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Panathinaikos vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-67
30-25 13-18 14-9 25-15
Position#16
Record3-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#14
Record5-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2021
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin
21 Mar 2025
PAO91
ABE81
11 Apr 2024
PAO84
ABE75
07 Apr 2023
PAO84
ABE88
10 Dec 2021
PAO82
ABE67
17 Dec 2020
PAO92
ABE69
02 Apr 2015
PAO66
ABE68
15 Mar 2013
PAO82
ABE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
48-81
48
81
-33
34avg 80
A04/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
81-64
81
64
+17
78avg 80
A07/11
Basket League
Unics Kazan
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 80
H11/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
100-75
100
75
+25
no box
H13/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 80
A16/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
75avg 80
A18/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 80
A22/11
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
70-64
70
64
+6
67avg 80
H25/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
77-97
77
97
-20
71avg 80
A02/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#10
W
102-83
102
83
+19
103avg 80
H07/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-21
18-18
10-18
12-24
25-11
17-17
24-22
15-14
15-15
21-20
18-19
18-20
25-18
29-22
25-13
21-22
12-20
25-23
15-17
17-16
22-22
22-15
16-22
18-22
15-14
21-19
12-26
33-17
15-23
18-15
20-10
17-16
22-31
16-22
16-22
23-22
29-16
20-28
24-22
29-17
154.9Avg total
77.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.179.5152.6-6.523%
Season at home (5)79.675.6155.2+4.060%
Season away (8)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.877.1154.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)81.680.2161.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.578.8155.3-2.340%
vs Similar ◀ (4)66.580.5147.0-14.00%
vs Weaker (16)87.074.6161.6+12.481%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
79avg 78
A05/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
92-72
92
72
+20
92avg 78
H07/11
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
51avg 78
H11/11
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#8
W
84-57
84
57
+27
no box
A13/11
German Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
59avg 78
A17/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
67avg 78
A19/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
no box
A21/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
91-86
91
86
+5
90avg 78
H25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
78avg 78
H03/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
82avg 78
H05/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
19-27
21-15
17-19
25-18
24-21
21-15
22-18
21-20
14-31
12-19
16-20
30-8
17-17
20-18
17-14
14-20
16-22
20-17
16-16
26-13
22-27
12-19
11-26
14-21
17-19
18-11
14-12
21-17
24-18
20-23
26-28
19-15
24-18
24-23
14-20
17-12
16-20
31-14
19-16
152.1Avg total
78.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.879.4154.2-4.638%
Season at home (7)75.979.3155.1-3.443%
Season away (6)73.579.5153.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)78.174.0152.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)79.475.0154.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.384.8156.2-13.517%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.974.4152.3+3.467%
vs Weaker (14)82.472.9155.2+9.571%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
PanathinaikosAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A04/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A07/11
Basket League
Unics Kazan
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H13/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A16/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A18/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A22/11
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H25/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A02/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/12
Basket League
78.5Avg total
39.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.177.7+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.836.681.4+8.279%-
Last 30 away (16)36.837.674.4-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.078.5+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.081.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.539.075.5-2.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.041.275.2-7.20%-
vs Weaker (16)44.734.979.6+9.881%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A05/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H07/11
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H11/11
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A13/11
German Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A17/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A19/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H05/12
BBL
77.6Avg total
40.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.175.8-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.775.2-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.038.576.5-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.477.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.076.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.844.782.5-6.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.836.472.2-0.744%-
vs Weaker (14)39.536.375.8+3.264%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.8
55.5%
52.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.8
32.2%
35.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.313.6
78.6%
77.2%13.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.3
54.1%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.5
39.1%
35.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.812.4
83.8%
77.2%12.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWWLLWLWL
Alba Berlin
WWWWLLWLWW
#16
League position
#14
+0.4
Net rating
+2.4
110.1
Offensive rating
112.3
109.6
Defensive rating
109.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
55.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
20.4%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.2%
3-point %
39.1%
60.5%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 112.3Defence109.6 · 109.9Shooting52.6% · 55.9%3-point %32.2% · 39.1%Ball care16.7% · 20.4%Off. rebounds29.8% · 32.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Panathinaikos wins
2
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/21HLavrio102-83
02/12/21ACSKA Moscow77-97
25/11/21HZenit Petersburg70-64
22/11/21AOlympiacos81-76
18/11/21ABayern78-81
16/11/21AZalgiris Kaunas69-76
13/11/21HAEK Athens100-75
11/11/21HUnics Kazan72-74
07/11/21APAOK81-64
04/11/21ACrvena zvezda48-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/21HChemnitz83-62
03/12/21HOlimpia Milano81-76
25/11/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv91-86
21/11/21AUlm71-66 OT
19/11/21AUnics Kazan71-85
17/11/21AZenit Petersburg66-75
13/11/21ABayreuth84-57
11/11/21HAnadolu Efes63-90
07/11/21HSyntainics MBC92-72
05/11/21AZalgiris Kaunas79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %23%60%0%
Points / game73.179.669.0
Allowed / game79.575.682.0
Point differential-6.5+4.0-13.0
Avg total152.6155.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game74.875.973.5
Allowed / game79.479.379.5
Point differential-4.6-3.4-6.0
Avg total154.2155.1153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1311285%83.373.3+10.0
2 Real Madrid1311285%79.771.2+8.5
3 Olympiacos149564%80.474.9+5.5
4 CSKA Moscow149564%80.178.1+2.0
5 Olimpia Milano138562%75.573.5+1.9
6 Unics Kazan148657%77.474.6+2.9
7 Zenit Petersburg148657%72.972.3+0.6
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv147750%78.177.1+1.0
9 Bayern147750%75.074.9+0.1
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne147750%74.877.9-3.1
11 Anadolu Efes146843%82.279.7+2.5
12 Crvena zvezda146843%70.872.1-1.3
13 Monaco135838%81.082.5-1.5
14 Alba Berlin135838%74.879.4-4.6
15 Fenerbahce145936%74.674.9-0.3
16 Baskonia145936%71.378.6-7.3
17 Panathinaikos1331023%73.179.5-6.5
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1431121%69.679.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos3013142582
Alba Berlin251891567
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