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Akron vs UMass Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#47
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game62.7
vs
Position#168
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Akron v UMass
30 Jan 2027
AKRO v UMAS
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
AKRO99
UMAS92
30 Dec 2019
AKRO85
UMAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akron win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UMass win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
W
92-70
92
70
+22
A28/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A04/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
94-55
94
55
+39
H06/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H15/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A20/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#280
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A03/11
NCAA
Muskingum
#481
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H10/11
NCAA
Tulane
#219
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-37
45-33
39-33
38-31
47-27
47-28
42-29
31-41
42-28
33-40
30-42
49-34
35-40
36-51
46-29
29-32
62-27
50-37
36-26
29-37
149.5Avg total
81.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.062.7146.7+21.3100%
Season at home (2)88.563.5152.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)75.061.0136.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.368.2149.5+13.190%
Last 5 (5)80.471.0151.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)83.673.1156.7+10.589%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
73-74 OT
73
74
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A28/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A13/03
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A03/11
NCAA
Boston College
#36
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A06/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
41-45
34-29
34-39
34-21
27-40
37-28
25-53
37-39
57-43
37-39
50-44
34-43
33-34
38-28
33-32
35-37
20-34
31-37
41-25
150.2Avg total
74.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.064.3130.3+1.767%
Season at home (1)72.062.0134.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)63.065.5128.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)74.076.2150.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)70.470.6141.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.683.6162.2-5.025%
vs Similar (10)80.980.9161.8+0.050%
vs Weaker (11)76.772.0148.7+4.773%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -2.8-2.8
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -2.8-2.8
AkronUMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H12/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H13/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H15/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#280
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A03/11
NCAA
Muskingum
#481
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H10/11
NCAA
Tulane
#219
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H14/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
42.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.633.776.2+8.983%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.834.878.6+9.082%-
Last 30 away (13)40.932.273.1+8.885%-
Last 10 (10)42.631.874.4+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.832.874.6+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.934.376.2+7.781%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A25/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A13/03
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A03/11
NCAA
Boston College
#36
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.3Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.370.8+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.132.767.8+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)37.535.673.1+1.959%-
Last 10 (10)35.334.269.5+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.871.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.537.975.4-0.425%-
vs Similar (10)35.434.670.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker (11)36.332.769.0+3.582%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Akron wins
0
UMass wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Akron v UMass99-92
31/12/19Akron v UMass85-79
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTulane65-63
10/11/26HMuskingum112-64
03/11/26ALouisiana Lafayette75-61
20/03/26ATexas Tech71-91
15/03/26HToledo79-76
13/03/26HKent State75-68
12/03/26HBuffalo73-70
06/03/26HNorthern Illinois94-55
04/03/26ACentral Michigan77-64
28/02/26AKent State92-70
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HUMass Lowell72-62
06/11/26ABoston College55-71
03/11/26ATroy71-60
13/03/26AToledo67-77
12/03/26AMiami (Ohio)87-83
04/03/26HOhio94-82
28/02/26ABowling Green62-81
25/02/26ABall State73-74 OT
21/02/26HBuffalo82-86 OT
18/02/26HMiami (Ohio)77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akron
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.088.575.0
Allowed / game62.763.561.0
Point differential+21.3+25.0+14.0
Avg total146.7152.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMass
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game66.072.063.0
Allowed / game64.362.065.5
Point differential+1.7+10.0-2.5
Avg total130.3134.0128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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