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Pavlodar vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 69-109
18-28 15-25 20-31 16-25
Position#8
Record1-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#6
Record7-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game85.5
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pavlodar v Almaty
09 Oct 2024
PAVL69
ALMA82
08 Oct 2024
PAVL68
ALMA89
24 Jan 2024
PAVL69
ALMA109
23 Jan 2024
PAVL98
ALMA106
21 Feb 2018
PAVL43
ALMA80
21 Dec 2017
PAVL43
ALMA63
30 Oct 2016
PAVL28
ALMA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
59avg 62
H19/11
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
61avg 62
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 62
H02/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 62
H14/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
76-104
76
104
-28
60avg 62
H15/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
83-101
83
101
-18
73avg 62
A09/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
82-111
82
111
-29
75avg 62
A10/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
68-90
68
90
-22
55avg 62
A12/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
72-101
72
101
-29
61avg 62
A13/01
National League
Almaty
#6
L
98-106
98
106
-8
80avg 62
H23/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
29-17
17-29
15-20
22-23
22-24
16-23
16-20
19-26
35-15
16-11
16-25
20-23
15-26
18-23
18-15
16-25
25-20
12-32
23-27
24-27
22-28
22-20
15-26
16-20
22-34
16-31
28-26
18-19
19-27
21-24
10-20
16-25
17-22
20-23
19-31
25-27
20-34
20-24
33-21
174.1Avg total
78.9Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.092.0168.0-16.05%
Season at home (11)77.590.6168.2-13.19%
Season away (8)73.993.9167.8-20.00%
Last 10 (10)78.995.2174.1-16.310%
Last 5 (5)80.6101.8182.4-21.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)75.390.0165.2-14.79%
vs Similar (5)73.677.6151.2-4.040%
vs Weaker (3)79.779.7159.3+0.033%
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
L
67-79
67
79
-12
59avg 75
A21/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
73avg 75
A05/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
61-87
61
87
-26
64avg 75
A06/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 75
H23/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
67-84
67
84
-17
50avg 75
H24/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
65avg 75
H11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
91-79
91
79
+12
89avg 75
H12/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
80-108
80
108
-28
79avg 75
A19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
102-109
102
109
-7
99avg 75
A20/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
106-98
106
98
+8
107avg 75
A23/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
20-19
8-16
15-20
20-24
15-20
22-20
20-16
10-26
30-22
8-19
13-20
28-17
17-29
17-15
21-16
17-20
12-25
23-21
15-18
23-19
19-23
19-21
20-21
33-21
19-18
17-23
22-17
24-33
23-29
13-28
20-18
20-32
25-24
35-25
22-28
27-25
34-20
24-20
21-33
170.0Avg total
81.5Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.485.5166.9-4.137%
Season at home (10)81.382.0163.3-0.750%
Season away (9)81.689.4171.0-7.922%
Last 10 (10)81.588.5170.0-7.030%
Last 5 (5)92.095.6187.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)74.092.1166.1-18.017%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.979.6167.4+8.371%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
PavlodarAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H19/11
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H02/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H14/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H15/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A09/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A10/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A12/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A13/01
National League
Almaty
#6
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H23/01
National League
89.9Avg total
41.8Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.084.3-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.945.686.5-4.733%-
Last 30 away (15)37.844.482.2-6.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.848.189.9-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.852.692.4-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.547.485.9-8.914%-
vs Similar (5)39.638.678.2+1.080%-
vs Weaker (3)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A21/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A05/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A06/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H24/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H12/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A20/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
61-45
61
45
+16
A23/01
National League
91.0Avg total
44.0Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.245.685.8-5.437%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.343.582.8-4.235%-
Last 30 away (13)41.448.389.7-6.938%-
Last 10 (10)44.047.091.0-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)49.448.898.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.047.885.8-9.822%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.438.485.9+9.086%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
8
Almaty wins
DateGameScore
23/01/24Pavlodar v Almaty98-106
31/10/23Almaty v Pavlodar82-71
30/10/23Almaty v Pavlodar87-66
21/02/18Pavlodar v Almaty43-80
24/01/18Almaty v Pavlodar80-49
21/12/17Pavlodar v Almaty43-63
30/10/16Pavlodar v Almaty28-86
16/11/15Almaty v Pavlodar90-49
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24HAlmaty98-106
13/01/24AAstana 272-101
12/01/24AAstana 268-90
10/01/24ATobol Kostanay82-111
09/01/24ATobol Kostanay83-101
15/12/23HAktobe76-104
14/12/23HAktobe71-87
02/12/23HAstana 286-77
01/12/23HAstana 276-90
19/11/23HKaspiy Aktau77-85
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24APavlodar106-98
20/01/24ATobol Kostanay102-109
19/01/24ATobol Kostanay80-108
12/01/24HKaspiy Aktau91-79
11/01/24HKaspiy Aktau81-84
24/12/23HAktobe67-84
23/12/23HAktobe83-77
06/12/23AAtyrau61-87
05/12/23AAtyrau77-80
21/11/23AAstana 267-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLWLLL9%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %5%9%0%
Points / game76.077.573.9
Allowed / game92.090.693.9
Point differential-16.0-13.1-20.0
Avg total168.0168.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Almaty
National League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW37%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%50%22%
Points / game81.481.381.6
Allowed / game85.582.089.4
Point differential-4.1-0.7-7.9
Avg total166.9163.3171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty1817194%87.970.6+17.3
2 Atyrau1813572%86.377.5+8.8
3 Tobol Kostanay2014670%89.482.6+6.8
4 Astana 21910953%78.575.9+2.6
5 Aktobe1910953%83.182.9+0.2
6 Almaty1971237%81.485.5-4.1
7 Kaspiy Aktau2041620%74.488.2-13.8
8 Pavlodar191185%76.092.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar1815201669
Almaty28253125109
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