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Alabama vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 99-67
47-24 52-43
Position#67
Record15-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game75.6
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#130
Record14-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alabama v Mississippi St.
25 Feb 2026
ALAB100
MISS75
25 Feb 2025
ALAB111
MISS73
03 Feb 2024
ALAB99
MISS67
10 Mar 2023
ALAB72
MISS49
25 Jan 2023
ALAB66
MISS63
16 Feb 2022
ALAB80
MISS75
12 Mar 2021
ALAB85
MISS48
23 Jan 2021
ALAB81
MISS73
08 Jan 2020
ALAB90
MISS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
111-67
111
67
+44
H23/12
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
101-56
101
56
+45
A30/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A06/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H10/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A20/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H25/01
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
109-88
109
88
+21
H28/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
61-32
50-35
48-27
53-29
40-36
38-39
30-29
44-18
40-38
42-36
36-34
57-41
37-50
34-41
44-30
35-45
50-44
59-44
27-41
58-35
160.7Avg total
88.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.475.6165.0+13.971%
Season at home (11)94.569.8164.3+24.691%
Season away (10)83.981.9165.8+2.050%
Last 10 (10)88.372.4160.7+15.990%
Last 5 (5)87.481.0168.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.784.7164.3-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.679.5167.1+8.150%
vs Weaker (19)86.068.5154.5+17.589%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A06/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
41-31
41-22
44-40
28-30
34-38
35-22
42-50
38-40
36-42
29-47
48-43
36-21
32-34
34-43
36-36
21-21
43-37
39-39
43-47
144.1Avg total
72.9Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.566.9141.4+7.667%
Season at home (14)76.463.6140.0+12.786%
Season away (7)70.973.4144.3-2.629%
Last 10 (10)72.971.2144.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)72.273.6145.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.873.0139.8-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.268.3140.5+3.944%
vs Weaker (10)73.662.5136.1+11.190%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +10.7+10.72nd half: +0.1+0.1
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +10.7+10.72nd half: +0.1+0.1
AlabamaMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H23/12
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A30/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A06/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/01
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/01
NCAA
77.4Avg total
41.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.234.174.3+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.131.072.1+10.179%-
Last 30 away (11)38.839.478.2-0.545%-
Last 10 (10)41.336.177.4+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.878.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.339.383.7+5.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.137.879.9+4.450%-
vs Weaker (19)38.831.770.5+7.174%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A23/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H20/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A31/01
NCAA
64.4Avg total
33.0Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.931.465.3+2.452%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.928.664.5+7.471%-
Last 30 away (12)30.935.466.3-4.525%-
Last 10 (10)33.031.464.4+1.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.266.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.532.859.2-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.732.766.5+1.047%-
vs Weaker (10)37.028.965.9+8.170%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alabama wins
2
Mississippi St. wins
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AGeorgia85-76
28/01/24HLSU109-88
25/01/24HAuburn79-75
20/01/24ATennessee71-91
17/01/24HMissouri93-75
14/01/24AMississippi St.82-74
10/01/24HSouth Carolina74-47
06/01/24AVanderbilt78-75
30/12/23ALiberty101-56
23/12/23HEastern Kentucky111-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AOle Miss82-86
27/01/24HAuburn64-58
25/01/24AFlorida70-79
20/01/24HVanderbilt68-55
18/01/24AKentucky77-90
14/01/24HAlabama74-82
11/01/24HTennessee77-72
06/01/24ASouth Carolina62-68
31/12/23HBethune-Cookman85-62
23/12/23ARutgers70-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%91%50%
Points / game89.494.583.9
Allowed / game75.669.881.9
Point differential+13.9+24.6+2.0
Avg total165.0164.3165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%82%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %67%86%29%
Points / game74.576.470.9
Allowed / game66.963.673.4
Point differential+7.6+12.7-2.6
Avg total141.4140.0144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2219386%72.764.1+8.6
2 Auburn2218482%82.465.9+16.5
3 Ole Miss2218482%76.971.6+5.3
4 Tennessee2015575%78.565.9+12.6
5 Kentucky2015575%88.777.2+11.5
6 Oklahoma2216673%77.666.3+11.3
7 Alabama2115671%89.475.6+13.9
8 Texas2215768%76.668.1+8.5
9 Florida2215768%84.977.0+7.9
10 Mississippi St.2114767%74.566.9+7.6
11 Georgia2214864%76.573.6+2.9
12 Texas A&M2113862%73.568.2+5.2
13 LSU2112957%77.572.2+5.3
14 Arkansas22111150%75.978.0-2.0
15 Missouri2281436%73.574.0-0.5
16 Vanderbilt2161529%66.472.0-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama475299
Mississippi St.244367
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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