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Baskonia vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-84
18-21 32-25 11-21 16-17
Position#10
Record9-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#15
Record7-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2020
Meetings · Baskonia v Alba Berlin
24 Oct 2024
BAS80
ABE57
08 Mar 2024
BAS88
ABE71
28 Mar 2023
BAS93
ABE87
18 Mar 2022
BAS85
ABE68
22 Jan 2021
BAS77
ABE84
05 Nov 2008
BAS106
ABE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A23/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A27/12
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H29/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H02/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A05/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H07/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A10/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A12/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A14/01
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
103-76
103
76
+27
H17/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
22-22
18-16
21-22
29-22
22-22
22-24
19-21
17-30
22-17
16-11
16-12
18-23
24-14
19-16
23-14
19-25
25-20
28-29
19-21
31-19
15-26
33-22
16-26
19-30
21-15
29-16
22-18
18-28
23-23
15-24
20-21
21-26
22-21
17-21
22-23
25-13
27-23
24-19
27-21
170.4Avg total
86.9Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.378.7158.0+0.645%
Season at home (10)78.873.0151.8+5.860%
Season away (10)79.884.4164.2-4.630%
Last 10 (10)86.983.5170.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)89.487.0176.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.092.0175.0-9.00%
vs Similar (12)78.878.5157.2+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.177.1161.2+7.171%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
62-91
62
91
-29
A22/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H29/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
H05/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H10/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A12/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H14/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A17/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
103-63
103
63
+40
H20/01
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
12-26
14-27
18-19
14-12
23-19
11-23
23-20
18-12
21-24
26-17
20-19
25-19
20-25
29-28
21-19
17-24
11-19
21-20
24-22
22-21
23-16
23-24
24-21
18-18
26-18
9-26
23-22
18-13
16-29
22-22
14-20
26-26
25-17
13-13
18-20
21-18
25-18
30-13
27-14
161.1Avg total
80.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.083.6160.6-6.635%
Season at home (11)77.482.8160.2-5.536%
Season away (9)76.684.6161.1-8.033%
Last 10 (10)80.980.2161.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)84.677.8162.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.687.4163.0-11.830%
vs Similar (10)79.279.5158.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (10)88.173.4161.5+14.7100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
BaskoniaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A23/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A27/12
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H29/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H02/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H07/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A10/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A12/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/01
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H17/01
ACB
88.1Avg total
44.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.779.8+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.578.0+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.741.881.5-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.888.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.444.889.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.040.083.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (12)37.441.879.2-4.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.838.179.9+3.753%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A22/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H29/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H07/01
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A12/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H14/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A17/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/01
German Cup
79.2Avg total
39.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.979.0+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.438.679.0+1.765%-
Last 30 away (13)39.839.379.1+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.379.2+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.882.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.645.281.8-8.630%-
vs Similar (10)38.635.474.0+3.260%-
vs Weaker (10)45.136.281.3+8.990%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.9
57.5%
52.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.4
39.5%
38.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.214.7
80.8%
79.3%14.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.7
54.6%
52.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.3
38.1%
38.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws12.710.4
81.9%
79.3%10.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLLWWLWWWW
Alba Berlin
WWLLWLWWLL
#10
League position
#15
+3.8
Net rating
-1.5
117.0
Offensive rating
110.5
113.1
Defensive rating
112.0
58.3%
Effective FG%
55.6%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
39.5%
3-point %
38.1%
67.3%
Assist %
69.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 110.5Defence113.1 · 112.0Shooting58.3% · 55.6%3-point %39.5% · 38.1%Ball care18.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds31.1% · 28.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Baskonia wins
1
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
05/01/21Alba Berlin v Baskonia95-91
18/12/08Alba Berlin v Baskonia68-73
05/11/08Baskonia v Alba Berlin106-65
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21HReal Betis103-76
14/01/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-91
12/01/21AFenerbahce76-96
10/01/21AUnicaja91-79
07/01/21HCSKA Moscow95-93
05/01/21AAlba Berlin91-95
02/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra84-67
29/12/20HValencia71-70
27/12/20ABasket Zaragoza92-89
23/12/20AOlimpia Milano84-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/21HBasketball Braunschweig103-63
17/01/21ABasketball Braunschweig82-76
14/01/21HOlimpia Milano70-84
12/01/21AAnadolu Efes76-84
10/01/21HGiessen92-82
07/01/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv73-85
05/01/21HBaskonia95-91
03/01/21HBayern85-72
29/12/20HZalgiris Kaunas71-74
22/12/20AReal Madrid62-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game79.378.879.8
Allowed / game78.773.084.4
Point differential+0.6+5.8-4.6
Avg total158.0151.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeWLWLL36%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%36%33%
Points / game77.077.476.6
Allowed / game83.682.884.6
Point differential-6.6-5.5-8.0
Avg total160.6160.2161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2115671%81.173.0+8.0
2 CSKA Moscow2115671%84.579.4+5.1
3 Zenit Petersburg1913668%77.373.2+4.1
4 Olimpia Milano2013765%82.078.2+3.8
5 Real Madrid2113862%82.078.1+4.0
6 Zalgiris Kaunas2112957%79.877.5+2.3
7 Bayern2112957%78.276.7+1.5
8 Anadolu Efes21111052%79.377.1+2.1
9 Olympiacos21111052%80.680.7-0.1
10 Valencia21111052%81.581.7-0.1
11 Fenerbahce21111052%76.578.3-1.8
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv21101148%80.078.7+1.2
13 Baskonia2091145%79.378.7+0.6
14 Panathinaikos2071335%80.583.7-3.2
15 Alba Berlin2071335%77.083.6-6.6
16 Crvena zvezda2171433%74.078.3-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2171433%76.180.8-4.6
18 Khimki M.2121910%78.690.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1832111677
Alba Berlin2125211784
← all games of the day
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