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Almaty vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-79
33-21 19-18 17-23 22-17
Position#6
Record5-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game82.1
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#7
Record4-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game88.6
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau
17 May 2026
ALMA80
KASP101
16 May 2026
ALMA77
KASP69
22 Feb 2026
ALMA71
KASP83
21 Feb 2026
ALMA79
KASP95
23 Nov 2025
ALMA75
KASP69
22 Nov 2025
ALMA67
KASP70
15 Apr 2025
ALMA80
KASP74
07 Apr 2025
ALMA89
KASP74
27 Oct 2024
ALMA70
KASP68
26 Oct 2024
ALMA76
KASP58
12 Jan 2024
ALMA91
KASP79
11 Jan 2024
ALMA81
KASP84
06 Nov 2020
ALMA72
KASP73
05 Nov 2020
ALMA83
KASP64
02 Mar 2019
ALMA100
KASP78
01 Mar 2019
ALMA89
KASP76
21 Oct 2017
ALMA63
KASP72
16 Jan 2016
ALMA52
KASP63
15 Jan 2016
ALMA66
KASP62
15 Dec 2015
ALMA70
KASP82
09 Feb 2015
ALMA58
KASP75
08 Feb 2015
ALMA81
KASP89
07 Nov 2014
ALMA88
KASP77
25 Feb 2014
ALMA66
KASP81
24 Feb 2014
ALMA69
KASP112
30 Oct 2013
ALMA70
KASP97
29 Oct 2013
ALMA59
KASP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 70
A07/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
71avg 70
H14/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
65avg 70
H15/11
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
71avg 70
A20/11
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
67-79
67
79
-12
59avg 70
A21/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
73avg 70
A05/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
61-87
61
87
-26
64avg 70
A06/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 70
H23/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
67-84
67
84
-17
50avg 70
H24/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
65avg 70
H11/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
15-21
17-28
20-18
21-15
25-35
20-26
15-19
14-17
25-15
18-16
22-17
18-27
20-12
18-28
17-18
24-24
20-19
8-16
15-20
20-24
15-20
22-20
20-16
10-26
30-22
8-19
13-20
28-17
17-29
17-15
21-16
17-20
12-25
23-21
15-18
23-19
19-23
19-21
20-21
157.1Avg total
75.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.982.1159.9-4.233%
Season at home (9)80.282.3162.6-2.144%
Season away (6)74.381.7156.0-7.317%
Last 10 (10)75.182.0157.1-6.920%
Last 5 (5)73.882.4156.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)71.392.7164.0-21.416%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.676.0159.6+7.660%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
L
86-99
86
99
-13
88avg 69
H12/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
96-74
96
74
+22
96avg 69
A18/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 69
A19/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
72avg 69
H05/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
70-82
70
82
-12
50avg 69
H06/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
58-105
58
105
-47
56avg 69
H13/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
58avg 69
H14/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
77-102
77
102
-25
66avg 69
H25/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
79avg 69
H26/12
National League
Almaty
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
79avg 69
A11/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
24-28
29-19
19-26
24-22
35-17
19-21
18-14
19-16
17-29
29-17
20-15
18-28
17-25
17-27
34-19
21-23
14-13
11-25
24-21
14-33
9-24
16-20
19-28
18-22
8-28
18-23
19-17
13-26
20-28
25-30
19-18
25-22
18-27
26-24
13-24
19-23
23-19
21-19
21-20
169.3Avg total
78.7Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.088.6164.6-12.624%
Season at home (10)74.993.4168.3-18.510%
Season away (7)77.681.7159.3-4.143%
Last 10 (10)78.790.6169.3-11.930%
Last 5 (5)72.895.0167.8-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)71.786.9158.6-15.219%
vs Similar (7)73.469.3142.7+4.171%
vs Weaker (2)79.555.5135.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
AlmatyKaspiy Aktau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A07/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H14/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H15/11
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A20/11
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A21/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A05/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A06/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H24/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H11/01
National League
83.0Avg total
40.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.345.984.2-7.633%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.544.183.6-4.635%-
Last 30 away (13)36.748.284.9-11.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.783.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.083.2-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)37.247.784.8-10.524%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.837.080.8+6.880%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H12/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A18/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A19/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H05/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H06/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
23-57
23
57
-34
H13/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H14/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H25/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/12
National League
Almaty
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A11/01
National League
84.9Avg total
37.0Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.142.478.5-6.320%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.944.779.7-9.86%-
Last 30 away (12)37.938.976.8-1.042%-
Last 10 (10)37.047.984.9-10.910%-
Last 5 (5)33.450.483.8-17.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.045.380.3-10.314%-
vs Similar (7)36.337.974.1-1.614%-
vs Weaker (2)47.528.075.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Almaty wins
6
Kaspiy Aktau wins
DateGameScore
11/01/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau81-84
07/11/23Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty84-82
06/11/23Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty75-86
27/03/21Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty87-52
26/03/21Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty89-85
06/11/20Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau72-73
05/11/20Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau83-64
31/10/20Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty65-71
30/10/20Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty62-68
18/03/19Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty94-89
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24HKaspiy Aktau81-84
24/12/23HAktobe67-84
23/12/23HAktobe83-77
06/12/23AAtyrau61-87
05/12/23AAtyrau77-80
21/11/23AAstana 267-79
20/11/23AAstana 273-85
15/11/23HTobol Kostanay79-65
14/11/23HTobol Kostanay81-95
07/11/23AKaspiy Aktau82-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24AAlmaty84-81
26/12/23HAtyrau82-97
25/12/23HAtyrau77-102
14/12/23HIrbis Almaty63-90
13/12/23HIrbis Almaty58-105
06/12/23HTobol Kostanay70-82
05/12/23HTobol Kostanay86-99
19/11/23APavlodar85-77
18/11/23APavlodar96-74
12/11/23HAstana 286-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %33%44%17%
Points / game77.980.274.3
Allowed / game82.182.381.7
Point differential-4.2-2.1-7.3
Avg total159.9162.6156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW24%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %24%10%43%
Points / game76.074.977.6
Allowed / game88.693.481.7
Point differential-12.6-18.5-4.1
Avg total164.6168.3159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty1615194%88.472.1+16.3
2 Atyrau1612475%86.777.1+9.6
3 Tobol Kostanay1812667%87.381.7+5.6
4 Astana 2168850%76.976.2+0.7
5 Aktobe168850%83.583.8-0.2
6 Almaty1551033%77.982.1-4.2
7 Kaspiy Aktau1741324%76.088.6-12.6
8 Pavlodar161156%75.490.7-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty3319172291
Kaspiy Aktau2118231779
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