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Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 82-88
20-24 23-13 19-22 20-29
Position#5
Record3-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#3
Record9-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game77.4
KazakhstanNational League
Other2019-20
Meetings · Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay
24 Dec 2024
AKTO73
TOBO78
23 Dec 2024
AKTO70
TOBO78
22 May 2024
AKTO74
TOBO73
21 May 2024
AKTO90
TOBO86
14 Mar 2024
AKTO87
TOBO91
13 Mar 2024
AKTO95
TOBO88
12 Apr 2023
AKTO72
TOBO53
11 Apr 2023
AKTO81
TOBO88
08 Oct 2022
AKTO83
TOBO98
07 Oct 2022
AKTO72
TOBO74
14 May 2022
AKTO81
TOBO73
07 May 2022
AKTO72
TOBO69
06 May 2022
AKTO67
TOBO70
08 Apr 2022
AKTO71
TOBO65
07 Apr 2022
AKTO93
TOBO82
12 Mar 2022
AKTO71
TOBO59
11 Mar 2022
AKTO0
TOBO20
22 Mar 2021
AKTO67
TOBO77
21 Mar 2021
AKTO101
TOBO103
04 Nov 2020
AKTO77
TOBO79
03 Nov 2020
AKTO85
TOBO78
22 Dec 2019
AKTO81
TOBO99
21 Dec 2019
AKTO82
TOBO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
A11/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
50-116
50
116
-66
A12/11
National League
Kokshetau
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A15/11
National League
Kokshetau
#4
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A16/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A20/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
73-98
73
98
-25
A21/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
H01/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
59-95
59
95
-36
H02/12
National League
Kokshetau
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H16/12
National League
Kokshetau
#4
L
58-93
58
93
-35
H17/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
12-20
18-25
19-24
19-37
16-23
5-26
10-30
15-18
18-21
13-23
20-19
17-22
24-14
19-27
11-21
20-17
5-16
15-19
35-29
16-16
23-30
11-16
23-36
13-29
18-22
16-25
18-18
12-27
12-29
17-24
18-15
28-16
16-23
15-23
24-12
14-15
10-26
15-20
19-32
157.1Avg total
66.3Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.187.4156.6-18.319%
Season at home (8)72.283.0155.2-10.838%
Season away (8)66.091.9157.9-25.90%
Last 10 (10)66.390.8157.1-24.510%
Last 5 (5)67.690.8158.4-23.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.790.9158.6-23.27%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (16)81.765.4147.1+16.381%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kokshetau
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H29/10
National League
Kokshetau
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H30/10
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H20/11
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H21/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H25/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H26/11
National League
Kokshetau
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A06/12
National League
Kokshetau
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A07/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A09/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
72-101
72
101
-29
A10/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
21-10
14-16
25-19
28-28
15-17
16-24
20-16
17-20
16-5
19-15
29-35
16-16
30-23
16-11
36-23
25-15
24-19
26-19
21-21
22-17
22-16
18-15
23-25
23-20
23-14
22-20
16-26
24-28
24-20
10-20
11-16
22-28
20-25
18-31
17-14
24-27
14-19
21-26
13-29
162.6Avg total
81.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.577.4159.9+5.164%
Season at home (6)86.274.0160.2+12.283%
Season away (8)79.879.9159.6-0.150%
Last 10 (10)81.980.7162.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)77.487.2164.6-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.4100.8178.2-23.40%
vs Similar (4)77.878.8156.5-1.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.175.0166.1+16.188%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -8.4-8.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
AktobeTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A11/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A12/11
National League
Kokshetau
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A15/11
National League
Kokshetau
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A16/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A20/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H01/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
24-56
24
56
-32
H02/12
National League
Kokshetau
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H16/12
National League
Kokshetau
#4
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H17/12
National League
76.6Avg total
32.2Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.976.9-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.638.575.1-1.947%-
Last 30 away (13)37.541.879.3-4.423%-
Last 10 (10)32.244.476.6-12.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.446.679.0-14.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.546.179.6-12.614%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (16)40.034.574.5+5.556%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kokshetau
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/10
National League
Kokshetau
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/10
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H20/11
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H21/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H25/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/11
National League
Kokshetau
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A06/12
National League
Kokshetau
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A07/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A09/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A10/12
National League
81.4Avg total
42.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.985.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.241.187.2+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)41.242.984.2-1.746%-
Last 10 (10)42.838.681.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.886.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.250.791.9-9.510%-
vs Similar (4)39.037.876.8+1.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.137.484.4+9.781%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aktobe wins
2
Tobol Kostanay wins
DateGameScore
21/11/19Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe98-73
20/11/19Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe81-75
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/19HKokshetau58-93
16/12/19HKokshetau83-74
02/12/19HAstana59-95
01/12/19HAstana65-94
21/11/19ATobol Kostanay73-98
20/11/19ATobol Kostanay75-81
16/11/19AKokshetau71-84
15/11/19AKokshetau66-81
12/11/19AAstana50-116
11/11/19AAstana63-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/19AAstana72-101
09/12/19AAstana77-98
07/12/19AKokshetau69-84
06/12/19AKokshetau84-80
26/11/19HKaspiy Aktau85-73
25/11/19HKaspiy Aktau96-74
21/11/19HAktobe98-73
20/11/19HAktobe81-75
30/10/19HKokshetau79-85
29/10/19HKokshetau78-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
National League 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL19%
HomeWLLWL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%38%0%
Points / game69.172.266.0
Allowed / game87.483.091.9
Point differential-18.3-10.8-25.9
Avg total156.6155.2157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%83%50%
Points / game82.586.279.8
Allowed / game77.474.079.9
Point differential+5.1+12.2-0.1
Avg total159.9160.2159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana14140100%94.463.4+30.9
2 Atyrau1611569%78.974.0+4.9
3 Tobol Kostanay149564%82.577.4+5.1
4 Kokshetau135838%74.177.2-3.2
5 Aktobe1631319%69.187.4-18.3
6 Kaspiy Aktau131128%60.879.9-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe2023192082
Tobol Kostanay2413222988
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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