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Olimpia Milano vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 87-91 (OT)
17-17 16-22 25-20 22-21 7-11
Position#4
Record9-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game79.8
Olimpia Milano
vs
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Position#1
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow
30 Sep 2021
MIL84
CMO74
30 May 2021
MIL83
CMO73
30 Dec 2020
MIL87
CMO91
08 Nov 2018
MIL85
CMO90
11 Jan 2018
MIL81
CMO107
08 Dec 2016
MIL64
CMO79
09 Apr 2015
MIL79
CMO88
24 Nov 2010
MIL71
CMO65
03 Dec 2008
MIL80
CMO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
L
77-80
77
80
-3
65avg 78
H03/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
96-70
96
70
+26
96avg 78
A06/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 78
A08/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 78
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 78
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 78
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
64avg 78
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
102-86
102
86
+16
104avg 78
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 78
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
66avg 78
A27/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-12
18-24
17-26
20-18
35-14
22-18
19-20
28-20
26-27
18-21
30-25
15-23
28-16
18-21
10-27
18-21
22-15
17-27
25-25
26-25
18-10
24-13
11-23
20-20
26-11
6-21
20-17
26-25
22-22
24-28
30-11
19-23
22-22
16-18
22-21
23-24
23-14
12-20
15-10
162.9Avg total
83.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.379.8161.1+1.560%
Season at home (7)81.977.3159.1+4.657%
Season away (8)80.982.0162.9-1.162%
Last 10 (10)83.379.6162.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)81.075.6156.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.481.8162.1-1.450%
vs Weaker (21)86.073.2159.2+12.886%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#9
W
95-61
95
61
+34
no box
A22/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
61avg 83
H26/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
80-61
80
61
+19
74avg 83
H03/12
Euroleague
Minsk
#13
W
87-60
87
60
+27
82avg 83
A06/12
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
W
105-73
105
73
+32
108avg 83
H08/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#18
W
96-87
96
87
+9
90avg 83
A11/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
100-65
100
65
+35
103avg 83
H15/12
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
83-65
83
65
+18
76avg 83
H18/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 83
A22/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
W
83-76
83
76
+7
75avg 83
A26/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
26-15
18-9
27-21
17-20
18-18
23-17
16-18
20-19
19-10
17-9
24-23
27-23
19-24
23-4
18-9
31-18
23-24
24-14
27-17
25-22
27-21
25-26
19-18
20-13
27-21
27-15
26-16
24-17
21-14
21-18
17-16
21-15
25-26
20-19
21-18
18-17
22-24
18-16
25-19
158.9Avg total
89.0Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.477.2161.6+7.181%
Season at home (8)84.273.8158.0+10.588%
Season away (8)84.580.8165.2+3.875%
Last 10 (10)89.069.9158.9+19.1100%
Last 5 (5)89.874.2164.0+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.473.0155.4+9.480%
vs Weaker (25)89.373.5162.8+15.884%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.5+4.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.5+4.5
Olimpia MilanoCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A06/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#18
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A08/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/12
Lega A
83.9Avg total
45.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.236.881.0+7.480%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.036.180.1+7.975%-
Last 30 away (14)44.437.782.1+6.786%-
Last 10 (10)45.938.083.9+7.990%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.284.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.139.180.2+2.075%-
vs Weaker (21)45.336.281.5+9.081%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A22/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H03/12
Euroleague
Minsk
#13
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A06/12
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H08/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A11/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/12
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H18/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/12
VTB United League
83.1Avg total
45.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.536.882.3+8.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.036.184.1+11.988%-
Last 30 away (14)42.637.780.4+4.964%-
Last 10 (10)45.437.783.1+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.084.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.435.877.2+5.660%-
vs Weaker (25)46.337.083.4+9.380%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.5
48.8%
52.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.710.4
43.9%
38.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.512.5
80.6%
79.3%12.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.1
53.9%
52.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.5
40.9%
38.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.516.5
80.5%
79.3%16.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWLLWWL
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+5.1
Net rating
+27.3
113.3
Offensive rating
124.6
108.2
Defensive rating
97.4
55.1%
Effective FG%
56.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
39.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
43.9%
3-point %
40.9%
57.5%
Assist %
52.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 124.6Defence108.2 · 97.4Shooting55.1% · 56.9%3-point %43.9% · 40.9%Ball care15.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds26.6% · 39.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
8
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
08/03/19CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano101-95
08/11/18Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow85-90
11/01/18Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow81-107
12/10/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano93-84
13/01/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano101-64
08/12/16Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow64-79
09/04/15Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow79-88
13/02/15CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano97-75
24/11/10Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow71-65
21/10/10CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano73-88
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/20AVirtus Bologna73-68
23/12/20HBaskonia79-84
20/12/20HSassari102-86
17/12/20AAnadolu Efes72-69
15/12/20AFenerbahce79-71
13/12/20HBrindisi82-88
11/12/20ABarcelona71-87
08/12/20AKhimki M.102-93
06/12/20AVarese96-70
03/12/20HPanathinaikos77-80
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/20AUnics Kazan83-76
22/12/20ALyon-Villeurbanne87-78
18/12/20HZenit Petersburg83-65
15/12/20HAnadolu Efes100-65
11/12/20AKhimki M.96-87
08/12/20HZielona Gora105-73
06/12/20AMinsk87-60
03/12/20HOlympiacos80-61
26/11/20HReal Madrid74-73
22/11/20AParma Perm95-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%57%62%
Points / game81.381.980.9
Allowed / game79.877.382.0
Point differential+1.5+4.6-1.1
Avg total161.1159.1162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %13%0%25%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%88%75%
Points / game84.484.284.5
Allowed / game77.273.880.8
Point differential+7.1+10.5+3.8
Avg total161.6158.0165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1613381%84.477.2+7.1
2 Real Madrid1712571%82.677.6+5.1
3 Zenit Petersburg1510567%75.872.6+3.2
4 Barcelona1711665%80.473.6+6.8
5 Bayern1711665%79.575.9+3.6
6 Olimpia Milano159660%81.379.8+1.5
7 Zalgiris Kaunas1710759%79.777.3+2.4
8 Valencia1710759%81.980.6+1.3
9 Baskonia168850%77.674.9+2.7
10 Olympiacos168850%79.880.1-0.4
11 Anadolu Efes178947%76.677.6-1.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv1771041%78.277.9+0.3
13 Fenerbahce1771041%73.478.8-5.4
14 Alba Berlin1661038%76.683.0-6.4
15 Crvena zvezda1761135%74.978.3-3.4
16 Panathinaikos1651131%79.883.5-3.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1651131%74.879.1-4.3
18 Khimki M.1721512%80.189.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Olimpia Milano17162522787
CSKA Moscow172220211191
← all games of the day
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