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Alba Berlin vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-93
21-23 27-25 25-21 17-24
Position#14
Record5-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#6
Record9-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2021
Meetings · Alba Berlin v CSKA Moscow
17 Dec 2021
ABE90
CMO93
27 Jan 2021
ABE68
CMO71
17 Oct 2014
ABE68
CMO84
04 Jan 2013
ABE57
CMO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#8
W
84-57
84
57
+27
no box
A13/11
German Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
59avg 77
A17/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
67avg 77
A19/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
no box
A21/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
91-86
91
86
+5
90avg 77
H25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
78avg 77
H03/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
82avg 77
H05/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#16
L
67-82
67
82
-15
53avg 77
A10/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 77
H12/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
50avg 77
A14/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-8
17-17
20-18
17-14
14-20
16-22
20-17
16-16
26-13
22-27
12-19
11-26
14-21
17-19
18-11
14-12
21-17
24-18
20-23
26-28
19-15
24-18
24-23
14-20
17-12
16-20
31-14
19-16
25-30
18-13
9-14
15-25
22-16
16-25
18-19
17-20
16-19
10-24
20-17
18-27
150.7Avg total
75.1Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.580.1153.6-6.533%
Season at home (7)75.979.3155.1-3.443%
Season away (8)71.580.8152.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)75.175.6150.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)73.677.4151.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.385.1155.4-14.914%
vs Similar (8)76.475.6152.0+0.850%
vs Weaker (14)81.272.4153.6+8.864%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
L
82-91
82
91
-9
74avg 77
H04/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
64-69
64
69
-5
51avg 77
A07/11
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
74-73
74
73
+1
66avg 77
H11/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 77
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 77
A19/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 77
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
97-77
97
77
+20
98avg 77
H02/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
88-69
88
69
+19
no box
A05/12
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
73-51
73
51
+22
64avg 77
A10/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
67-88
67
88
-21
54avg 77
H15/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
23-24
18-20
20-22
18-13
18-19
14-15
14-22
17-19
22-19
19-21
16-14
13-13
14-25
33-13
13-30
23-8
12-18
19-15
26-33
18-24
14-17
24-16
21-17
31-22
22-16
22-16
22-23
25-18
19-17
22-19
22-15
19-18
11-10
27-11
16-12
21-27
7-19
23-26
16-16
152.2Avg total
77.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.278.7157.9+0.560%
Season at home (8)80.078.5158.5+1.575%
Season away (7)78.379.0157.3-0.743%
Last 10 (10)77.574.7152.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)80.471.8152.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)78.581.4159.9-2.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.768.1151.7+15.687%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
Alba BerlinCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A13/11
German Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A17/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A19/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H05/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#16
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A10/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H12/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A14/12
Euroleague
75.8Avg total
38.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.575.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.137.774.8-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)37.639.376.9-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.475.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.475.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.144.480.6-8.329%-
vs Similar (8)36.237.273.5-1.038%-
vs Weaker (14)39.036.475.4+2.657%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H04/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/11
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A19/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H02/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A05/12
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A10/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H15/12
Euroleague
73.9Avg total
36.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.877.4+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.839.481.1+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.634.674.1+5.075%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.173.9-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.675.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)39.740.980.6-1.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.532.774.2+8.787%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.4
48.7%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.0
36.5%
35.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws12.39.5
77.2%
77.2%9.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.5
50.0%
52.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.7
35.1%
35.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.512.4
80.0%
77.2%12.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLWWWWLLW
CSKA Moscow
LWWWWWLWLL
#14
League position
#6
-5.9
Net rating
+3.6
104.2
Offensive rating
111.0
110.0
Defensive rating
107.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.5%
3-point %
35.1%
65.0%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 111.0Defence110.0 · 107.4Shooting51.3% · 51.2%3-point %36.5% · 35.1%Ball care18.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds30.4% · 36.5%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
5
CSKA Moscow wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/21AReal Madrid64-87
12/12/21HBayern73-80
10/12/21APanathinaikos67-82
05/12/21HChemnitz83-62
03/12/21HOlimpia Milano81-76
25/11/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv91-86
21/11/21AUlm71-66 OT
19/11/21AUnics Kazan71-85
17/11/21AZenit Petersburg66-75
13/11/21ABayreuth84-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/21HUnics Kazan67-88
10/12/21AZalgiris Kaunas73-51
05/12/21ALokomotiv Kuban88-69
02/12/21HPanathinaikos97-77
25/11/21HBayern77-74
19/11/21ABaskonia80-74
17/11/21ABarcelona73-81
11/11/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-73
07/11/21AUnics Kazan64-69
04/11/21HFenerbahce82-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%43%25%
Points / game73.575.971.5
Allowed / game80.179.380.8
Point differential-6.5-3.4-9.2
Avg total153.6155.1152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game79.280.078.3
Allowed / game78.778.579.0
Point differential+0.5+1.5-0.7
Avg total157.9158.5157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1614288%83.674.0+9.6
2 Real Madrid1613381%79.972.2+7.7
3 Olympiacos1510567%80.573.9+6.7
4 Unics Kazan1610662%77.472.8+4.6
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%75.071.9+3.1
6 Zenit Petersburg159660%72.771.5+1.2
7 CSKA Moscow159660%79.278.7+0.5
8 Anadolu Efes168850%83.179.1+4.0
9 Bayern157847%74.075.4-1.4
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne157847%73.977.4-3.5
11 Fenerbahce167944%75.673.8+1.8
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv167944%78.178.8-0.7
13 Monaco156940%81.782.8-1.1
14 Crvena zvezda156940%70.772.3-1.7
15 Alba Berlin1551033%73.580.1-6.5
16 Baskonia1651131%70.278.9-8.7
17 Panathinaikos1641225%73.078.8-5.8
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1631319%70.480.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2127251790
CSKA Moscow2325212493
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