PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 87-64
19-16 24-10 17-20 27-18
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#14
Record5-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game79.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2021
Meetings · Real Madrid v Alba Berlin
21 Nov 2024
MAD98
ABE84
23 Nov 2023
MAD99
ABE75
17 Nov 2022
MAD90
ABE72
14 Dec 2021
MAD87
ABE64
22 Dec 2020
MAD91
ABE62
12 Mar 2015
MAD93
ABE62
22 Feb 2013
MAD77
ABE72
12 Mar 2009
MAD83
ABE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
95-82
95
82
+13
92avg 76
H12/11
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
88-85
88
85
+3
85avg 76
A14/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
87-74
87
74
+13
89avg 76
A16/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
74avg 76
H18/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#13
W
71-48
71
48
+23
68avg 76
H21/11
ACB
Baskonia
#15
W
88-60
88
60
+28
88avg 76
A25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
72-70
72
70
+2
60avg 76
H02/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
86-65
86
65
+21
86avg 76
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
63avg 76
A10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 76
H12/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
31-34
24-25
20-12
34-20
13-29
17-20
24-16
33-24
18-19
16-11
20-20
16-13
16-19
25-14
22-21
18-6
14-15
25-13
14-14
25-14
28-20
18-13
17-13
20-18
17-20
13-21
22-11
20-15
15-21
24-13
27-16
19-24
23-27
16-16
22-26
16-19
15-18
31-16
17-21
154.3Avg total
82.5Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.772.7152.4+7.079%
Season at home (7)82.972.6155.4+10.3100%
Season away (7)76.672.9149.4+3.757%
Last 10 (10)82.571.8154.3+10.790%
Last 5 (5)81.072.4153.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.092.0165.0-19.00%
vs Similar (5)82.481.0163.4+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.768.9149.6+11.891%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
51avg 77
H11/11
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#8
W
84-57
84
57
+27
no box
A13/11
German Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
59avg 77
A17/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
67avg 77
A19/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
no box
A21/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
91-86
91
86
+5
90avg 77
H25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
78avg 77
H03/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
82avg 77
H05/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#16
L
67-82
67
82
-15
53avg 77
A10/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 77
H12/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
14-31
12-19
16-20
30-8
17-17
20-18
17-14
14-20
16-22
20-17
16-16
26-13
22-27
12-19
11-26
14-21
17-19
18-11
14-12
21-17
24-18
20-23
26-28
19-15
24-18
24-23
14-20
17-12
16-20
31-14
19-16
25-30
18-13
9-14
15-25
22-16
16-25
18-19
17-20
150.9Avg total
75.0Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.279.6153.8-5.436%
Season at home (7)75.979.3155.1-3.443%
Season away (7)72.679.9152.4-7.329%
Last 10 (10)75.075.9150.9-0.950%
Last 5 (5)79.077.2156.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.384.8156.2-13.517%
vs Similar (8)76.475.6152.0+0.850%
vs Weaker (15)81.773.3155.1+8.467%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
Real MadridAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H12/11
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A14/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A16/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H18/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#13
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H21/11
ACB
Baskonia
#15
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H02/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/12
ACB
79.7Avg total
41.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.576.6+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.134.474.5+5.864%-
Last 30 away (16)40.038.478.4+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.679.7+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.048.078.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (5)43.841.285.0+2.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.135.075.0+5.161%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H11/11
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A13/11
German Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A17/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A19/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H05/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#16
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A10/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H12/12
BBL
77.5Avg total
39.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.476.4-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.637.975.4-0.350%-
Last 30 away (14)38.439.177.5-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.277.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.877.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.844.782.5-6.833%-
vs Similar (8)36.237.273.5-1.038%-
vs Weaker (15)39.436.676.0+2.860%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.3
52.3%
52.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.0
37.7%
35.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.911.1
69.8%
77.2%11.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.6
51.8%
52.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.8
36.8%
35.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws12.59.9
79.2%
77.2%9.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
Alba Berlin
LLWWWWLLWL
#2
League position
#14
+15.0
Net rating
-0.6
112.8
Offensive rating
107.9
97.7
Defensive rating
108.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.3%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.7%
3-point %
36.8%
59.1%
Assist %
64.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 107.9Defence97.7 · 108.5Shooting54.1% · 53.3%3-point %37.7% · 36.8%Ball care16.9% · 19.3%Off. rebounds33.3% · 32.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21HUnicaja79-74
10/12/21ABarcelona80-93
04/12/21ABasket Zaragoza86-65
02/12/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv72-70
25/11/21ABaskonia88-60
21/11/21HReal Betis71-48
18/11/21HCrvena zvezda79-67
16/11/21ALyon-Villeurbanne87-74
14/11/21AFuenlabrada88-85
12/11/21HZalgiris Kaunas95-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21HBayern73-80
10/12/21APanathinaikos67-82
05/12/21HChemnitz83-62
03/12/21HOlimpia Milano81-76
25/11/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv91-86
21/11/21AUlm71-66 OT
19/11/21AUnics Kazan71-85
17/11/21AZenit Petersburg66-75
13/11/21ABayreuth84-57
11/11/21HAnadolu Efes63-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%100%57%
Points / game79.782.976.6
Allowed / game72.772.672.9
Point differential+7.0+10.3+3.7
Avg total152.4155.4149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game74.275.972.6
Allowed / game79.679.379.9
Point differential-5.4-3.4-7.3
Avg total153.8155.1152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1513287%83.573.5+10.0
2 Real Madrid1411379%79.772.7+7.0
3 Olimpia Milano1510567%75.171.7+3.5
4 Olympiacos149564%80.474.9+5.5
5 CSKA Moscow149564%80.178.1+2.0
6 Unics Kazan148657%77.474.6+2.9
7 Zenit Petersburg148657%72.972.3+0.6
8 Bayern147750%75.074.9+0.1
9 Lyon-Villeurbanne147750%74.877.9-3.1
10 Anadolu Efes157847%82.579.2+3.3
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv157847%78.177.9+0.2
12 Fenerbahce156940%75.675.1+0.5
13 Crvena zvezda156940%70.772.3-1.7
14 Monaco145936%79.981.7-1.9
15 Alba Berlin145936%74.279.6-5.4
16 Baskonia1551033%71.379.1-7.8
17 Panathinaikos1541127%72.478.4-6.0
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1431121%69.679.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1924172787
Alba Berlin1610201864
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.