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Alba Berlin vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-84
18-13 16-29 22-22 14-20
Position#15
Record7-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#4
Record11-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20
European cup2020
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano
12 Nov 2024
ABE105
MIL101
26 Oct 2023
ABE85
MIL82
10 Jan 2023
ABE83
MIL63
03 Dec 2021
ABE81
MIL76
14 Jan 2021
ABE70
MIL84
06 Jan 2016
ABE83
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
A15/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A17/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H19/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#7
L
62-91
62
91
-29
A22/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H29/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
H05/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H10/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A12/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
19-21
14-20
28-19
18-25
14-14
20-27
17-26
20-19
31-22
22-20
20-22
18-19
12-26
14-27
18-19
14-12
23-19
11-23
23-20
18-12
21-24
26-17
20-19
25-19
20-25
29-28
21-19
17-24
11-19
21-20
24-22
22-21
23-16
23-24
24-21
18-18
26-18
9-26
23-22
164.4Avg total
80.6Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.483.6160.9-6.237%
Season at home (10)78.182.7160.8-4.640%
Season away (9)76.684.6161.1-8.033%
Last 10 (10)80.683.8164.4-3.250%
Last 5 (5)84.282.8167.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.888.0163.8-12.230%
vs Similar (11)78.679.5158.2-0.945%
vs Weaker (9)85.774.3160.0+11.3100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
102-86
102
86
+16
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A27/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
H30/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H03/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A08/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H12/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-15
17-27
25-25
26-25
18-10
24-13
11-23
20-20
26-11
6-21
20-17
26-25
22-22
24-28
30-11
19-23
22-22
16-18
22-21
23-24
23-14
12-20
15-10
17-17
16-22
25-20
22-21
21-18
18-31
25-23
33-21
17-18
22-21
22-10
19-27
21-20
33-16
22-24
19-20
165.2Avg total
84.6Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.380.2162.6+2.161%
Season at home (9)83.979.1163.0+4.856%
Season away (9)80.881.3162.1-0.667%
Last 10 (10)84.680.6165.2+4.070%
Last 5 (5)86.481.6168.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (10)82.482.2164.6+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.674.9162.6+12.784%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
Alba BerlinOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A15/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A17/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H19/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#7
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A22/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H29/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H07/01
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A12/01
Euroleague
77.4Avg total
38.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.479.1+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.139.479.6+0.762%-
Last 30 away (14)39.239.478.6-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.977.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.279.4+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.846.283.0-9.430%-
vs Similar (11)38.836.675.5+2.255%-
vs Weaker (9)44.035.379.3+8.789%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H30/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H03/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H12/01
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
43.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.082.3+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.637.981.6+5.765%-
Last 30 away (13)45.038.283.2+6.877%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.582.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.282.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (10)42.339.681.9+2.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.237.682.7+7.674%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.5
53.4%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.2
38.2%
38.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws13.710.8
78.8%
79.3%10.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.5
48.9%
52.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.610.9
44.3%
38.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.712.7
80.9%
79.3%12.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLWWLLWLW
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLWWWL
#15
League position
#4
-2.2
Net rating
+4.1
110.4
Offensive rating
113.3
112.6
Defensive rating
109.2
54.9%
Effective FG%
55.8%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.2%
3-point %
44.3%
68.4%
Assist %
57.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 113.3Defence112.6 · 109.2Shooting54.9% · 55.8%3-point %38.2% · 44.3%Ball care17.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.6% · 27.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/21AAnadolu Efes76-84
10/01/21HGiessen92-82
07/01/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv73-85
05/01/21HBaskonia95-91
03/01/21HBayern85-72
29/12/20HZalgiris Kaunas71-74
22/12/20AReal Madrid62-91
19/12/20HUlm93-83
17/12/20APanathinaikos69-92
15/12/20ACrvena zvezda90-84 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/21HValencia95-80
08/01/21AReal Madrid80-76
03/01/21HPesaro97-93
30/12/20HCSKA Moscow87-91 OT
27/12/20AVirtus Bologna73-68
23/12/20HBaskonia79-84
20/12/20HSassari102-86
17/12/20AAnadolu Efes72-69
15/12/20AFenerbahce79-71
13/12/20HBrindisi82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeWWLWL40%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%40%33%
Points / game77.478.176.6
Allowed / game83.682.784.6
Point differential-6.2-4.6-8.0
Avg total160.9160.8161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%56%67%
Points / game82.383.980.8
Allowed / game80.279.181.3
Point differential+2.1+4.8-0.6
Avg total162.6163.0162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %17%11%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1915479%85.178.5+6.6
2 Barcelona1913668%81.273.6+7.6
3 Real Madrid1812667%82.377.7+4.6
4 Zenit Petersburg1711665%76.873.4+3.4
5 Bayern1912763%79.776.5+3.2
6 Olimpia Milano1811761%82.380.2+2.1
7 Zalgiris Kaunas1911858%80.577.5+3.1
8 Olympiacos1810856%80.580.6-0.1
9 Anadolu Efes2011955%79.376.8+2.6
10 Valencia1910953%81.381.8-0.5
11 Baskonia1991047%79.278.1+1.1
12 Fenerbahce1991047%74.678.3-3.7
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1981142%79.178.3+0.8
14 Alba Berlin1971237%77.483.6-6.2
15 Panathinaikos1861233%80.183.1-3.0
16 Crvena zvezda1861233%74.778.0-3.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1851328%74.880.8-6.0
18 Khimki M.2021810%78.690.3-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1816221470
Olimpia Milano1329222084
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