3-5.5
23 Ibaraki Robots51153629%75.680.8-5.2
24 Brave Thunders51143727%75.783.5-7.7
25 Toyama51123924%80.589.3-8.8
26 Akita5194218%73.785.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Akita162115251087
Koshigaya Alphas1892525885
← all games of the day
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