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Nagasaki vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 72-67
14-19 21-14 23-20 14-14
Position#17
Record11-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#11
Record11-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game73.9
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
05 Apr 2026
NAGA99
NAGO88
04 Apr 2026
NAGA97
NAGO83
10 Dec 2023
NAGA72
NAGO67
09 Dec 2023
NAGA71
NAGO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 80
H29/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
98-81
98
81
+17
92avg 80
A04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
88-92
88
92
-4
72avg 80
A05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
97-101
97
101
-4
89avg 80
A08/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
70-94
70
94
-24
60avg 80
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
86-81
86
81
+5
86avg 80
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
90avg 80
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
82avg 80
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 80
H09/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
19-15
25-23
12-13
18-19
25-20
31-20
24-22
16-15
29-31
21-22
22-24
22-25
25-19
27-28
23-29
20-28
12-22
22-22
16-22
29-24
24-15
15-22
18-20
11-24
22-16
17-16
20-14
27-23
17-21
23-20
25-21
24-17
20-21
20-16
27-27
20-22
22-22
14-11
15-29
170.6Avg total
85.1Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.184.4170.4+1.761%
Season at home (8)82.582.9165.4-0.462%
Season away (10)88.985.6174.5+3.360%
Last 10 (10)85.185.5170.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)83.482.2165.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.885.0170.8+0.862%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.283.2164.3-2.050%
vs Weaker (4)94.085.0179.0+9.075%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 66
A29/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
64-70
64
70
-6
52avg 66
H04/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
62-77
62
77
-15
45avg 66
H05/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
73avg 66
H08/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 66
H11/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 66
H12/11
B League
Gunma
#13
W
74-68 OT
74
68
+6
no box
A02/12
B League
Gunma
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 66
A03/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
61-56
61
56
+5
59avg 66
H06/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
79avg 66
A09/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
17-22
22-25
21-9
14-18
16-24
12-18
22-10
14-20
18-20
19-23
11-14
22-16
26-22
20-13
14-23
28-22
13-18
14-22
22-27
21-16
22-19
13-13
26-24
15-16
17-15
13-17
19-16
24-17
22-18
26-17
17-27
16-16
9-13
22-15
14-12
22-20
22-22
11-14
29-15
149.2Avg total
76.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.373.9148.3+0.461%
Season at home (10)69.072.1141.1-3.150%
Season away (8)81.076.2157.2+4.875%
Last 10 (10)76.372.9149.2+3.470%
Last 5 (5)78.069.2147.2+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.077.8147.8-7.833%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.275.4151.5+0.855%
vs Weaker (7)71.176.3147.4-5.143%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
NagasakiNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H09/12
B League
85.1Avg total
42.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)44.942.387.2+2.661%-
Last 30 at home (8)42.641.684.2+1.050%-
Last 30 away (10)46.742.989.6+3.870%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.485.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.084.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.241.684.9+1.662%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.042.088.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker (4)46.544.290.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A29/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H04/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H05/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H08/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H12/11
B League
Gunma
#13
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A02/12
B League
Gunma
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A03/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H06/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A09/12
B League
75.7Avg total
38.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.873.8-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.137.171.2-3.129%-
Last 30 away (13)36.341.077.3-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.175.7+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.472.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.538.872.3-5.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.138.575.5-1.455%-
vs Weaker (7)34.439.373.7-4.914%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.7
54.5%
50.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.2
33.2%
33.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
72.0%12.4
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.6
50.5%
50.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.5
35.9%
33.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.012.5
69.4%
72.0%12.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LWWLWLLLWW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WWWWWLWLLW
#17
League position
#11
-3.0
Net rating
+3.0
105.2
Offensive rating
103.9
108.2
Defensive rating
100.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
18.0%
Turnover %
21.8%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
35.9%
66.0%
Assist %
56.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 103.9Defence108.2 · 100.8Shooting52.4% · 51.8%3-point %33.2% · 35.9%Ball care18.0% · 21.8%Off. rebounds26.9% · 33.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
1
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Nagasaki v Nagoya Fighting Eagles71-84
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles71-84
06/12/23ASaga91-81
03/12/23HBrave Thunders92-85
02/12/23HBrave Thunders77-80 OT
12/11/23ASendai86-81
11/11/23ASendai70-94
08/11/23ADiamond Dolphins97-101
05/11/23AIbaraki Robots88-92
04/11/23AIbaraki Robots98-81
29/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa81-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ANagasaki84-71
06/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya61-56
03/12/23AGunma89-79
02/12/23AGunma74-68 OT
12/11/23HSeaHorses Mikawa82-72
11/11/23HSeaHorses Mikawa77-89
08/11/23HOsaka82-74
05/11/23HHokkaido62-77
04/11/23HHokkaido64-70
29/10/23AChiba88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL61%
HomeLWLWL62%
AwayLLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %61%62%60%
Points / game86.182.588.9
Allowed / game84.482.985.6
Point differential+1.7-0.4+3.3
Avg total170.4165.4174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW61%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%50%75%
Points / game74.369.081.0
Allowed / game73.972.176.2
Point differential+0.4-3.1+4.8
Avg total148.3141.1157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%20%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1815383%80.364.5+15.8
2 NeoPhoenix1815383%88.477.9+10.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex1814478%77.467.6+9.9
4 Brave Thunders1814478%82.275.7+6.5
5 Ryukyu1814478%81.777.7+4.0
6 Diamond Dolphins1813572%82.479.2+3.3
7 Nagasaki1811761%86.184.4+1.7
8 Chiba1811761%84.082.4+1.6
9 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1811761%74.373.9+0.4
10 Hiroshima D.1810856%79.173.7+5.4
11 SeaHorses Mikawa1810856%82.477.7+4.7
12 Shimane1810856%81.678.0+3.6
13 Saga189950%73.973.6+0.3
14 Osaka189950%78.879.7-0.8
15 Sendai1881044%81.680.6+1.1
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya1871139%75.576.5-1.0
17 Akita1871139%71.176.6-5.4
18 Gunma1871139%75.781.2-5.5
19 Yokohama1871139%76.281.9-5.8
20 Kyoto1851328%75.782.4-6.7
21 Shinshu1841422%75.483.3-7.9
22 Hokkaido1831517%73.182.3-9.2
23 Ibaraki Robots181176%75.086.6-11.6
24 Toyama181176%72.887.5-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1421231472
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1914201467
← all games of the day
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