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Irbis Almaty vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-59
32-19 21-6 19-12 16-22
Position#1
Record28-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#8
Record1-28
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game92.5
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Quarter-finals
Other2023-24
Meetings · Irbis Almaty v Pavlodar
16 Jan 2025
IRBI96
PAVL64
15 Jan 2025
IRBI105
PAVL74
26 Mar 2024
IRBI88
PAVL59
25 Mar 2024
IRBI94
PAVL65
28 Oct 2023
IRBI96
PAVL83
27 Oct 2023
IRBI83
PAVL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Irbis Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Irbis AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
73-61
73
61
+12
66avg 87
H26/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 87
A01/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
89-76
89
76
+13
92avg 87
A02/02
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
89-67
89
67
+22
96avg 87
H01/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 87
H02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
108-74
108
74
+34
104avg 87
A10/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
106avg 87
A11/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
94-71
94
71
+23
86avg 87
H16/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
105-103
105
103
+2
95avg 87
H17/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
94-65
94
65
+29
88avg 87
H25/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
20-10
27-20
13-13
26-15
25-21
19-19
17-21
16-23
20-25
24-13
29-15
24-15
26-15
17-18
22-19
22-9
14-24
26-17
22-20
33-20
27-19
28-12
20-23
34-16
25-18
32-23
15-17
21-12
22-20
27-24
24-15
24-23
20-32
29-20
32-28
27-15
20-14
31-15
16-21
166.6Avg total
92.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.371.9161.2+17.497%
Season at home (15)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
Season away (14)91.873.9165.6+17.993%
Last 10 (10)92.973.7166.6+19.2100%
Last 5 (5)101.477.4178.8+24.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)89.371.9161.2+17.497%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
L
69-109
69
109
-40
49avg 61
H24/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
58avg 61
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
55avg 61
H03/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
69-78
69
78
-9
62avg 61
A07/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
A08/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
63avg 61
A12/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
77-96
77
96
-19
74avg 61
A13/02
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
74-108
74
108
-34
60avg 61
H10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
61avg 61
H11/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
60avg 61
A25/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
15-25
20-31
16-25
18-26
24-24
23-26
4-16
16-16
15-29
26-11
10-21
15-25
15-11
20-19
19-23
31-25
19-13
9-25
26-22
15-21
18-18
16-19
18-23
17-23
21-28
10-30
29-15
20-33
19-27
12-28
23-20
16-34
18-25
23-32
17-15
15-27
14-20
15-31
21-16
165.4Avg total
71.9Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.692.5167.1-17.93%
Season at home (16)75.493.1168.4-17.76%
Season away (13)73.691.8165.5-18.20%
Last 10 (10)71.993.5165.4-21.60%
Last 5 (5)71.497.0168.4-25.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.293.2167.4-19.04%
vs Similar (5)77.284.8162.0-7.620%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: -7.7-7.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: -7.7-7.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
Irbis AlmatyPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H26/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A01/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/02
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H01/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A10/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A11/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H16/03
National League
Almaty
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H17/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H25/03
National League
82.3Avg total
45.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.635.582.1+11.187%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.933.978.8+11.193%-
Last 30 away (15)48.337.185.4+11.180%-
Last 10 (10)45.936.482.3+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)50.637.888.4+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)43.038.081.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.735.482.1+11.386%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H24/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H03/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A07/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A12/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A13/02
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
39-60
39
60
-21
H10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H11/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A25/03
National League
83.7Avg total
35.9Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.647.885.3-10.213%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.449.689.0-10.112%-
Last 30 away (14)35.445.781.1-10.314%-
Last 10 (10)35.947.883.7-11.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.651.285.8-16.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.049.186.1-12.14%-
vs Similar (5)40.441.281.6-0.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Irbis Almaty wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
25/03/24Irbis Almaty v Pavlodar94-65
11/03/24Pavlodar v Irbis Almaty74-106
10/03/24Pavlodar v Irbis Almaty74-108
28/10/23Irbis Almaty v Pavlodar96-83
27/10/23Irbis Almaty v Pavlodar83-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24HPavlodar94-65
17/03/24HAlmaty105-103
16/03/24HAlmaty94-71
11/03/24APavlodar106-74
10/03/24APavlodar108-74
02/03/24HAstana 284-70
01/03/24HAstana 289-67
02/02/24ATobol Kostanay89-76
01/02/24ATobol Kostanay87-76
26/01/24HAtyrau73-61
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24AIrbis Almaty65-94
11/03/24HIrbis Almaty74-106
10/03/24HIrbis Almaty74-108
13/02/24AAktobe77-96
12/02/24AAktobe67-81
08/02/24AKaspiy Aktau88-94 OT
07/02/24AKaspiy Aktau69-78
03/02/24HAtyrau67-77
02/02/24HAtyrau69-92
24/01/24HAlmaty69-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Irbis Almaty
National League 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW97%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %97%100%93%
Points / game89.387.091.8
Allowed / game71.970.073.9
Point differential+17.4+17.0+17.9
Avg total161.2157.0165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%80%86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
National League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL3%
HomeLLLLL6%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %3%6%0%
Points / game74.675.473.6
Allowed / game92.593.191.8
Point differential-17.9-17.7-18.2
Avg total167.1168.4165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty2928197%89.371.9+17.4
2 Atyrau2820871%80.972.4+8.5
3 Tobol Kostanay28181064%88.581.3+7.2
4 Aktobe28171161%85.682.2+3.5
5 Astana 228131546%77.076.4+0.6
6 Almaty28101836%80.984.2-3.3
7 Kaspiy Aktau2862221%72.888.7-15.9
8 Pavlodar291283%74.692.5-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Irbis Almaty3221191688
Pavlodar196122259
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