PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Buffalo vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 70-72
35-29 35-43
Position#180
Record15-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#342
Record8-16
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Buffalo v Northern Illinois
17 Feb 2026
BUFF70
NORT72
08 Mar 2024
BUFF68
NORT78
07 Jan 2023
BUFF80
NORT62
26 Feb 2022
BUFF70
NORT60
04 Jan 2020
BUFF72
NORT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H20/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H03/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-44
33-47
30-44
51-43
48-46
40-42
27-43
36-39
29-38
38-30
39-32
50-46
31-46
52-49
35-38
36-35
24-40
45-41
30-27
33-26
158.1Avg total
76.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.674.8153.5+3.860%
Season at home (13)79.376.6155.9+2.754%
Season away (12)77.972.9150.8+5.067%
Last 10 (10)76.881.3158.1-4.520%
Last 5 (5)75.076.0151.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.981.6158.5-4.730%
vs Similar (12)77.176.8153.9+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.367.0144.3+10.386%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A13/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H12/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
46-88
46
88
-42
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
36-38
26-28
33-49
40-33
30-35
30-32
47-48
22-29
31-29
35-30
50-35
38-40
23-45
35-37
40-37
19-38
33-30
22-51
24-37
137.7Avg total
63.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.076.5147.5-5.533%
Season at home (10)80.473.7154.1+6.760%
Season away (14)64.478.5142.9-14.114%
Last 10 (10)63.973.8137.7-9.930%
Last 5 (5)63.876.0139.8-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)63.679.2142.8-15.514%
vs Similar (6)80.772.2152.8+8.567%
vs Weaker (2)114.563.0177.5+51.5100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -3.6-3.6
BuffaloNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H20/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H31/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H03/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A07/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A12/02
NCAA
73.8Avg total
34.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.972.6+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.537.272.7-1.727%-
Last 30 away (15)38.134.572.6+3.573%-
Last 10 (10)34.039.873.8-5.840%-
Last 5 (5)31.836.668.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.340.375.6-5.030%-
vs Similar (12)34.035.869.8-1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.629.671.1+12.086%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H28/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
19-38
19
38
-19
H12/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A14/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
29.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.937.571.4-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.236.773.9+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)31.438.169.5-6.824%-
Last 10 (10)29.235.564.7-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)29.839.269.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)30.039.068.9-9.018%-
vs Similar (6)39.837.277.0+2.767%-
vs Weaker (2)59.522.582.0+37.0100%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Buffalo wins
3
Northern Illinois wins
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26ABall State63-53
07/02/26ASouth Alabama69-81
03/02/26HMiami (Ohio)71-73
31/01/26HOhio83-95
28/01/26ABowling Green89-78
24/01/26HUMass67-68
20/01/26HAkron63-82
17/01/26AMiami (Ohio)102-105 OT
13/01/26HKent State81-87
10/01/26AOhio80-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ACentral Michigan46-88
12/02/26HBowling Green52-68
07/02/26AGeorgia State75-74
31/01/26AMiami (Ohio)61-85
28/01/26HWestern Michigan85-65
24/01/26ABall State53-58
21/01/26AOhio77-80
17/01/26HUMass70-68
13/01/26AEastern Michigan59-77
07/01/26HToledo61-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeLLLLL54%
AwayLLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%54%67%
Points / game78.679.377.9
Allowed / game74.876.672.9
Point differential+3.8+2.7+5.0
Avg total153.5155.9150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%23%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLLWWL60%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %33%60%14%
Points / game71.080.464.4
Allowed / game76.573.778.5
Point differential-5.5+6.7-14.1
Avg total147.5154.1142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)25250100%92.674.3+18.3
2 Akron2520580%89.974.9+15.0
3 Kent State2618869%85.780.3+5.4
4 Bowling Green26161062%82.370.2+12.2
5 Buffalo25151060%78.674.8+3.8
6 UMass26151158%81.076.7+4.3
7 Toledo26131350%80.877.6+3.2
8 Ohio26131350%77.677.8-0.2
9 Western Michigan2591636%74.879.3-4.5
10 Eastern Michigan2691735%71.273.4-2.2
11 Northern Illinois2481633%71.076.5-5.5
12 Central Michigan2581732%74.077.3-3.4
13 Ball State2581732%66.470.0-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo353570
Northern Illinois294372
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.