Tobol Kostanay vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 108-80

33-24 29-23 28-13 18-20

Position#4

Record12-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game81.7

Tobol Kostanay 🏆

Almaty

Position#6

Record6-10

FormLWLLW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game81.9

National League

Other2023-24

Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Almaty

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Almaty winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

79-86

-7

73avg 87

A19/11

National League

Irbis Almaty

58-97

-39

48avg 87

A20/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

99-86

+13

104avg 87

A05/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

82-70

+12

90avg 87

A06/12

National League

Atyrau

94-92

100avg 87

H15/12

National League

Atyrau

95-101

101

-6

101avg 87

H16/12

National League

Astana 2

95-88

103avg 87

H23/12

National League

Astana 2

79-66

+13

77avg 87

H24/12

National League

Pavlodar

101-83

101

+18

109avg 87

H09/01

National League

Pavlodar

111-82

111

+29

123avg 87

H10/01

National League

26-25

20-22

16-16

17-23

17-27

17-33

12-23

12-14

28-18

25-17

27-17

19-34

23-21

13-14

25-11

21-24

29-15

19-33

29-22

17-22

28-27

26-16

21-24

20-34

24-21

29-15

18-20

24-32

23-18

18-17

20-15

18-16

27-24

28-22

20-22

26-15

20-16

34-22

31-16

26-28

174.4Avg total

89.3Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	87.3	81.7	168.9	+5.6	67%
Season at home (8)	96.5	84.5	181.0	+12.0	88%
Season away (10)	79.9	79.4	159.3	+0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	85.1	174.4	+4.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	96.2	84.0	180.2	+12.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	69.0	84.1	153.1	-15.1	0%
vs Similar (11)	83.8	84.9	168.7	-1.1	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	87.3	77.5	164.8	+9.8	75%

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Almaty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

81-95

-14

71avg 71

H14/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

79-65

+14

65avg 71

H15/11

National League

Astana 2

73-85

-12

71avg 71

A20/11

National League

Astana 2

67-79

-12

59avg 71

A21/11

National League

Atyrau

77-80

-3

73avg 71

A05/12

National League

Atyrau

61-87

-26

64avg 71

A06/12

National League

Aktobe

83-77

76avg 71

H23/12

National League

Aktobe

67-84

-17

50avg 71

H24/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

81-84

-3

65avg 71

H11/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

91-79

+12

89avg 71

H12/01

National League

21-15

25-35

20-26

15-19

14-17

25-15

18-16

22-17

18-27

20-12

18-28

17-18

24-24

20-19

8-16

15-20

20-24

15-20

22-20

20-16

10-26

30-22

8-19

13-20

28-17

17-29

17-15

21-16

17-20

12-25

23-21

15-18

23-19

19-23

19-21

20-21

33-21

19-18

17-23

22-17

157.5Avg total

76.0Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	78.7	81.9	160.6	-3.2	38%
Season at home (10)	81.3	82.0	163.3	-0.7	50%
Season away (6)	74.3	81.7	156.0	-7.3	17%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	81.5	157.5	-5.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	82.2	158.8	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	71.2	91.8	163.1	-20.6	17%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (6)	84.8	76.5	161.3	+8.3	67%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tobol KostanayAlmaty

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.5	43.8	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	24.8	21.8	46.6	+3.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.7	21.3	41.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	21.2	45.7	+3.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.2	45.6	+3.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.7	24.6	44.3	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.3	20.1	42.4	+2.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.1	41.7	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.7	22.8	40.5	-5.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.8	23.2	41.1	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (6)	27.0	17.3	44.3	+9.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.4	40.1	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.4	20.6	38.1	-3.2	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.1	44.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	18.4	45.4	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.7	22.1	37.9	-6.4	14%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.4	19.2	41.7	+3.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	23.2	42.0	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.2	22.3	41.4	-3.1	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	24.7	42.9	-6.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.4	42.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.1	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (6)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	33%	-

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

46-47

-1

A19/11

National League

Irbis Almaty

34-60

-26

A20/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

53-35

+18

A05/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-35

A06/12

National League

Atyrau

48-48

H15/12

National League

Atyrau

54-43

+11

H16/12

National League

Astana 2

53-36

+17

H23/12

National League

Astana 2

41-35

H24/12

National League

Pavlodar

55-46

H09/01

National League

Pavlodar

54-38

+16

H10/01

National League

89.7Avg total

47.4Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	41.9	83.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	47.8	41.9	89.7	+5.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.1	41.9	80.0	-3.8	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	42.3	89.7	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.4	39.6	91.0	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.4	46.7	82.1	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.1	41.6	84.7	+1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	44.8	39.3	84.1	+5.4	75%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

46-50

-4

H14/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

39-32

H15/11

National League

Astana 2

38-39

-1

A20/11

National League

Astana 2

44-43

A21/11

National League

Atyrau

35-44

-9

A05/12

National League

Atyrau

40-48

-8

A06/12

National League

Aktobe

45-46

-1

H23/12

National League

Aktobe

29-45

-16

H24/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

42-42

H11/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

52-39

+13

H12/01

National League

83.8Avg total

41.0Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	45.3	83.8	-6.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	40.2	43.8	84.0	-3.7	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.9	47.5	83.4	-11.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	42.8	83.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	44.0	85.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	36.8	47.3	84.1	-10.5	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (6)	45.2	37.3	82.5	+7.8	83%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.7	19.6	37.2	-1.9	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.0	20.1	36.1	-4.1	14%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.7	17.6	39.2	+4.1	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.9	28%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.7	22.9	38.6	-7.3	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.5	22.6	40.1	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (6)	17.0	22.8	39.8	-5.8	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.6	23.5	46.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.1	18.4	36.6	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	24.2	44.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.0	47.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	17.3	34.9	+0.3	57%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.3	22.4	42.6	-2.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.1	22.2	38.3	-6.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.0	22.0	38.9	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	16.3	39.0	+6.3	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.6	78.9	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.6	41.9	86.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	35.8	38.0	73.8	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	42.8	84.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	44.4	89.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	33.6	37.4	71.0	-3.9	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.4	42.5	81.8	-3.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.6	38.2	80.8	+4.4	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	43.5	79.0	-8.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	38.0	42.3	80.3	-4.3	28%	-
Last 30 away (12)	31.8	45.2	76.9	-13.4	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	38.7	73.7	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	38.2	73.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	34.5	44.5	79.0	-10.1	21%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (6)	39.7	39.2	78.8	+0.5	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tobol Kostanay wins

Almaty wins

Date	Game	Score
15/11/23	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	79-65
14/11/23	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	81-95
03/04/21	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	68-101
02/04/21	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	77-94
24/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	113-72
23/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	107-75
24/12/20	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	90-92
23/12/20	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	95-79
28/04/19	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	71-67
27/04/19	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	87-82

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/24	H	Pavlodar	111-82
09/01/24	H	Pavlodar	101-83
24/12/23	H	Astana 2	79-66
23/12/23	H	Astana 2	95-88
16/12/23	H	Atyrau	95-101
15/12/23	H	Atyrau	94-92
06/12/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	82-70
05/12/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	99-86
20/11/23	A	Irbis Almaty	58-97
19/11/23	A	Irbis Almaty	79-86

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	91-79
11/01/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	81-84
24/12/23	H	Aktobe	67-84
23/12/23	H	Aktobe	83-77
06/12/23	A	Atyrau	61-87
05/12/23	A	Atyrau	77-80
21/11/23	A	Astana 2	67-79
20/11/23	A	Astana 2	73-85
15/11/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	79-65
14/11/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	81-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	67%
Home	LWWWW	88%
Away	LLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	67%	88%	50%
Points / game	87.3	96.5	79.9
Allowed / game	81.7	84.5	79.4
Point differential	+5.6	+12.0	+0.5
Avg total	168.9	181.0	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Almaty

National League 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	38%
Home	WWLLW	50%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	10	6
Win %	38%	50%	17%
Points / game	78.7	81.3	74.3
Allowed / game	81.9	82.0	81.7
Point differential	-3.2	-0.7	-7.3
Avg total	160.6	163.3	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	40%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	18	17	1	94%	87.9	70.6	+17.3
2	Atyrau	18	13	5	72%	86.3	77.5	+8.8
3	Tobol Kostanay	18	12	6	67%	87.3	81.7	+5.6
4	Astana 2	18	10	8	56%	79.0	75.6	+3.4
5	Aktobe	18	9	9	50%	83.2	83.7	-0.5
6	Almaty	16	6	10	38%	78.7	81.9	-3.2
7	Kaspiy Aktau	20	4	16	20%	74.4	88.2	-13.8
8	Pavlodar	18	1	17	6%	74.8	91.2	-16.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tobol Kostanay	33	29	28	18	108
Almaty	24	23	13	20	80

← all games of the day

Tobol Kostanay vs Almaty Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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