Valur vs Armann Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 94-83

26-18 18-23 20-23 30-19

Position#4

Record0-2

FormLLLLL

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game90.5

Valur 🏆

Armann

Position#10

Record0-2

FormLLLL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game118.0

Premier leagueRound 3· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda

Other2025-26

Meetings · Valur v Armann

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Armann winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValur

Date

Competition

Grindavik

99-80

+19

102avg 82

H13/03

Premier league

Keflavik

91-67

+24

93avg 82

A19/03

Icelandic Cup

KR Basket

96-78

+18

96avg 82

A22/03

Icelandic Cup

Tindastoll

74-88

-14

63avg 82

A27/03

Premier league

Grindavik

94-89

90avg 82

H02/04

Premier league

Grindavik

76-80

-4

68avg 82

A06/04

Premier league

Grindavik

75-86

-11

59avg 82

H10/04

Premier league

Grindavik

74-82

-8

62avg 82

A14/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

85-87

-2

77avg 82

H06/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

91-94

-3

85avg 82

A11/10

Premier league

25-11

28-17

31-23

15-29

21-19

30-16

26-14

14-18

22-15

27-14

21-24

26-25

24-28

13-25

22-20

15-15

29-26

26-19

24-25

15-19

18-23

18-20

17-24

23-13

16-15

25-25

11-16

23-30

24-13

23-24

15-22

12-23

21-25

20-26

20-13

24-23

34-26

12-27

20-22

25-19

168.6Avg total

85.5Scored

83.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	88.0	90.5	178.5	-2.5	0%
Season at home (1)	85.0	87.0	172.0	-2.0	0%
Season away (1)	91.0	94.0	185.0	-3.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	83.1	168.6	+2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	85.8	166.0	-5.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	84.4	85.6	170.0	-1.2	40%
vs Similar (14)	90.1	86.1	176.2	+4.1	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	87.2	81.3	168.5	+5.9	60%

This opponent (Armann) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Armann

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormArmann

Date

Competition

Grindavik

101-109

101

109

-8

no box

A31/10

Icelandic Cup

Stjarnan

74-102

102

-28

no box

H10/12

Icelandic Cup

Alftanes

69-121

121

-52

48avg 62

A02/10

Premier league

KR Basket

89-115

115

-26

76avg 62

H09/10

Premier league

30-28

21-29

23-20

27-32

16-19

14-27

22-27

22-29

13-36

17-37

21-23

18-25

25-28

22-34

15-27

27-26

195.0Avg total

83.2Scored

111.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	79.0	118.0	197.0	-39.0	0%
Season at home (1)	89.0	115.0	204.0	-26.0	0%
Season away (1)	69.0	121.0	190.0	-52.0	0%
Last 10 (4)	83.2	111.8	195.0	-28.5	0%
Last 5 (4)	83.2	111.8	195.0	-28.5	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	79.0	118.0	197.0	-39.0	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValurArmann

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.3	43.9	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	21.9	44.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.1	43.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.1	22.1	44.1	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	21.0	27.8	48.8	-6.8	25%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	20.5	23.5	44.0	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	21.5	32.0	53.5	-10.5	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	21.0	27.8	48.8	-6.8	25%	-
Last 5 (4)	21.0	27.8	48.8	-6.8	25%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.0	32.0	51.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.3	43.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	21.7	45.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.3	43.5	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.4	44.0	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	25.0	44.8	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	24.8	20.8	45.6	+4.0	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	18.5	31.8	50.2	-13.2	0%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	18.0	30.5	48.5	-12.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	19.0	33.0	52.0	-14.0	0%	-
Last 10 (4)	18.5	31.8	50.2	-13.2	0%	-
Last 5 (4)	18.5	31.8	50.2	-13.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.5	35.5	55.0	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Grindavik

53-28

+25

H13/03

Premier league

Keflavik

51-35

+16

A19/03

Icelandic Cup

KR Basket

49-29

+20

A22/03

Icelandic Cup

Tindastoll

37-53

-16

A27/03

Premier league

Grindavik

55-45

+10

H02/04

Premier league

Grindavik

36-43

-7

A06/04

Premier league

Grindavik

41-40

H10/04

Premier league

Grindavik

47-37

+10

A14/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

41-51

-10

H06/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

46-53

-7

A11/10

Premier league

87.0Avg total

45.6Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	43.6	87.1	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.4	43.6	89.9	+2.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	43.6	84.7	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	41.4	87.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	44.8	87.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	43.0	48.4	91.4	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	42.9	42.8	85.7	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	45.0	42.2	87.2	+2.8	40%	-

This opponent (Armann) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArmannLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Grindavik

51-57

-6

A31/10

Icelandic Cup

Stjarnan

30-46

-16

H10/12

Icelandic Cup

Alftanes

30-73

-43

A02/10

Premier league

KR Basket

47-62

-15

H09/10

Premier league

99.0Avg total

39.5Scored

59.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	39.5	59.5	99.0	-20.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	38.5	54.0	92.5	-15.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	40.5	65.0	105.5	-24.5	0%	-
Last 10 (4)	39.5	59.5	99.0	-20.0	0%	-
Last 5 (4)	39.5	59.5	99.0	-20.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	38.5	67.5	106.0	-29.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	18.3	40.9	+4.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.8	17.6	39.4	+4.2	80%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.2	19.5	41.7	+2.7	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	20.2	24.2	44.5	-4.0	25%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	18.5	27.0	45.5	-8.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	20.2	24.2	44.5	-4.0	25%	-
Last 5 (4)	20.2	24.2	44.5	-4.0	25%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	20.9	42.8	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.4	20.5	43.9	+2.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	23.5	28.0	51.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	24.5	27.5	52.0	-3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (2)	22.5	28.5	51.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 10 (4)	23.5	28.0	51.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 5 (4)	23.5	28.0	51.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	22.5	25.5	48.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	40.0	83.6	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.5	39.1	83.6	+5.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.9	40.7	83.6	+2.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	41.7	81.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.4	37.2	78.6	+4.2	80%	-
vs Similar (14)	45.3	42.1	87.4	+3.2	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.2	39.1	81.3	+3.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	43.8	52.2	96.0	-8.5	0%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	43.0	54.5	97.5	-11.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	44.5	50.0	94.5	-5.5	0%	-
Last 10 (4)	43.8	52.2	96.0	-8.5	0%	-
Last 5 (4)	43.8	52.2	96.0	-8.5	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	40.5	50.5	91.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 84.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game

47%

36%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	17.2	50.3%	54.6%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.1	11.6	33.0%	34.0%	34.8
🏀 Free throws	20.9	15.1	72.2%	74.2%	15.1

They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Armanntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Armann: 76.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game

47%

36%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	18.7	51.4%	54.6%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.7	8.0	25.3%	34.0%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.3	75.4%	74.2%	15.3

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	17.2	48.5%	54.6%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.9	10.9	30.4%	34.0%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.2	74.5%	74.2%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.7	32.7	62.0%	54.6%	65.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	11.0	35.5%	34.0%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.0	72.2%	74.2%	13.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	18.5	53.3%	54.6%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.3	12.0	33.9%	34.0%	35.9
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.1	71.8%	74.2%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	18.2	48.5%	54.6%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.6	11.3	32.6%	34.0%	33.8
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.1	75.7%	74.2%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.7	32.7	62.0%	54.6%	65.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	11.0	35.5%	34.0%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.0	72.2%	74.2%	13.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Valur

LLLLLWLWWW

Armann

LLLL

League position

#10

+2.5

Net rating

-40.8

105.5

Offensive rating

90.3

103.0

Defensive rating

131.1

49.9%

Effective FG%

45.1%

47.0%

Opp. effective FG%

58.8%

17.5%

Turnover %

13.1%

29.5%

Off. rebound %

8.6%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.30

33.0%

3-point %

25.3%

64.2%

Assist %

55.0%

40%

Form (last 10/4)

Profile

■ Valur ■ Armann

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valur wins

Armann wins

No previous meetings.

Valurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/25	A	Stjarnan	91-94
06/10/25	H	Tindastoll	85-87
14/04/25	A	Grindavik	74-82
10/04/25	H	Grindavik	75-86
06/04/25	A	Grindavik	76-80
02/04/25	H	Grindavik	94-89
27/03/25	A	Tindastoll	74-88
22/03/25	A	KR Basket	96-78
19/03/25	A	Keflavik	91-67
13/03/25	H	Grindavik	99-80

Armannlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/10/25	H	KR Basket	89-115
02/10/25	A	Alftanes	69-121
10/12/23	H	Stjarnan	74-102
31/10/22	A	Grindavik	101-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur

Premier league 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	88.0	85.0	91.0
Allowed / game	90.5	87.0	94.0
Point differential	-2.5	-2.0	-3.0
Avg total	178.5	172.0	185.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Armann

Premier league 2025-26

Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Losses (last 4)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	79.0	89.0	69.0
Allowed / game	118.0	115.0	121.0
Point differential	-39.0	-26.0	-52.0
Avg total	197.0	204.0	190.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alftanes	2	2	0	100%	105.0	69.5	+35.5
2	Grindavik	2	2	0	100%	112.5	97.5	+15.0
3	KR Basket	2	2	0	100%	108.5	93.5	+15.0
4	Tindastoll	2	2	0	100%	94.0	83.0	+11.0
5	Stjarnan	2	1	1	50%	96.0	96.5	-0.5
6	Akranes IA	2	1	1	50%	100.5	104.0	-3.5
7	IR Reykjavik	2	1	1	50%	92.5	96.0	-3.5
8	Keflavik	2	1	1	50%	86.5	92.0	-5.5
9	Valur	2	0	2	0%	88.0	90.5	-2.5
10	Njardvik	2	0	2	0%	98.0	105.5	-7.5
11	Thorl	2	0	2	0%	81.0	95.5	-14.5
12	Armann	2	0	2	0%	79.0	118.0	-39.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valur	26	18	20	30	94
Armann	18	23	23	19	83

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Valur vs Armann Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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