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Nagasaki vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 71-84
20-22 22-22 14-11 15-29
Position#17
Record11-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#11
Record10-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game74.1
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
05 Apr 2026
NAGA99
NAGO88
04 Apr 2026
NAGA97
NAGO83
10 Dec 2023
NAGA72
NAGO67
09 Dec 2023
NAGA71
NAGO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
76avg 81
H28/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 81
H29/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
98-81
98
81
+17
92avg 81
A04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
88-92
88
92
-4
72avg 81
A05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
97-101
97
101
-4
89avg 81
A08/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
70-94
70
94
-24
60avg 81
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
86-81
86
81
+5
86avg 81
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
90avg 81
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
82avg 81
A06/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
22-17
13-23
27-26
25-25
19-15
25-23
12-13
18-19
25-20
31-20
24-22
16-15
29-31
21-22
22-24
22-25
25-19
27-28
23-29
20-28
12-22
22-22
16-22
29-24
24-15
15-22
18-20
11-24
22-16
17-16
20-14
27-23
17-21
23-20
25-21
24-17
20-21
20-16
27-27
173.0Avg total
86.2Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.984.4171.4+2.565%
Season at home (7)84.182.7166.9+1.471%
Season away (10)88.985.6174.5+3.360%
Last 10 (10)86.286.8173.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.284.2167.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.885.0170.8+0.862%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.283.0166.2+0.260%
vs Weaker (4)94.085.0179.0+9.075%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 65
A28/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 65
A29/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
64-70
64
70
-6
52avg 65
H04/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
62-77
62
77
-15
45avg 65
H05/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
73avg 65
H08/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 65
H11/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 65
H12/11
B League
Gunma
#13
W
74-68 OT
74
68
+6
no box
A02/12
B League
Gunma
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 65
A03/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
61-56
61
56
+5
59avg 65
H06/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
18-21
17-16
18-17
28-17
17-22
22-25
21-9
14-18
16-24
12-18
22-10
14-20
18-20
19-23
11-14
22-16
26-22
20-13
14-23
28-22
13-18
14-22
22-27
21-16
22-19
13-13
26-24
15-16
17-15
13-17
19-16
24-17
22-18
26-17
17-27
16-16
9-13
22-15
14-12
148.5Avg total
74.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.874.1147.9-0.459%
Season at home (10)69.072.1141.1-3.150%
Season away (7)80.677.0157.6+3.671%
Last 10 (10)74.873.7148.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)76.672.8149.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.677.4147.0-7.831%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.475.8151.2-0.450%
vs Weaker (7)71.176.3147.4-5.143%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
NagasakiNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A06/12
B League
85.5Avg total
42.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)45.142.287.3+2.865%-
Last 30 at home (7)42.741.384.0+1.457%-
Last 30 away (10)46.742.989.6+3.870%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.885.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.283.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.241.684.9+1.662%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.841.688.4+5.280%-
vs Weaker (4)46.544.290.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A28/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A29/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H04/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H05/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H08/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H12/11
B League
Gunma
#13
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A02/12
B League
Gunma
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A03/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H06/12
B League
75.1Avg total
37.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.838.573.3-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.236.971.1-2.733%-
Last 30 away (12)35.740.976.6-5.225%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.575.1+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.071.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.738.472.1-4.723%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.438.174.5-1.750%-
vs Weaker (7)34.439.373.7-4.914%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.0
55.6%
50.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.2
33.8%
33.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.712.4
70.1%
72.0%12.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.2
48.3%
50.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.7
36.4%
33.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.812.3
73.2%
72.0%12.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWLWLLLWWL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WWWWLWLLWL
#17
League position
#11
-0.6
Net rating
+0.0
106.4
Offensive rating
104.3
107.0
Defensive rating
104.3
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
22.1%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.8%
3-point %
36.4%
63.5%
Assist %
54.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 104.3Defence107.0 · 104.3Shooting53.4% · 50.7%3-point %33.8% · 36.4%Ball care17.3% · 22.1%Off. rebounds25.1% · 36.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
0
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
No previous meetings.
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23ASaga91-81
03/12/23HBrave Thunders92-85
02/12/23HBrave Thunders77-80 OT
12/11/23ASendai86-81
11/11/23ASendai70-94
08/11/23ADiamond Dolphins97-101
05/11/23AIbaraki Robots88-92
04/11/23AIbaraki Robots98-81
29/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa81-76
28/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa82-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya61-56
03/12/23AGunma89-79
02/12/23AGunma74-68 OT
12/11/23HSeaHorses Mikawa82-72
11/11/23HSeaHorses Mikawa77-89
08/11/23HOsaka82-74
05/11/23HHokkaido62-77
04/11/23HHokkaido64-70
29/10/23AChiba88-73
28/10/23AChiba69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %65%71%60%
Points / game86.984.188.9
Allowed / game84.482.785.6
Point differential+2.5+1.4+3.3
Avg total171.4166.9174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %59%50%71%
Points / game73.869.080.6
Allowed / game74.172.177.0
Point differential-0.4-3.1+3.6
Avg total147.9141.1157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1815383%80.364.5+15.8
2 NeoPhoenix1815383%88.477.9+10.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex1814478%77.467.6+9.9
4 Brave Thunders1814478%82.275.7+6.5
5 Ryukyu1713476%81.677.5+4.1
6 Diamond Dolphins1813572%82.479.2+3.3
7 Nagasaki1711665%86.984.4+2.5
8 Chiba1811761%84.082.4+1.6
9 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1710759%73.874.1-0.4
10 Hiroshima D.1810856%79.173.7+5.4
11 Shimane1810856%81.678.0+3.6
12 SeaHorses Mikawa179853%82.577.7+4.8
13 Osaka179853%80.279.7+0.5
14 Sendai178947%81.980.5+1.4
15 Saga178947%73.973.6+0.2
16 Akita1871139%71.176.6-5.4
17 Gunma1871139%75.781.2-5.5
18 Yokohama1871139%76.281.9-5.8
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya1761135%75.377.7-2.4
20 Kyoto1851328%75.782.4-6.7
21 Shinshu1741324%75.183.4-8.3
22 Hokkaido1831517%73.182.3-9.2
23 Ibaraki Robots171166%75.287.3-12.1
24 Toyama181176%72.887.5-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2022141571
Nagoya Fighting Eagles2222112984
← all games of the day
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