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Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-102
18-28 24-13 13-29 24-32
Position#7
Record2-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game96.2
Al Gharafa
Qatar
vs
Al Sadd 🏆
Qatar
Position#3
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game83.8
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Gharafa v Al Sadd
05 Dec 2026
AL G v AL S
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
AL G79
AL S102
02 Dec 2024
AL G72
AL S95
25 Nov 2023
AL G78
AL S75
29 Apr 2023
AL G75
AL S84
22 Mar 2022
AL G64
AL S83
19 Mar 2022
AL G83
AL S77
10 Feb 2022
AL G97
AL S92
20 Jan 2021
AL G89
AL S77
24 Dec 2019
AL G117
AL S69
02 Jan 2019
AL G95
AL S98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Sadd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 75
A01/02
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
63avg 75
H06/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
66-81
66
81
-15
55avg 75
A10/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 75
H13/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 75
A22/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
116-124 OT
116
124
-8
107avg 75
H25/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 75
H01/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 75
A08/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
90-106
90
106
-16
76avg 75
H04/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 75
A08/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
20-20
13-16
23-18
20-26
17-23
16-24
18-24
17-17
16-25
17-20
16-19
20-24
19-17
21-11
27-18
17-26
26-21
20-32
20-19
27-16
23-18
26-30
15-27
23-25
19-26
21-18
24-17
24-19
25-32
18-19
17-25
16-30
24-29
23-29
27-18
15-20
19-11
21-20
21-17
174.1Avg total
84.3Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.396.2185.5-6.833%
Season at home (3)97.7105.3203.0-7.733%
Season away (3)81.087.0168.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)84.389.8174.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)90.695.8186.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)81.793.5175.2-11.811%
vs Similar (4)89.082.8171.8+6.2100%
vs Weaker (8)85.476.4161.8+9.075%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 83
A17/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
57avg 83
H20/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
67-91
67
91
-24
54avg 83
A25/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
96-86
96
86
+10
95avg 83
A07/04
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
91-83
91
83
+8
89avg 83
A20/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
84-103
84
103
-19
78avg 83
A25/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
95-78
95
78
+17
72avg 83
H29/10
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
93avg 83
A03/11
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 83
H06/11
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
90avg 83
H08/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-18
25-17
13-24
13-21
19-26
12-26
26-16
19-28
16-24
6-17
26-22
25-25
22-18
28-22
21-21
27-19
17-27
26-11
21-26
22-18
21-23
23-23
18-39
24-16
23-18
23-25
25-19
27-21
20-27
24-13
19-19
14-19
15-19
19-18
24-26
10-15
30-17
26-21
27-24
168.5Avg total
83.8Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.583.8171.3+3.767%
Season at home (3)86.779.0165.7+7.767%
Season away (3)88.388.7177.0-0.367%
Last 10 (10)83.884.7168.5-0.960%
Last 5 (5)86.884.0170.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.385.6161.9-9.320%
vs Similar (7)98.690.7189.3+7.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.878.6168.5+11.285%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Al GharafaAl Sadd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A01/02
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H06/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H13/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H25/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A08/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
H04/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/12
QBL
85.8Avg total
41.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.284.0-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.145.784.8-6.614%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.083.4+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.485.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.288.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.144.084.1-3.922%-
vs Similar (4)42.042.284.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (8)41.941.983.8+0.050%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H20/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A25/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A07/04
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A20/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H29/10
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A03/11
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H06/11
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/12
QBL
82.4Avg total
40.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.781.1+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.538.678.1+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)42.940.783.6+2.269%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.882.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.679.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.842.480.2-4.640%-
vs Similar (7)45.440.986.3+4.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.837.178.9+4.862%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.6
47.6%
54.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.2
35.1%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.016.5
68.8%
73.4%16.5
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.9
51.3%
54.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.0
34.4%
33.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.0
73.0%
73.4%17.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Gharafa
WLLWLLWLLW
Al Sadd
WLWWLWWLLW
#7
League position
#3
-6.8
Net rating
-1.6
103.7
Offensive rating
104.0
110.6
Defensive rating
105.6
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.1%
3-point %
34.4%
49.7%
Assist %
66.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 104.0Defence110.6 · 105.6Shooting49.6% · 51.4%3-point %35.1% · 34.4%Ball care18.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.3% · 22.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Al Gharafa   ■ Al Sadd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al Gharafa wins
5
Al Sadd wins
DateGameScore
09/01/25Al Sadd v Al Gharafa107-103 OT
02/12/24Al Gharafa v Al Sadd72-95
02/01/24Al Sadd v Al Gharafa96-98 OT
25/11/23Al Gharafa v Al Sadd78-75
29/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Sadd75-84
14/04/23Al Sadd v Al Gharafa87-89
22/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd64-83
19/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd83-77
15/03/22Al Sadd v Al Gharafa82-62
10/02/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd97-92
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25AAl Wakrah76-68
04/12/25HAl-Rayyan90-106
08/11/25AAl Arabi84-95
01/11/25HAl Khor87-86
25/10/25HAl Shamal116-124 OT
22/10/25AAl Ahli83-98
13/03/25HAl Khor87-70
10/03/25AAl Ahli66-81
06/03/25HAl Arabi71-97
01/02/25AQatar Sports83-73
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25HAl Khor93-77
06/11/25HAl Shamal72-82
03/11/25AAl Ahli90-80
29/10/25HQatar Sports95-78
25/10/25AAl Arabi84-103
20/10/25AAl Wakrah91-83
07/04/25AAl Ahli96-86
25/03/25AAl Arabi67-91
20/03/25HAl Arabi70-89
17/03/25AAl Arabi80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Gharafa
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game89.397.781.0
Allowed / game96.2105.387.0
Point differential-6.8-7.7-6.0
Avg total185.5203.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Al Sadd
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game87.586.788.3
Allowed / game83.879.088.7
Point differential+3.7+7.7-0.3
Avg total171.3165.7177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi660100%99.083.5+15.5
2 Al-Rayyan65183%94.580.5+14.0
3 Al Sadd64267%87.583.8+3.7
4 Al Wakrah64267%77.377.3+0.0
5 Al Shamal74357%87.184.3+2.9
6 Al Ahli73443%82.780.0+2.7
7 Al Gharafa62433%89.396.2-6.8
8 Al Khor6060%79.092.0-13.0
9 Qatar Sports6060%82.2102.0-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Gharafa1824132479
Al Sadd28132932102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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