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Alba Berlin vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-76
19-15 24-18 24-23 14-20
Position#14
Record4-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#3
Record8-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game72.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2021
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano
12 Nov 2024
ABE105
MIL101
26 Oct 2023
ABE85
MIL82
10 Jan 2023
ABE83
MIL63
03 Dec 2021
ABE81
MIL76
14 Jan 2021
ABE70
MIL84
06 Jan 2016
ABE83
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H28/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
101-89
101
89
+12
105avg 78
A31/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
79avg 78
A05/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
92-72
92
72
+20
92avg 78
H07/11
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
51avg 78
H11/11
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#8
W
84-57
84
57
+27
no box
A13/11
German Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
59avg 78
A17/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
67avg 78
A19/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
no box
A21/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
91-86
91
86
+5
90avg 78
H25/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
18-18
19-20
14-25
21-18
22-20
28-25
30-26
22-10
19-27
21-15
17-19
25-18
24-21
21-15
22-18
21-20
14-31
12-19
16-20
30-8
17-17
20-18
17-14
14-20
16-22
20-17
16-16
26-13
22-27
12-19
11-26
14-21
17-19
18-11
14-12
21-17
24-18
20-23
26-28
156.0Avg total
78.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.279.7153.9-5.433%
Season at home (6)75.079.8154.8-4.833%
Season away (6)73.579.5153.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)78.777.3156.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)76.673.8150.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.486.6156.0-17.20%
vs Similar (11)78.574.6153.2+3.964%
vs Weaker (13)82.373.7156.0+8.669%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
79-62
79
62
+17
75avg 76
H28/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
79-50
79
50
+29
82avg 76
H31/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#1
W
75-70
75
70
+5
66avg 76
H04/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#16
W
93-86
93
86
+7
no box
A07/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#13
W
68-43
68
43
+25
66avg 76
A12/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H14/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#9
L
71-97
71
97
-26
60avg 76
A17/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A19/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
85-55
85
55
+30
85avg 76
H21/11
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
L
72-93
72
93
-21
61avg 76
H26/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-6
19-21
19-23
17-12
22-15
20-15
18-6
19-14
28-21
14-13
19-15
14-21
24-20
21-25
28-12
20-29
22-3
15-17
25-9
6-14
17-24
32-21
18-18
17-11
17-19
16-25
16-27
22-26
19-19
20-16
21-25
10-14
24-12
19-13
21-17
21-13
25-30
20-30
12-12
15-21
148.0Avg total
77.6Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.472.9148.3+2.567%
Season at home (7)77.373.4150.7+3.986%
Season away (5)72.872.2145.0+0.640%
Last 10 (10)77.670.4148.0+7.270%
Last 5 (5)76.478.6155.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (14)73.675.5149.1-1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.170.5155.6+14.593%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
Alba BerlinOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H28/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A05/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H07/11
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H11/11
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A13/11
German Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A17/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A19/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H25/11
Euroleague
78.9Avg total
40.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.176.2-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.137.875.9+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.038.576.5-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.478.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.476.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.847.083.8-10.220%-
vs Similar (11)36.935.972.8+1.055%-
vs Weaker (13)40.036.676.6+3.462%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H28/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H31/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#1
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H04/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A07/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#13
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A12/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H14/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H21/11
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H26/11
Euroleague
78.3Avg total
41.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.478.1+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.837.080.8+6.871%-
Last 30 away (13)39.135.574.6+3.554%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.578.3+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.883.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (14)40.838.379.1+2.557%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.734.777.4+7.967%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.6
35.5%
35.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.7
77.4%
77.2%12.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.6
51.5%
52.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.8
36.6%
35.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.612.2
83.6%
77.2%12.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWLLWLWWWL
Olimpia Milano
LWLLWWWWWW
#14
League position
#3
-3.8
Net rating
+11.0
107.4
Offensive rating
111.0
111.1
Defensive rating
100.0
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.5%
3-point %
36.6%
64.9%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 111.0Defence111.1 · 100.0Shooting53.3% · 53.0%3-point %35.5% · 36.6%Ball care20.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds32.8% · 30.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv91-86
21/11/21AUlm71-66 OT
19/11/21AUnics Kazan71-85
17/11/21AZenit Petersburg66-75
13/11/21ABayreuth84-57
11/11/21HAnadolu Efes63-90
07/11/21HSyntainics MBC92-72
05/11/21AZalgiris Kaunas79-71
31/10/21ABamberg101-89
28/10/21HBayern69-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/21HOlympiacos72-93
21/11/21HTreviso85-55
19/11/21AZenit Petersburg70-74
17/11/21AUnics Kazan71-97
14/11/21HReggiana84-74
12/11/21AFenerbahce68-43
07/11/21ACremona93-86
04/11/21HBarcelona75-70
31/10/21HSassari79-50
28/10/21HCrvena zvezda79-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game74.275.073.5
Allowed / game79.779.879.5
Point differential-5.4-4.8-6.0
Avg total153.9154.8153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game75.477.372.8
Allowed / game72.973.472.2
Point differential+2.5+3.9+0.6
Avg total148.3150.7145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%43%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1311285%83.373.3+10.0
2 Real Madrid1311285%79.771.2+8.5
3 Olympiacos139469%80.774.4+6.3
4 Olimpia Milano128467%75.472.9+2.5
5 Zenit Petersburg138562%72.371.2+1.1
6 CSKA Moscow138562%80.680.2+0.5
7 Unics Kazan137654%76.874.6+2.2
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv137654%78.476.5+1.9
9 Lyon-Villeurbanne137654%75.576.8-1.4
10 Anadolu Efes136746%83.179.5+3.6
11 Bayern136746%74.475.2-0.8
12 Monaco135838%81.082.5-1.5
13 Crvena zvezda135838%70.071.8-1.8
14 Alba Berlin124833%74.279.7-5.4
15 Fenerbahce134931%73.774.5-0.8
16 Baskonia134931%69.879.5-9.8
17 Panathinaikos1331023%73.179.5-6.5
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1331023%71.180.1-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1924241481
Olimpia Milano1518232076
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