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Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 May 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 67-70
16-19 13-17 15-17 23-17
Position#3
Record9-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#4
Record6-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game86.6
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - 3rd place
Other2021-22
Meetings · Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay
24 Dec 2024
AKTO73
TOBO78
23 Dec 2024
AKTO70
TOBO78
22 May 2024
AKTO74
TOBO73
21 May 2024
AKTO90
TOBO86
14 Mar 2024
AKTO87
TOBO91
13 Mar 2024
AKTO95
TOBO88
12 Apr 2023
AKTO72
TOBO53
11 Apr 2023
AKTO81
TOBO88
08 Oct 2022
AKTO83
TOBO98
07 Oct 2022
AKTO72
TOBO74
14 May 2022
AKTO81
TOBO73
07 May 2022
AKTO72
TOBO69
06 May 2022
AKTO67
TOBO70
08 Apr 2022
AKTO71
TOBO65
07 Apr 2022
AKTO93
TOBO82
12 Mar 2022
AKTO71
TOBO59
11 Mar 2022
AKTO0
TOBO20
22 Mar 2021
AKTO67
TOBO77
21 Mar 2021
AKTO101
TOBO103
04 Nov 2020
AKTO77
TOBO79
03 Nov 2020
AKTO85
TOBO78
22 Dec 2019
AKTO81
TOBO99
21 Dec 2019
AKTO82
TOBO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H24/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
93-82 OT
93
82
+11
H07/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H08/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H13/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H14/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
58-100
58
100
-42
A20/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
32-100
32
100
-68
A21/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A25/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A26/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H29/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
24-15
13-23
15-14
18-13
13-15
16-15
22-26
15-18
20-20
16-9
20-18
23-25
14-18
14-16
23-21
23-20
5-14
14-7
14-11
17-31
19-24
11-20
11-25
0-19
4-30
15-25
13-26
15-17
20-16
18-16
11-27
22-17
16-22
14-14
12-17
18-24
14-20
19-12
12-19
141.8Avg total
64.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)64.874.4139.2-9.633%
Season at home (13)63.867.6131.4-3.846%
Season away (14)65.880.7146.5-14.921%
Last 10 (10)64.877.0141.8-12.240%
Last 5 (5)56.284.2140.4-28.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)62.781.9144.7-19.213%
vs Similar (1)69.067.0136.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)71.664.3135.9+7.464%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H20/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H27/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H28/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A03/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A04/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
82-93 OT
82
93
-11
A07/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A08/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A25/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
60-101
60
101
-41
A26/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
59-104
59
104
-45
H28/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
17-2
18-23
15-11
24-18
22-13
25-23
21-32
18-25
20-12
21-20
19-27
23-26
18-19
12-30
25-17
24-30
16-17
14-22
36-29
13-18
15-13
15-16
26-22
18-15
20-20
9-16
18-20
15-33
12-19
21-18
21-25
17-28
13-28
22-21
8-24
13-28
23-21
12-27
11-28
162.8Avg total
75.0Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.786.6155.2-17.922%
Season at home (13)70.488.7159.1-18.331%
Season away (14)67.184.6151.6-17.514%
Last 10 (10)75.087.8162.8-12.820%
Last 5 (5)67.092.8159.8-25.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)65.589.1154.6-23.714%
vs Similar (6)79.877.5157.3+2.350%
vs Weaker (3)78.373.3151.7+5.067%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
AktobeTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H24/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H07/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H08/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H14/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A20/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
4-49
4
49
-45
A21/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A25/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H29/04
National League
71.7Avg total
32.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.138.473.6-3.334%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.036.770.7-2.731%-
Last 30 away (16)36.039.975.9-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)32.139.671.7-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)29.044.073.0-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.342.475.7-9.127%-
vs Similar (1)37.026.063.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.034.871.8+2.238%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H20/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H27/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A03/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A04/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A08/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A25/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A26/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H28/04
National League
77.1Avg total
36.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.742.878.4-7.138%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.641.177.8-4.550%-
Last 30 away (15)34.744.379.0-9.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.377.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.844.676.4-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.246.179.4-12.925%-
vs Similar (6)40.033.573.5+6.567%-
vs Weaker (3)43.038.781.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aktobe wins
7
Tobol Kostanay wins
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/22HAtyrau63-75
26/04/22AAtyrau64-70
25/04/22AAtyrau64-76
21/04/22AAstana32-100
20/04/22AAstana58-100
14/04/22HKaspiy Aktau56-52
13/04/22HKaspiy Aktau74-80
08/04/22HTobol Kostanay71-65
07/04/22HTobol Kostanay93-82 OT
24/03/22HAtyrau73-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/22HAstana59-104
26/04/22AAstana60-101
25/04/22AAstana69-95
08/04/22AAktobe65-71
07/04/22AAktobe82-93 OT
04/04/22AAtyrau90-98
03/04/22AAtyrau78-92
28/03/22HKaspiy Aktau78-84
27/03/22HKaspiy Aktau92-86
20/03/22HKaspiy Aktau77-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
National League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL46%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%46%21%
Points / game64.863.865.8
Allowed / game74.467.680.7
Point differential-9.6-3.8-14.9
Avg total139.2131.4146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWWLL31%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %22%31%14%
Points / game68.770.467.1
Allowed / game86.688.784.6
Point differential-17.9-18.3-17.5
Avg total155.2159.1151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana2827196%91.454.4+37.0
2 Atyrau2820871%75.170.5+4.6
3 Aktobe2791833%64.874.4-9.6
4 Tobol Kostanay2762122%68.786.6-17.9
5 Kaspiy Aktau2451921%63.581.1-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe1613152367
Tobol Kostanay1917171770
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