Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 72-53

19-17 16-14 23-11 14-11

Position#5

Record5-24

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game80.7

Aktobe 🏆

Tobol Kostanay

Position#3

Record16-13

FormLLLLW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game84.4

National League

Other2022-23

Meetings · Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

71-89

-18

A18/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

78-83

-5

A21/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

79-82

-3

A22/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

84-99

-15

H05/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

84-90

-6

H06/03

National League

Atyrau

57-78

-21

A15/03

National League

Atyrau

78-84

-6

A16/03

National League

Astana

55-107

107

-52

H03/04

National League

Astana

73-79

-6

H04/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

81-88

-7

H11/04

National League

16-30

20-21

17-24

18-14

19-19

15-20

18-25

26-19

18-21

17-30

22-13

22-18

18-26

17-22

26-25

23-26

14-20

27-15

21-31

22-24

17-22

19-19

6-16

15-21

21-31

27-15

17-23

13-15

15-29

9-27

11-27

20-24

26-23

14-20

18-14

15-22

29-26

19-18

14-26

161.9Avg total

74.0Scored

87.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	74.1	80.7	154.8	-6.7	17%
Season at home (15)	75.4	82.3	157.7	-6.9	20%
Season away (14)	72.6	79.1	151.7	-6.4	14%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	87.9	161.9	-13.9	0%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	87.2	156.0	-18.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	70.6	77.5	148.1	-6.9	21%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.3	83.7	161.0	-6.5	13%
vs Weaker (1)	81.0	73.0	154.0	+8.0	100%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

82-74

H15/01

National League

Aktobe

83-78

H21/01

National League

Aktobe

82-79

H22/01

National League

Atyrau

95-86

H06/03

National League

Atyrau

64-72

-8

H07/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

80-87

-7

H15/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

76-89

-13

H16/03

National League

Astana

51-84

-33

A30/03

National League

Astana

71-88

-17

A31/03

National League

Aktobe

88-81

A11/04

National League

21-21

17-16

27-16

17-21

19-19

20-15

25-18

19-26

21-18

30-17

13-22

18-22

28-27

24-17

20-26

23-16

11-23

15-10

13-13

25-26

25-13

19-18

20-27

16-29

18-22

25-23

21-26

12-18

16-26

8-18

7-24

20-16

21-26

22-21

14-19

14-22

26-29

18-19

26-14

159.0Avg total

77.2Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	78.8	84.4	163.1	-5.6	55%
Season at home (16)	83.7	80.0	163.7	+3.7	69%
Season away (13)	72.7	89.8	162.5	-17.1	38%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	81.8	159.0	-4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	85.8	159.0	-12.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	73.4	88.1	161.5	-14.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	83.7	80.5	164.2	+3.3	73%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AktobeTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	24.7	44.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	26.2	47.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.9	22.6	42.4	-2.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.5	20.9	39.3	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	24.7	43.5	-5.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.7	23.9	42.5	-5.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.9	20.5	43.4	+2.3	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	19.8	37.5	-2.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.4	19.5	36.9	-2.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.8	41.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.5	40.1	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.7	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

36-51

-15

A18/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

34-39

-5

A21/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

35-51

-16

A22/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

35-48

-13

H05/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

41-35

H06/03

National League

Atyrau

36-41

-5

A15/03

National League

Atyrau

48-46

A16/03

National League

Astana

24-56

-32

H03/04

National League

Astana

40-43

-3

H04/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

48-44

H11/04

National League

83.1Avg total

37.7Scored

45.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	42.2	80.1	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	41.4	79.2	-3.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	43.1	81.1	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	45.4	83.1	-7.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	46.0	85.2	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.3	42.1	79.4	-4.8	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.7	42.7	81.4	-4.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	36.0	72.0	+0.0	0%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

38-37

H15/01

National League

Aktobe

39-34

H21/01

National League

Aktobe

51-35

+16

H22/01

National League

Atyrau

52-44

H06/03

National League

Atyrau

26-33

-7

H07/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

44-31

+13

H15/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

43-45

-2

H16/03

National League

Astana

24-44

-20

A30/03

National League

Astana

43-47

-4

A31/03

National League

Aktobe

44-48

-4

A11/04

National League

80.2Avg total

40.4Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	43.0	84.3	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.7	40.2	84.9	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	46.2	83.6	-8.8	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	39.8	80.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	43.0	82.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	37.6	45.1	82.7	-7.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	45.0	40.9	85.9	+4.1	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	17.6	34.1	-1.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.6	39.1	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	19.6	33.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.0	17.2	34.2	-0.2	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	15.0	44.0	+14.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	21.8	38.6	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.2	21.7	38.9	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	18.7	38.5	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.9	37.7	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.4	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	21.6	37.0	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.4	18.2	34.6	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	27%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	20.9	39.9	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	38.3	74.6	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	40.2	78.2	-2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.6	36.0	70.6	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	42.5	78.8	-6.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	41.2	70.8	-11.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	33.4	35.4	68.8	-2.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.6	41.0	79.6	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	37.0	82.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	41.2	78.5	-4.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	39.8	78.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.3	42.9	78.2	-7.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	42.0	78.8	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	42.8	76.4	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	35.8	42.9	78.7	-7.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.7	39.5	78.3	-0.8	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aktobe wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
11/04/23	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	81-88
22/01/23	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	82-79
21/01/23	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	83-78
03/11/22	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	88-69
02/11/22	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	85-76
08/10/22	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	83-98
07/10/22	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	72-74
14/05/22	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	81-73
11/05/22	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	61-66 OT
10/05/22	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	79-77

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	81-88
04/04/23	H	Astana	73-79
03/04/23	H	Astana	55-107
16/03/23	A	Atyrau	78-84
15/03/23	A	Atyrau	57-78
06/03/23	H	Irbis Almaty	84-90
05/03/23	H	Irbis Almaty	84-99
22/01/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	79-82
21/01/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	78-83
18/01/23	A	Astana	71-89

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/23	A	Aktobe	88-81
31/03/23	A	Astana	71-88
30/03/23	A	Astana	51-84
16/03/23	H	Irbis Almaty	76-89
15/03/23	H	Irbis Almaty	80-87
07/03/23	H	Atyrau	64-72
06/03/23	H	Atyrau	95-86
22/01/23	H	Aktobe	82-79
21/01/23	H	Aktobe	83-78
15/01/23	H	Irbis Almaty	82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe

National League 2022-23

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	17%
Home	LLLLL	20%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	17%	20%	14%
Points / game	74.1	75.4	72.6
Allowed / game	80.7	82.3	79.1
Point differential	-6.7	-6.9	-6.4
Avg total	154.8	157.7	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	20%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	55%
Home	WWLLL	69%
Away	LLLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	16	13
Win %	55%	69%	38%
Points / game	78.8	83.7	72.7
Allowed / game	84.4	80.0	89.8
Point differential	-5.6	+3.7	-17.1
Avg total	163.1	163.7	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	19%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	80% (5)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	20	15	5	75%	84.3	71.0	+13.2
2	Atyrau	28	18	10	64%	76.6	72.9	+3.7
3	Tobol Kostanay	29	16	13	55%	78.8	84.4	-5.6
4	Irbis Almaty	28	13	15	46%	78.7	79.1	-0.5
5	Aktobe	29	5	24	17%	74.1	80.7	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aktobe	19	16	23	14	72
Tobol Kostanay	17	14	11	11	53

← all games of the day

Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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