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Alba Berlin vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-71
15-20 22-14 19-18 12-19
Position#15
Record8-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#1
Record15-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2020
Meetings · Alba Berlin v CSKA Moscow
17 Dec 2021
ABE90
CMO93
27 Jan 2021
ABE68
CMO71
17 Oct 2014
ABE68
CMO84
04 Jan 2013
ABE57
CMO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 75
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 75
H05/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/01
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
92-82
92
82
+10
88avg 75
H10/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
71avg 75
A12/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 75
H14/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 75
A17/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
103-63
103
63
+40
no box
H20/01
German Cup
Baskonia
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 75
A22/01
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
99-85
99
85
+14
101avg 75
H24/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
21-24
26-17
20-19
25-19
20-25
29-28
21-19
17-24
11-19
21-20
24-22
22-21
23-16
23-24
24-21
18-18
26-18
9-26
23-22
18-13
16-29
22-22
14-20
26-26
25-17
13-13
18-20
21-18
25-18
30-13
27-14
21-18
25-32
21-11
17-16
28-20
25-25
26-16
20-24
165.8Avg total
85.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.383.3160.6-6.038%
Season at home (11)77.482.8160.2-5.536%
Season away (10)77.383.8161.1-6.540%
Last 10 (10)85.979.9165.8+6.070%
Last 5 (5)87.677.0164.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.085.6160.6-10.633%
vs Similar (10)79.279.5158.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (11)89.174.5163.5+14.6100%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
83-65
83
65
+18
76avg 82
H18/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 82
A22/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
W
83-76
83
76
+7
75avg 82
A26/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
no box
A30/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
83-63
83
63
+20
76avg 82
A03/01
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
93-95
93
95
-2
82avg 82
A07/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 82
H13/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
63avg 82
H15/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 82
A18/01
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 82
H22/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
21-14
21-18
17-16
21-15
25-26
20-19
21-18
18-17
22-24
18-16
25-19
17-17
22-16
20-25
21-22
24-21
22-14
20-15
17-13
19-31
26-15
22-33
26-16
18-11
27-21
15-20
23-21
25-20
16-22
15-22
19-24
27-20
32-17
15-21
24-24
21-15
17-23
28-25
17-26
165.5Avg total
85.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.579.4164.0+5.171%
Season at home (11)83.276.4159.5+6.873%
Season away (10)86.082.8168.8+3.270%
Last 10 (10)85.979.6165.5+6.370%
Last 5 (5)86.485.4171.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)86.479.9166.3+6.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.575.7164.2+12.983%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Alba BerlinCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H07/01
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A12/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H14/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A17/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/01
German Cup
Baskonia
#10
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A22/01
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H24/01
BBL
84.3Avg total
43.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.679.3+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.438.279.6+3.271%-
Last 30 away (13)39.739.278.9+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.284.3+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.043.289.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.744.280.9-7.633%-
vs Similar (10)38.635.474.0+3.260%-
vs Weaker (11)45.837.082.8+8.891%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H18/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A03/01
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H13/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H15/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A18/01
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H22/01
Euroleague
82.0Avg total
44.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.937.582.4+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.136.781.9+8.473%-
Last 30 away (15)44.738.383.0+6.573%-
Last 10 (10)44.437.682.0+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.084.6+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.737.079.7+5.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.637.783.3+8.078%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.0
55.3%
52.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.9
39.8%
38.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws13.311.0
82.7%
79.3%11.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.9
53.2%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
38.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.315.9
78.3%
79.3%15.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWWLLWLWW
CSKA Moscow
LWLWLWWWWW
#15
League position
#1
+4.2
Net rating
+13.3
110.7
Offensive rating
121.7
106.6
Defensive rating
108.3
57.0%
Effective FG%
53.8%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
42.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.8%
3-point %
36.6%
61.2%
Assist %
54.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 121.7Defence106.6 · 108.3Shooting57.0% · 53.8%3-point %39.8% · 36.6%Ball care19.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 42.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
4
CSKA Moscow wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg99-85
22/01/21ABaskonia84-77
20/01/21HBasketball Braunschweig103-63
17/01/21ABasketball Braunschweig82-76
14/01/21HOlimpia Milano70-84
12/01/21AAnadolu Efes76-84
10/01/21HGiessen92-82
07/01/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv73-85
05/01/21HBaskonia95-91
03/01/21HBayern85-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/21HFenerbahce83-89
18/01/21ASaratov98-82
15/01/21HBarcelona75-88
13/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas83-73
07/01/21ABaskonia93-95
03/01/21ANizhny Novgorod83-63
30/12/20AOlimpia Milano91-87 OT
26/12/20AUnics Kazan83-76
22/12/20ALyon-Villeurbanne87-78
18/12/20HZenit Petersburg83-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeWLWLL36%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%36%40%
Points / game77.377.477.3
Allowed / game83.382.883.8
Point differential-6.0-5.5-6.5
Avg total160.6160.2161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL71%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%73%70%
Points / game84.583.286.0
Allowed / game79.476.482.8
Point differential+5.1+6.8+3.2
Avg total164.0159.5168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %14%0%30%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2216673%81.373.4+7.9
2 CSKA Moscow2115671%84.579.4+5.1
3 Olimpia Milano2114767%82.478.3+4.1
4 Zenit Petersburg2013765%77.573.8+3.6
5 Real Madrid2113862%82.078.1+4.0
6 Bayern2213959%79.077.4+1.5
7 Zalgiris Kaunas2112957%79.877.5+2.3
8 Anadolu Efes22121055%79.676.9+2.7
9 Fenerbahce22121055%76.778.1-1.4
10 Valencia21111052%81.581.7-0.1
11 Olympiacos22111150%80.581.1-0.6
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv22101245%79.778.9+0.9
13 Baskonia2191243%79.279.0+0.2
14 Alba Berlin2181338%77.383.3-6.0
15 Panathinaikos2071335%80.583.7-3.2
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2171433%76.180.8-4.6
17 Crvena zvezda2271532%74.078.6-4.7
18 Khimki M.222209%79.290.7-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1522191268
CSKA Moscow2014181971
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