Astana vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 98-77

28-22 25-20 31-18 14-17

Position#1

Record12-0

FormWLWWL

Points / game93.5

Allowed / game61.6

Astana 🏆

Tobol Kostanay

Position#3

Record9-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game73.7

National League

Other2019-20

Meetings · Astana v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minsk

#13

91-89

H09/11

VTB United League

Aktobe

92-63

+29

H11/11

National League

Aktobe

116-50

116

+66

H12/11

National League

Saratov

#12

85-90

-5

A16/11

VTB United League

Atyrau

89-81

H19/11

National League

Atyrau

100-73

100

+27

H20/11

National League

BC Kalev/Cramo

76-84

-8

A25/11

VTB United League

Aktobe

94-65

+29

A01/12

National League

Aktobe

95-59

+36

A02/12

National League

Nizhny Novgorod

#11

79-84

-5

H07/12

VTB United League

28-17

23-21

23-29

17-22

23-14

20-12

25-18

24-19

37-19

23-16

26-5

30-10

19-20

23-27

23-15

20-28

23-17

26-21

21-23

19-20

26-17

24-19

22-15

28-22

19-15

17-25

17-31

23-13

29-13

22-18

25-16

18-18

27-12

29-12

24-17

15-18

24-19

17-25

23-28

15-12

165.5Avg total

91.7Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	93.5	61.6	155.1	+31.9	100%
Season at home (6)	95.3	62.5	157.8	+32.8	100%
Season away (6)	91.7	60.7	152.3	+31.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.7	73.8	165.5	+17.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	73.0	161.8	+15.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	78.2	89.6	167.9	-11.4	25%
vs Similar (3)	85.0	87.7	172.7	-2.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	97.6	65.4	163.1	+32.2	95%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

65-85

-20

A14/10

National League

Atyrau

97-72

+25

A15/10

National League

Kokshetau

78-64

+14

H29/10

National League

Kokshetau

79-85

-6

H30/10

National League

Aktobe

81-75

H20/11

National League

Aktobe

98-73

+25

H21/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

96-74

+22

H25/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

85-73

+12

H26/11

National League

Kokshetau

84-80

A06/12

National League

Kokshetau

69-84

-15

A07/12

National League

17-26

15-21

17-24

16-14

23-14

23-17

28-22

23-19

18-19

21-10

14-16

25-19

28-28

15-17

16-24

20-16

17-20

16-5

19-15

29-35

16-16

30-23

16-11

36-23

25-15

24-19

26-19

21-21

22-17

22-16

18-15

23-25

23-20

23-14

22-20

16-26

24-28

24-20

10-20

11-16

159.7Avg total

83.2Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	83.8	73.7	157.5	+10.2	75%
Season at home (6)	86.2	74.0	160.2	+12.2	83%
Season away (6)	81.5	73.3	154.8	+8.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	76.5	159.7	+6.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	76.8	163.2	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	78.1	101.1	179.2	-23.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	83.8	84.5	168.3	-0.7	33%
vs Weaker (16)	91.1	75.0	166.1	+16.1	88%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	18.3	42.4	+5.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.3	17.9	44.2	+8.4	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+2.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	16.3	41.8	+9.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	15.2	40.2	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	23.0	41.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.7	18.7	42.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	26.5	16.2	42.7	+10.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	23.4	46.3	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	24.2	23.4	47.5	+0.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.3	41.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.4	27.2	48.6	-5.9	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.3	23.2	45.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.9	21.5	45.4	+2.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	19.1	42.4	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.9	19.1	44.1	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.4	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	24.3	45.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.6	17.5	42.1	+7.1	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.4	39.9	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	16.2	37.5	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.4	43.0	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.1	23.8	43.9	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.1	15.9	39.0	+7.2	88%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minsk

#13

51-38

+13

H09/11

VTB United League

Aktobe

43-26

+17

H11/11

National League

Aktobe

60-35

+25

H12/11

National League

Saratov

#12

42-47

-5

A16/11

VTB United League

Atyrau

49-38

+11

H19/11

National League

Atyrau

50-36

+14

H20/11

National League

BC Kalev/Cramo

36-40

-4

A25/11

VTB United League

Aktobe

51-31

+20

A01/12

National League

Aktobe

56-24

+32

A02/12

National League

Nizhny Novgorod

#11

41-44

-3

H07/12

VTB United League

83.8Avg total

47.9Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.4	37.4	84.8	+10.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	51.2	37.1	88.3	+14.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	37.7	80.8	+5.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	35.9	83.8	+12.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	35.0	81.8	+11.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.8	43.9	83.6	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.7	43.0	87.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	51.1	33.7	84.8	+17.4	95%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

32-47

-15

A14/10

National League

Atyrau

46-31

+15

A15/10

National League

Kokshetau

39-29

+10

H29/10

National League

Kokshetau

43-45

-2

H30/10

National League

Aktobe

33-25

H20/11

National League

Aktobe

46-39

H21/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

49-34

+15

H25/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

44-33

+11

H26/11

National League

Kokshetau

46-34

+12

A06/12

National League

Kokshetau

48-48

A07/12

National League

79.1Avg total

42.6Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	41.8	86.2	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	46.1	41.8	87.9	+4.3	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	41.5	41.7	83.2	-0.3	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	36.5	79.1	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	37.6	84.2	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	41.5	51.0	92.5	-9.5	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.2	41.3	82.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	47.1	37.4	84.4	+9.7	81%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.5	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.6	21.9	39.5	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	24.0	47.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.6	16.4	40.0	+7.3	89%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.1	41.2	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.2	21.4	40.5	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.0	27.9	45.9	-9.9	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.9	17.6	38.6	+3.3	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	17.2	38.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	17.3	40.1	+5.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	17.1	36.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.1	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.9	15.3	38.2	+7.6	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	23.2	21.4	44.5	+1.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.5	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.6	22.2	40.9	-3.6	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.1	20.0	43.1	+3.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	35.8	78.9	+7.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.4	35.8	81.1	+9.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	35.9	76.3	+4.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	37.9	81.7	+5.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.9	42.2	78.1	-6.4	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.3	44.7	85.0	-4.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	46.5	31.7	78.2	+14.8	84%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	41.7	82.8	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	43.7	42.4	86.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	36.7	40.5	77.2	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	40.0	80.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	39.2	79.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.6	50.1	86.8	-13.5	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.3	41.2	80.5	-1.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (16)	44.1	37.6	81.7	+6.4	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
19/05/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	122-74
18/05/19	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	75-120
24/04/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	93-76
23/04/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	91-72
21/03/19	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	64-91
20/03/19	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	84-102
24/10/18	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	78-72
23/10/18	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	80-45
28/02/18	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	89-94
27/02/18	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	69-107

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/19	H	Nizhny Novgorod	79-84
02/12/19	A	Aktobe	95-59
01/12/19	A	Aktobe	94-65
25/11/19	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	76-84
20/11/19	H	Atyrau	100-73
19/11/19	H	Atyrau	89-81
16/11/19	A	Saratov	85-90
12/11/19	H	Aktobe	116-50
11/11/19	H	Aktobe	92-63
09/11/19	H	Minsk	91-89

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/19	A	Kokshetau	69-84
06/12/19	A	Kokshetau	84-80
26/11/19	H	Kaspiy Aktau	85-73
25/11/19	H	Kaspiy Aktau	96-74
21/11/19	H	Aktobe	98-73
20/11/19	H	Aktobe	81-75
30/10/19	H	Kokshetau	79-85
29/10/19	H	Kokshetau	78-64
15/10/19	A	Atyrau	97-72
14/10/19	A	Atyrau	65-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

National League 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	93.5	95.3	91.7
Allowed / game	61.6	62.5	60.7
Point differential	+31.9	+32.8	+31.0
Avg total	155.1	157.8	152.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	92%	83%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	75%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	WLWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	75%	83%	67%
Points / game	83.8	86.2	81.5
Allowed / game	73.7	74.0	73.3
Point differential	+10.2	+12.2	+8.2
Avg total	157.5	160.2	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	12	12	0	100%	93.5	61.6	+31.9
2	Tobol Kostanay	12	9	3	75%	83.8	73.7	+10.2
3	Atyrau	16	11	5	69%	78.9	74.0	+4.9
4	Kokshetau	10	4	6	40%	73.2	78.5	-5.3
5	Aktobe	14	2	12	14%	68.9	88.0	-19.1
6	Kaspiy Aktau	12	0	12	0%	59.3	81.2	-21.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana	28	25	31	14	98
Tobol Kostanay	22	20	18	17	77

← all games of the day

Astana vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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