Pavlodar vs Irbis Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 74-106

16-34 18-25 23-32 17-15

Position#8

Record1-26

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game92.0

Pavlodar

Irbis Almaty 🏆

Position#1

Record24-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game70.8

National League

Other2023-24

Meetings · Pavlodar v Irbis Almaty

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Irbis Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pavlodar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPavlodar

Date

Competition

Astana 2

72-101

101

-29

61avg 61

A13/01

National League

Almaty

98-106

106

-8

80avg 61

H23/01

National League

Almaty

69-109

109

-40

49avg 61

H24/01

National League

Atyrau

69-92

-23

58avg 61

H02/02

National League

Atyrau

67-77

-10

55avg 61

H03/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

69-78

-9

62avg 61

A07/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

88-94 OT

-6

no box

A08/02

National League

Aktobe

67-81

-14

63avg 61

A12/02

National League

Aktobe

77-96

-19

74avg 61

A13/02

National League

Irbis Almaty

74-108

108

-34

60avg 61

H10/03

National League

16-25

17-22

20-23

19-31

25-27

20-34

20-24

33-21

18-28

15-25

20-31

16-25

18-26

24-24

23-26

4-16

16-16

15-29

26-11

10-21

15-25

15-11

20-19

19-23

31-25

19-13

9-25

26-22

15-21

18-18

16-19

18-23

17-23

21-28

10-30

29-15

20-33

19-27

12-28

23-20

169.2Avg total

75.0Scored

94.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	75.0	92.0	166.9	-17.0	4%
Season at home (15)	75.5	92.2	167.7	-16.7	7%
Season away (12)	74.3	91.7	166.0	-17.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	94.2	169.2	-19.2	0%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	91.4	166.4	-16.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	74.0	92.5	166.5	-18.5	4%
vs Similar (6)	74.3	80.8	155.2	-6.5	17%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Irbis Almaty Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Aktobe

77-67

+10

73avg 86

H19/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

79-57

+22

74avg 86

H15/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

89-60

+29

88avg 86

H16/01

National League

Atyrau

78-76

74avg 86

H25/01

National League

Atyrau

73-61

+12

66avg 86

H26/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

87-76

+11

84avg 86

A01/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

89-76

+13

92avg 86

A02/02

National League

Astana 2

89-67

+22

96avg 86

H01/03

National League

Astana 2

84-70

+14

80avg 86

H02/03

National League

Pavlodar

108-74

108

+34

104avg 86

A10/03

National League

15-19

23-16

18-19

21-13

21-17

19-10

14-15

25-15

30-13

14-17

30-8

15-22

20-19

25-19

22-22

11-16

13-18

20-10

27-20

13-13

26-15

25-21

19-19

17-21

16-23

20-25

24-13

29-15

24-15

26-15

17-18

22-19

22-9

14-24

26-17

22-20

33-20

27-19

28-12

20-23

153.7Avg total

85.3Scored

68.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	87.6	70.8	158.5	+16.8	96%
Season at home (12)	84.3	67.6	151.9	+16.8	100%
Season away (13)	90.7	73.8	164.5	+16.8	92%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	68.4	153.7	+16.9	100%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	72.6	164.0	+18.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	84.8	79.0	163.8	+5.8	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	87.6	70.8	158.5	+16.8	96%

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PavlodarIrbis Almaty

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	23.4	41.9	-4.9	13%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	23.9	42.8	-5.0	6%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.9	41.0	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	24.9	44.0	-5.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	25.4	45.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.9	24.1	42.0	-6.2	4%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	20.8	41.7	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	18.2	41.0	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.8	19.1	42.9	+4.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	16.8	38.8	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	16.4	40.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.4	17.6	41.0	+5.8	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	23.2	42.5	-4.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	23.8	44.4	-3.1	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	22.6	40.3	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.1	41.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.4	24.5	43.9	-5.1	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	18.2	36.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	17.2	39.9	+5.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	15.2	37.9	+7.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	18.9	41.8	+3.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.6	38.9	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.0	15.8	36.8	+5.2	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.1	17.5	40.6	+5.6	76%	-

PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana 2

33-47

-14

A13/01

National League

Almaty

45-61

-16

H23/01

National League

Almaty

33-53

-20

H24/01

National League

Atyrau

42-50

-8

H02/02

National League

Atyrau

31-45

-14

H03/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

30-36

-6

A07/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

50-38

+12

A08/02

National League

Aktobe

33-39

-6

A12/02

National League

Aktobe

38-51

-13

A13/02

National League

Irbis Almaty

39-60

-21

H10/03

National League

85.4Avg total

37.4Scored

48.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	46.7	84.4	-8.9	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.5	47.6	87.1	-8.1	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	45.6	81.3	-9.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	48.0	85.4	-10.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	44.8	82.8	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	37.3	48.6	85.9	-11.3	4%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.5	39.0	78.5	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aktobe

38-35

H19/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

40-27

+13

H15/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

44-30

+14

H16/01

National League

Atyrau

45-38

H25/01

National League

Atyrau

33-28

H26/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

51-36

+15

A01/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

36-48

-12

A02/02

National League

Astana 2

50-30

+20

H01/03

National League

Astana 2

36-33

H02/03

National League

Pavlodar

60-39

+21

A10/03

National League

77.7Avg total

43.3Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	35.4	80.9	+10.0	87%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.2	32.4	76.6	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.6	38.1	84.6	+8.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	34.4	77.7	+8.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	37.2	83.8	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	40.4	37.2	77.6	+3.2	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	46.5	35.1	81.6	+11.4	88%	-

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	22.6	40.2	-4.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	22.4	40.6	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	23.6	41.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	24.2	37.6	-10.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.1	22.7	40.8	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.0	21.7	38.7	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.4	38.9	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	16.3	38.4	+5.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	16.3	38.8	+6.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	15.8	38.6	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.1	17.1	39.2	+5.0	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	20.1	37.4	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.4	40.9	-2.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	18.1	36.4	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	23.6	20.0	43.6	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	43.2	79.4	-6.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.0	42.6	77.6	-7.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	43.8	81.4	-6.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	45.3	82.6	-8.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	44.8	81.2	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	36.7	43.9	80.6	-7.2	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.3	40.3	74.7	-6.0	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	36.3	77.7	+5.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	34.4	74.7	+5.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	37.9	80.2	+4.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	35.4	80.2	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	42.6	38.8	81.4	+3.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	41.2	35.8	76.9	+5.4	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pavlodar wins

Irbis Almaty wins

Date	Game	Score
10/03/24	Pavlodar v Irbis Almaty	74-108
28/10/23	Irbis Almaty v Pavlodar	96-83
27/10/23	Irbis Almaty v Pavlodar	83-66

Pavlodarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/24	H	Irbis Almaty	74-108
13/02/24	A	Aktobe	77-96
12/02/24	A	Aktobe	67-81
08/02/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	88-94 OT
07/02/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	69-78
03/02/24	H	Atyrau	67-77
02/02/24	H	Atyrau	69-92
24/01/24	H	Almaty	69-109
23/01/24	H	Almaty	98-106
13/01/24	A	Astana 2	72-101

Irbis Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/24	A	Pavlodar	108-74
02/03/24	H	Astana 2	84-70
01/03/24	H	Astana 2	89-67
02/02/24	A	Tobol Kostanay	89-76
01/02/24	A	Tobol Kostanay	87-76
26/01/24	H	Atyrau	73-61
25/01/24	H	Atyrau	78-76
16/01/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	89-60
15/01/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	79-57
19/12/23	H	Aktobe	77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar

National League 2023-24

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	4%
Home	LLLLL	7%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	15	12
Win %	4%	7%	0%
Points / game	75.0	75.5	74.3
Allowed / game	92.0	92.2	91.7
Point differential	-17.0	-16.7	-17.3
Avg total	166.9	167.7	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Irbis Almaty

National League 2023-24

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	96%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	92%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	96%	100%	92%
Points / game	87.6	84.3	90.7
Allowed / game	70.8	67.6	73.8
Point differential	+16.8	+16.8	+16.8
Avg total	158.5	151.9	164.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	84%	83%	85%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	25	24	1	96%	87.6	70.8	+16.8
2	Atyrau	26	18	8	69%	81.2	73.6	+7.5
3	Tobol Kostanay	24	15	9	62%	87.0	82.1	+5.0
4	Aktobe	26	16	10	62%	85.2	81.6	+3.6
5	Astana 2	26	13	13	50%	78.6	76.4	+2.2
6	Almaty	26	10	16	38%	80.4	83.0	-2.6
7	Kaspiy Aktau	26	6	20	23%	73.6	87.4	-13.8
8	Pavlodar	27	1	26	4%	75.0	92.0	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pavlodar	16	18	23	17	74
Irbis Almaty	34	25	32	15	106

← all games of the day

Pavlodar vs Irbis Almaty Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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