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Al Sadd vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 63-78
16-16 12-26 14-16 21-20
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
Position#2
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game71.8
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Sadd v Al Ahli
05 Nov 2026
AL S v AL A
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
AL S65
AL A79
07 Dec 2024
AL S87
AL A78
28 Nov 2023
AL S63
AL A78
26 Apr 2023
AL S90
AL A87
28 Nov 2021
AL S78
AL A82
05 Jan 2021
AL S92
AL A75
15 Dec 2020
AL S93
AL A88
07 Dec 2019
AL S61
AL A102
26 Jan 2019
AL S83
AL A70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Sadd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
no box
A18/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
A20/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A23/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
no box
H25/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A27/05
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
56-72
56
72
-16
45avg 63
A01/11
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
60-59
60
59
+1
56avg 63
H14/11
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 63
A18/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 63
H22/11
QBL
Al Gharafa
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
59avg 63
A25/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
18-28
21-15
14-20
28-19
21-19
15-23
18-23
16-17
23-10
23-15
18-30
20-19
24-7
11-21
13-23
18-21
21-12
27-21
16-17
21-13
9-25
21-17
5-17
10-22
16-12
14-11
20-14
24-16
30-18
19-17
19-26
17-20
20-28
21-19
14-18
18-26
19-21
16-15
22-16
150.5Avg total
74.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.074.2145.2-3.240%
Season at home (2)66.072.0138.0-6.050%
Season away (3)74.375.7150.0-1.333%
Last 10 (10)74.376.2150.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)71.074.2145.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.489.6168.0-11.20%
vs Similar (9)74.375.1149.4-0.844%
vs Weaker (16)89.478.1167.5+11.481%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
86avg 81
A03/11
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A04/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
96-77
96
77
+19
93avg 81
H06/11
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
87avg 81
A08/11
QBL
Al Salam
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 81
A10/11
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
85avg 81
H14/11
WASL
Al Gharafa
#4
W
95-61
95
61
+34
101avg 81
A15/11
QBL
Ohod
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
49avg 81
H17/11
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
73-65
73
65
+8
73avg 81
H19/11
QBL
Al Muharraq
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
no box
A23/11
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
25-17
26-14
19-17
28-24
25-25
15-12
17-17
25-10
27-22
27-23
17-22
18-13
17-17
31-15
16-20
18-15
23-22
18-20
25-18
19-24
27-25
18-20
24-29
26-16
15-11
30-14
24-20
20-24
12-20
11-19
23-24
18-13
14-22
21-13
20-17
24-20
16-16
27-21
26-22
160.3Avg total
85.4Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.071.8151.8+8.260%
Season at home (2)78.076.5154.5+1.550%
Season away (3)81.368.7150.0+12.767%
Last 10 (10)85.474.9160.3+10.580%
Last 5 (5)83.078.0161.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.081.2162.2-0.225%
vs Similar (12)82.682.0164.6+0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.172.4156.4+11.786%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
Al SaddAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#3
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A18/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A20/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A23/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/05
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A01/11
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H14/11
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A18/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H22/11
QBL
Al Gharafa
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A25/11
QBL
78.0Avg total
39.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.780.7+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.039.081.0+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)42.038.480.4+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.478.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.277.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.044.283.2-5.220%-
vs Similar (9)38.638.176.7+0.444%-
vs Weaker (16)44.937.382.2+7.675%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A03/11
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A04/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H06/11
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A08/11
QBL
Al Salam
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A10/11
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H14/11
WASL
Al Gharafa
#4
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A15/11
QBL
Ohod
#5
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H17/11
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H19/11
QBL
Al Muharraq
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A23/11
Premier League
79.1Avg total
41.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.940.382.2+1.559%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.339.580.8+1.846%-
Last 30 away (16)42.341.183.4+1.269%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.279.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.043.284.2-2.225%-
vs Similar (12)43.543.086.5+0.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.637.077.6+3.669%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.617.8
46.1%
49.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.4
28.6%
29.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws12.29.4
77.0%
68.0%9.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.724.6
57.6%
49.4%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.9
30.9%
29.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.811.9
66.9%
68.0%11.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Sadd
LLWWLWLWLL
Al Ahli
WWLWLWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
-4.2
Net rating
+8.2
93.0
Offensive rating
108.0
97.3
Defensive rating
99.9
44.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.7%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.6%
3-point %
30.9%
55.7%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 108.0Defence97.3 · 99.9Shooting44.7% · 53.8%3-point %28.6% · 30.9%Ball care17.5% · 19.7%Off. rebounds26.4% · 32.5%Free throws0.18 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Al Sadd   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Al Sadd wins
3
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
26/04/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli90-87
31/03/23Al Ahli v Al Sadd68-79
03/03/22Al Ahli v Al Sadd85-65
28/11/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli78-82 OT
05/01/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli92-75
15/12/20Al Sadd v Al Ahli93-88
25/02/20Al Ahli v Al Sadd79-86
07/12/19Al Sadd v Al Ahli61-102
26/01/19Al Sadd v Al Ahli83-70
08/01/19Al Ahli v Al Sadd79-85
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AAl Gharafa75-78
22/11/23HQatar Sports72-85
18/11/23AAl Khor92-77
14/11/23HAl Shamal60-59
01/11/23AAl Arabi56-72
27/05/23AQatar Sports82-71
25/05/23HAl Shamal68-70
23/05/23AAl Shamal80-72
20/05/23AAl Shamal82-84
18/05/23AAl Shamal76-94
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23AAl Muharraq93-79
19/11/23HAl-Rayyan73-65
17/11/23HOhod66-87
15/11/23AAl Gharafa95-61
14/11/23HAl-Rayyan88-98
10/11/23AAl Salam84-75
08/11/23AAl Shamal82-65
06/11/23HAl-Fateh96-77
04/11/23AAl Ittihad85-78
03/11/23AAl Taawon92-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Sadd
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game71.066.074.3
Allowed / game74.272.075.7
Point differential-3.2-6.0-1.3
Avg total145.2138.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game80.078.081.3
Allowed / game71.876.568.7
Point differential+8.2+1.5+12.7
Avg total151.8154.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi65183%75.868.3+7.5
2 Al Ahli53260%80.071.8+8.2
3 Al-Rayyan53260%73.268.2+5.0
4 Qatar Sports53260%74.672.2+2.4
5 Al Gharafa74357%78.682.3-3.7
6 Al Wakrah63350%82.780.0+2.7
7 Al Sadd52340%71.074.2-3.2
8 Al Khor51420%72.883.4-10.6
9 Al Shamal61517%68.876.2-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Sadd1612142163
Al Ahli1626162078
← all games of the day
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