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Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 98-77
19-17 25-19 27-16 27-25
Position#3
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game84.4
Al Sadd 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al Gharafa
Qatar
Position#7
Record2-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game98.8
QatarQBL
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Sadd v Al Gharafa
25 Dec 2025
AL S98
AL G77
09 Jan 2025
AL S107
AL G103
02 Jan 2024
AL S96
AL G98
14 Apr 2023
AL S87
AL G89
15 Mar 2022
AL S82
AL G62
04 Dec 2021
AL S81
AL G73
23 Dec 2020
AL S57
AL G65
27 Feb 2020
AL S58
AL G84
29 Jan 2019
AL S78
AL G76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Sadd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#2
L
67-91
67
91
-24
54avg 84
A25/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
96-86
96
86
+10
95avg 84
A07/04
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
91-83
91
83
+8
89avg 84
A20/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
84-103
84
103
-19
78avg 84
A25/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
95-78
95
78
+17
72avg 84
H29/10
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
93avg 84
A03/11
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 84
H06/11
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
90avg 84
H08/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
102-79
102
79
+23
100avg 84
A11/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
80avg 84
H20/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
16-24
6-17
26-22
25-25
22-18
28-22
21-21
27-19
17-27
26-11
21-26
22-18
21-23
23-23
18-39
24-16
23-18
23-25
25-19
27-21
20-27
24-13
19-19
14-19
15-19
19-18
24-26
10-15
30-17
26-21
27-24
28-18
13-24
29-13
32-24
25-14
25-23
12-31
21-25
172.5Avg total
87.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.884.4173.1+4.462%
Season at home (4)85.882.5168.2+3.250%
Season away (4)91.886.2178.0+5.575%
Last 10 (10)87.385.2172.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)88.082.2170.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.986.3163.2-9.418%
vs Similar (6)99.089.5188.5+9.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.879.3170.1+11.585%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#5
L
66-81
66
81
-15
55avg 76
A10/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 76
H13/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 76
A22/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
116-124 OT
116
124
-8
107avg 76
H25/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 76
H01/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 76
A08/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
90-106
90
106
-16
76avg 76
H04/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 76
A08/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
79-102
79
102
-23
67avg 76
H11/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
89avg 76
A15/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
16-25
17-20
16-19
20-24
19-17
21-11
27-18
17-26
26-21
20-32
20-19
27-16
23-18
26-30
15-27
23-25
19-26
21-18
24-17
24-19
25-32
18-19
17-25
16-30
24-29
23-29
27-18
15-20
19-11
21-20
21-17
18-28
24-13
13-29
24-32
23-19
18-33
26-24
32-35
180.8Avg total
86.7Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.298.8188.0-9.525%
Season at home (4)93.0104.5197.5-11.525%
Season away (4)85.593.0178.5-7.525%
Last 10 (10)86.794.1180.8-7.430%
Last 5 (5)85.696.4182.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)81.693.9175.5-12.411%
vs Similar (2)87.081.5168.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (9)86.980.2167.1+6.767%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Al SaddAl Gharafa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A25/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A07/04
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A20/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H29/10
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A03/11
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H06/11
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H20/12
QBL
83.6Avg total
42.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.681.3+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.238.178.3+2.254%-
Last 30 away (17)42.840.883.6+2.165%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.383.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.480.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.941.980.8-3.045%-
vs Similar (6)46.240.386.5+5.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.037.379.3+4.762%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H13/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H25/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A08/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
H04/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/12
QBL
86.2Avg total
41.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.384.0-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.944.683.6-5.721%-
Last 30 away (16)42.342.184.4+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.986.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.246.888.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.243.884.1-3.626%-
vs Similar (2)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (9)41.843.084.8-1.244%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.4
55.1%
54.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.2
35.1%
33.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.117.1
74.0%
73.4%17.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.1
48.7%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.6
35.2%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.716.7
70.5%
73.4%16.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Sadd
LWWLWWLWWL
Al Gharafa
LLWLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#7
+2.4
Net rating
-9.3
108.8
Offensive rating
104.4
106.4
Defensive rating
113.7
54.0%
Effective FG%
50.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.1%
3-point %
35.2%
65.2%
Assist %
49.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 104.4Defence106.4 · 113.7Shooting54.0% · 50.3%3-point %35.1% · 35.2%Ball care17.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds24.0% · 27.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Al Sadd   ■ Al Gharafa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Sadd wins
4
Al Gharafa wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Al Gharafa v Al Sadd79-102
09/01/25Al Sadd v Al Gharafa107-103 OT
02/12/24Al Gharafa v Al Sadd72-95
02/01/24Al Sadd v Al Gharafa96-98 OT
25/11/23Al Gharafa v Al Sadd78-75
29/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Sadd75-84
14/04/23Al Sadd v Al Gharafa87-89
22/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd64-83
19/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd83-77
15/03/22Al Sadd v Al Gharafa82-62
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HAl-Rayyan83-93
11/12/25AAl Gharafa102-79
08/12/25HAl Khor93-77
06/11/25HAl Shamal72-82
03/11/25AAl Ahli90-80
29/10/25HQatar Sports95-78
25/10/25AAl Arabi84-103
20/10/25AAl Wakrah91-83
07/04/25AAl Ahli96-86
25/03/25AAl Arabi67-91
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/25AQatar Sports99-111
11/12/25HAl Sadd79-102
08/12/25AAl Wakrah76-68
04/12/25HAl-Rayyan90-106
08/11/25AAl Arabi84-95
01/11/25HAl Khor87-86
25/10/25HAl Shamal116-124 OT
22/10/25AAl Ahli83-98
13/03/25HAl Khor87-70
10/03/25AAl Ahli66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Sadd
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game88.885.891.8
Allowed / game84.482.586.2
Point differential+4.4+3.2+5.5
Avg total173.1168.2178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Gharafa
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game89.293.085.5
Allowed / game98.8104.593.0
Point differential-9.5-11.5-7.5
Avg total188.0197.5178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan87188%94.681.1+13.5
2 Al Arabi87188%96.086.1+9.9
3 Al Sadd85362%88.884.4+4.4
4 Al Ahli95456%87.281.6+5.7
5 Al Shamal95456%88.483.9+4.6
6 Al Wakrah95456%81.481.9-0.4
7 Al Gharafa82625%89.298.8-9.5
8 Al Khor81712%80.692.5-11.9
9 Qatar Sports91811%83.799.1-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Sadd1925272798
Al Gharafa1719162577
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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