Irbis Almaty vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 87-69

28-19 23-14 19-14 17-22

Position#1

Record30-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.4

Allowed / game70.9

Irbis Almaty 🏆

Aktobe

Position#3

Record20-12

FormLWLWW

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game81.0

National LeagueNational League - Semi-finals

Other2023-24

Meetings · Irbis Almaty v Aktobe

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Irbis Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aktobe winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Irbis Almaty Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

89-76

+13

92avg 87

A02/02

National League

Astana 2

89-67

+22

96avg 87

H01/03

National League

Astana 2

84-70

+14

80avg 87

H02/03

National League

Pavlodar

108-74

108

+34

104avg 87

A10/03

National League

Pavlodar

106-74

106

+32

106avg 87

A11/03

National League

Almaty

94-71

+23

86avg 87

H16/03

National League

Almaty

105-103

105

103

95avg 87

H17/03

National League

Pavlodar

94-65

+29

88avg 87

H25/03

National League

Pavlodar

88-59

+29

85avg 87

H26/03

National League

Pavlodar

93-54

+39

92avg 87

A27/03

National League

16-23

20-25

24-13

29-15

24-15

26-15

17-18

22-19

22-9

14-24

26-17

22-20

33-20

27-19

28-12

20-23

34-16

25-18

32-23

15-17

21-12

22-20

27-24

24-15

24-23

20-32

29-20

32-28

27-15

20-14

31-15

16-21

32-19

21-6

19-12

16-22

26-15

27-18

25-14

15-7

166.3Avg total

95.0Scored

71.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	89.4	70.9	160.3	+18.5	97%
Season at home (16)	87.1	69.3	156.4	+17.8	100%
Season away (15)	91.9	72.5	164.4	+19.3	93%
Last 10 (10)	95.0	71.3	166.3	+23.7	100%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	70.4	165.2	+24.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	89.3	70.6	159.9	+18.8	97%

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktobe

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

81-67

+14

78avg 79

H12/02

National League

Pavlodar

96-77

+19

96avg 79

H13/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

99-81

+18

101avg 79

A05/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

89-58

+31

94avg 79

A06/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

95-88

88avg 79

H13/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

87-91

-4

69avg 79

H14/03

National League

Astana 2

74-66

71avg 79

H02/04

National League

Astana 2

82-86

-4

69avg 79

H03/04

National League

Astana 2

71-68

66avg 79

A09/04

National League

Astana 2

85-70

+15

89avg 79

A10/04

National League

21-15

18-18

19-16

23-18

23-17

28-21

30-10

15-29

25-15

25-21

22-22

27-23

20-14

31-13

21-21

17-10

19-21

28-18

25-30

23-19

23-25

22-20

24-22

18-24

7-21

22-21

22-16

23-8

12-29

19-19

17-14

34-24

20-14

17-19

10-12

24-23

22-20

22-17

24-16

17-17

161.1Avg total

85.9Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	84.7	81.0	165.7	+3.7	62%
Season at home (16)	86.8	84.4	171.2	+2.4	62%
Season away (16)	82.6	77.6	160.1	+5.0	62%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	75.2	161.1	+10.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	76.2	156.0	+3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	80.1	89.6	169.8	-9.5	25%
vs Similar (10)	82.7	81.8	164.5	+0.9	60%
vs Weaker (12)	89.7	75.8	165.5	+13.8	83%

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Irbis AlmatyAktobe

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	17.6	41.9	+6.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	17.0	40.6	+6.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.1	18.3	43.4	+6.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	16.7	42.6	+9.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	16.8	42.8	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	24.3	17.6	41.9	+6.7	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.8	38.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.5	25.9	46.4	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	17.5	40.7	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	16.3	38.2	+5.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	18.9	43.5	+5.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	23.1	17.5	40.7	+5.6	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.1	41.1	+2.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	18.7	41.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	24.2	17.7	41.9	+6.6	83%	-

Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

36-48

-12

A02/02

National League

Astana 2

50-30

+20

H01/03

National League

Astana 2

36-33

H02/03

National League

Pavlodar

60-39

+21

A10/03

National League

Pavlodar

59-34

+25

A11/03

National League

Almaty

43-32

+11

H16/03

National League

Almaty

44-55

-11

H17/03

National League

Pavlodar

47-29

+18

H25/03

National League

Pavlodar

53-25

+28

H26/03

National League

Pavlodar

53-33

+20

A27/03

National League

83.9Avg total

48.1Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.4	35.1	82.5	+12.3	87%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.4	33.3	78.8	+12.1	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	49.6	37.2	86.9	+12.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.1	35.8	83.9	+12.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	34.8	82.8	+13.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	47.4	35.1	82.5	+12.3	87%	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

39-33

H12/02

National League

Pavlodar

51-38

+13

H13/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

50-36

+14

A05/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

51-27

+24

A06/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

47-39

H13/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

45-45

H14/03

National League

Astana 2

29-42

-13

H02/04

National League

Astana 2

31-48

-17

H03/04

National League

Astana 2

37-33

A09/04

National League

Astana 2

44-37

A10/04

National League

80.2Avg total

42.4Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	42.4	85.3	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	44.6	87.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	39.9	82.6	+2.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	37.8	80.2	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	41.0	78.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	42.1	48.6	90.8	-6.5	12%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.0	43.6	82.6	-4.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	46.8	37.2	84.0	+9.5	100%	-

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	17.0	39.8	+5.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	16.8	39.9	+6.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.5	17.2	39.7	+5.3	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	16.8	42.6	+9.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	17.0	43.2	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.8	17.0	39.8	+5.8	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.0	35.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.1	19.8	42.9	+3.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.9	39.4	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	18.9	39.4	+1.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	35.4	77.4	+6.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	36.0	77.6	+5.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	34.8	77.1	+7.5	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	35.5	82.4	+11.4	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	35.6	82.4	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	41.9	35.4	77.4	+6.5	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.7	79.9	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	39.0	81.4	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	38.3	78.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	37.4	80.9	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	35.2	77.8	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.8	39.9	76.6	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.8	37.8	80.6	+5.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.9	38.6	81.5	+4.3	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Irbis Almaty wins

Aktobe wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/23	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	77-67
18/12/23	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	81-67
26/11/23	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	64-86
25/11/23	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	95-114
06/03/23	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	84-90
05/03/23	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	84-99
01/12/22	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	71-79
30/11/22	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	74-67
21/11/22	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	80-95
20/11/22	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	62-86

Irbis Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/24	A	Pavlodar	93-54
26/03/24	H	Pavlodar	88-59
25/03/24	H	Pavlodar	94-65
17/03/24	H	Almaty	105-103
16/03/24	H	Almaty	94-71
11/03/24	A	Pavlodar	106-74
10/03/24	A	Pavlodar	108-74
02/03/24	H	Astana 2	84-70
01/03/24	H	Astana 2	89-67
02/02/24	A	Tobol Kostanay	89-76

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/24	A	Astana 2	85-70
09/04/24	A	Astana 2	71-68
03/04/24	H	Astana 2	82-86
02/04/24	H	Astana 2	74-66
14/03/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	87-91
13/03/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	95-88
06/03/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	89-58
05/03/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	99-81
13/02/24	H	Pavlodar	96-77
12/02/24	H	Pavlodar	81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Irbis Almaty

National League 2023-24

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	97%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	93%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	97%	100%	93%
Points / game	89.4	87.1	91.9
Allowed / game	70.9	69.3	72.5
Point differential	+18.5	+17.8	+19.3
Avg total	160.3	156.4	164.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	84%	81%	87%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aktobe

National League 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	62%
Home	WWLWL	62%
Away	WWWWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	62%	62%	62%
Points / game	84.7	86.8	82.6
Allowed / game	81.0	84.4	77.6
Point differential	+3.7	+2.4	+5.0
Avg total	165.7	171.2	160.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	31%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	40% (5)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	31	30	1	97%	89.4	70.9	+18.5
2	Atyrau	31	23	8	74%	82.3	72.3	+10.0
3	Tobol Kostanay	31	21	10	68%	90.9	82.2	+8.7
4	Aktobe	32	20	12	62%	84.7	81.0	+3.7
5	Astana 2	32	14	18	44%	76.4	76.6	-0.2
6	Almaty	31	10	21	32%	81.8	87.0	-5.2
7	Kaspiy Aktau	31	6	25	19%	72.6	89.3	-16.7
8	Pavlodar	31	1	30	3%	73.4	92.4	-19.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Irbis Almaty	28	23	19	17	87
Aktobe	19	14	14	22	69

← all games of the day

Irbis Almaty vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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