PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kentucky vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 82-74 (OT)
37-24 35-48 10-2
Position#34
Record15-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game63.7
Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#171
Record13-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Kentucky v Mississippi St.
10 Jan 2026
KENT92
MISS68
17 Jan 2024
KENT90
MISS77
25 Jan 2022
KENT82
MISS74
11 Mar 2021
KENT73
MISS74
04 Feb 2020
KENT80
MISS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#41
W
98-69
98
69
+29
H18/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
W
95-60
95
60
+35
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H30/12
NCAA
High Point
#243
W
92-48
92
48
+44
H31/12
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A05/01
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H08/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A12/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
107-79
107
79
+28
H15/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A20/01
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-29
58-40
37-28
58-32
44-27
39-29
43-25
49-23
30-35
30-30
40-37
52-40
41-28
37-38
52-38
55-41
30-35
34-23
33-29
38-51
149.8Avg total
84.0Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.363.7146.0+18.579%
Season at home (13)89.061.3150.3+27.7100%
Season away (6)67.769.0136.7-1.333%
Last 10 (10)84.065.8149.8+18.280%
Last 5 (5)82.472.0154.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.471.6140.0-3.220%
vs Similar (9)75.975.7151.6+0.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.160.8144.9+23.494%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H15/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#53
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A09/01
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H13/01
NCAA
Alabama
#147
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A19/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
34-39
43-22
36-28
35-24
34-42
47-28
37-35
33-31
48-37
36-50
36-32
35-36
53-36
37-41
41-35
41-35
31-45
42-41
36-19
144.7Avg total
76.4Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.565.3140.8+10.272%
Season at home (15)76.863.1139.9+13.787%
Season away (3)69.076.0145.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)76.468.3144.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)77.674.0151.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)60.073.0133.0-13.025%
vs Similar (16)73.364.2137.6+9.175%
vs Weaker (9)73.766.0139.7+7.767%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +10.3+10.32nd half: +3.8+3.8
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +10.3+10.32nd half: +3.8+3.8
KentuckyMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#41
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H30/12
NCAA
High Point
#243
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H31/12
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A05/01
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H15/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A20/01
NCAA
Auburn
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A22/01
NCAA
70.1Avg total
39.0Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.632.269.8+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.731.871.6+7.984%-
Last 30 away (11)34.032.866.8+1.245%-
Last 10 (10)39.031.170.1+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.472.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.633.470.0+3.240%-
vs Similar (9)35.336.671.9-1.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.229.468.6+9.994%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#14
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H15/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#53
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H22/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A09/01
NCAA
Georgia
#353
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/01
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/01
NCAA
Florida
#131
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A19/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/01
NCAA
71.3Avg total
37.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.832.166.8+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.731.266.9+4.565%-
Last 30 away (10)32.933.866.7-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.571.3+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)27.034.561.5-7.525%-
vs Similar (16)36.630.066.6+6.681%-
vs Weaker (9)35.135.370.4-0.244%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kentucky wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
11/03/21Kentucky v Mississippi St.73-74
02/01/21Mississippi St. v Kentucky73-78 OT
05/02/20Kentucky v Mississippi St.80-72
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22AAuburn71-80
20/01/22ATexas A&M64-58
15/01/22HTennessee107-79
12/01/22AVanderbilt78-66
08/01/22HGeorgia92-77
05/01/22ALSU60-65
31/12/21HHigh Point92-48
30/12/21HMissouri83-56
22/12/21HWestern Kentucky95-60
18/12/21HNorth Carolina98-69
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HOle Miss78-60
19/01/22AFlorida72-80
15/01/22HAlabama78-76
13/01/22HGeorgia88-72
09/01/22AOle Miss72-82
29/12/21HArkansas81-68
22/12/21HWinthrop84-63
18/12/21HFurman69-66
15/12/21HGeorgia State79-50
11/12/21AColorado State63-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %79%100%33%
Points / game82.389.067.7
Allowed / game63.761.369.0
Point differential+18.5+27.7-1.3
Avg total146.0150.3136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%100%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW72%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18153
Win %72%87%0%
Points / game75.576.869.0
Allowed / game65.363.176.0
Point differential+10.2+13.7-7.0
Avg total140.8139.9145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2019195%79.465.3+14.1
2 Kentucky1915479%82.363.7+18.5
3 LSU1915479%73.358.1+15.3
4 Texas A&M1915479%74.963.6+11.3
5 Texas1914574%69.354.9+14.4
6 Arkansas1914574%79.269.1+10.1
7 Tennessee1813572%74.462.6+11.8
8 Mississippi St.1813572%75.565.3+10.2
9 Alabama2013765%81.174.7+6.4
10 Oklahoma1912763%70.862.5+8.3
11 Florida1912763%71.363.1+8.3
12 South Carolina1811761%71.867.9+3.9
13 Vanderbilt1810856%68.163.7+4.3
14 Ole Miss1910953%68.066.1+1.9
15 Missouri1981142%67.071.2-4.2
16 Georgia2061430%70.575.9-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Kentucky37351082
Mississippi St.2448274
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.