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Alba Berlin vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-90
26-13 27-29 17-22 16-26
Position#15
Record11-21
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#8
Record17-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33
European cup2020
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Valencia
01 Feb 2024
ABE66
VAL81
26 Jan 2023
ABE88
VAL94
02 Apr 2021
ABE86
VAL90
12 Apr 2019
ABE95
VAL92
08 Feb 2017
ABE73
VAL99
25 Mar 2014
ABE78
VAL73
18 Apr 2010
ABE44
VAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H09/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A11/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H14/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
96-82
96
82
+14
A16/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H18/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
94-60
94
60
+34
A21/03
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A23/03
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A26/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H28/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
A30/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
13-22
17-18
32-25
23-30
20-22
27-21
25-16
20-15
20-15
25-13
24-15
15-18
39-20
21-13
21-31
18-16
24-21
20-25
18-22
25-10
20-25
21-21
28-4
27-30
23-19
14-21
11-20
23-22
17-23
18-17
9-18
32-18
13-20
30-21
18-23
23-21
28-20
10-27
25-28
166.6Avg total
85.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.383.2161.6-4.934%
Season at home (15)75.780.2155.9-4.533%
Season away (17)80.685.9166.6-5.335%
Last 10 (10)85.681.0166.6+4.650%
Last 5 (5)83.081.6164.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.081.7155.7-7.714%
vs Similar (7)83.484.0167.4-0.643%
vs Weaker (16)89.673.1162.8+16.588%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A02/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A04/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
112-82
112
82
+30
H07/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H12/03
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A14/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H21/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H31/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
17-28
18-22
25-31
18-14
17-19
21-29
16-22
25-21
29-32
29-15
29-14
18-10
19-18
8-11
21-13
8-20
22-16
14-18
16-24
27-17
17-21
14-11
19-19
14-17
15-24
18-17
17-22
26-19
20-14
12-30
25-13
20-20
24-19
20-22
22-29
19-23
12-21
10-30
38-14
157.9Avg total
78.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.581.1162.6+0.453%
Season at home (16)82.179.1161.2+2.969%
Season away (16)80.983.1163.9-2.238%
Last 10 (10)78.279.7157.9-1.540%
Last 5 (5)77.880.4158.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.092.8173.8-11.825%
vs Similar (12)80.076.2156.2+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.580.2167.8+7.369%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
Alba BerlinValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H09/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A11/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H14/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A16/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H18/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A21/03
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A23/03
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A30/03
Euroleague
85.3Avg total
44.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.982.7+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.036.976.9+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)45.242.687.8+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.185.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.687.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.741.080.7-1.343%-
vs Similar (7)39.443.082.4-3.629%-
vs Weaker (16)45.638.183.7+7.488%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A02/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H07/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H12/03
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A14/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H21/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H31/03
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
39.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.880.9+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.539.884.2+4.777%-
Last 30 away (17)38.539.878.3-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.178.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.077.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.242.079.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (12)40.738.278.9+2.475%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.239.883.0+3.362%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.9
57.5%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.2
38.1%
38.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.713.2
84.1%
79.3%13.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.5
52.7%
52.7%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.3
39.9%
38.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.811.3
76.4%
79.3%11.3
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLLWLWWWL
Valencia
LLWLWLWWLL
#15
League position
#8
+4.6
Net rating
-2.1
111.7
Offensive rating
108.8
107.1
Defensive rating
110.9
57.3%
Effective FG%
55.8%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
19.0%
Turnover %
20.4%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.1%
3-point %
39.9%
57.6%
Assist %
72.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 108.8Defence107.1 · 110.9Shooting57.3% · 55.8%3-point %38.1% · 39.9%Ball care19.0% · 20.4%Off. rebounds27.6% · 28.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
03/12/20Valencia v Alba Berlin92-100
15/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-63
12/04/19Alba Berlin v Valencia95-92 OT
09/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-75
08/02/17Alba Berlin v Valencia73-99
11/01/17Valencia v Alba Berlin85-80
25/03/14Alba Berlin v Valencia78-73
19/03/14Valencia v Alba Berlin86-54
18/04/10Alba Berlin v Valencia44-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas86-96
28/03/21HSyntainics MBC93-82
26/03/21ABarcelona67-80
23/03/21AHamburg75-90
21/03/21AFrankfurt94-60
18/03/21HOlympiacos80-84
16/03/21ASyntainics MBC96-82
14/03/21HGottingen89-58
11/03/21ALyon-Villeurbanne95-89
09/03/21HOldenburg81-89
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/21HOlympiacos79-88
28/03/21ATenerife86-90
25/03/21HBayern83-76
21/03/21HBarcelona64-80
19/03/21AKhimki M.77-68
14/03/21AGipuzkoa60-78
12/03/21HFenerbahce66-52
07/03/21HManresa112-82
04/03/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv72-84
02/03/21AAnadolu Efes83-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL34%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLWWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %34%33%35%
Points / game78.375.780.6
Allowed / game83.280.285.9
Point differential-4.9-4.5-5.3
Avg total161.6155.9166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%13%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%69%38%
Points / game81.582.180.9
Allowed / game81.179.183.1
Point differential+0.4+2.9-2.2
Avg total162.6161.2163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3223972%80.973.3+7.5
2 CSKA Moscow31211068%83.580.1+3.4
3 Anadolu Efes33221167%84.376.2+8.1
4 Fenerbahce32201262%79.078.5+0.5
5 Olimpia Milano33201361%80.978.0+2.8
6 Bayern33201361%78.177.4+0.7
7 Real Madrid32181456%79.978.3+1.6
8 Zenit Petersburg31171455%76.975.5+1.4
9 Baskonia33181555%80.977.3+3.6
10 Valencia32171553%81.581.1+0.4
11 Zalgiris Kaunas33161748%76.977.8-0.9
12 Olympiacos32151747%79.080.2-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv31131842%78.679.7-1.2
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne31121939%77.780.6-2.9
15 Panathinaikos31112035%79.582.2-2.7
16 Alba Berlin32112134%78.383.2-4.9
17 Crvena zvezda33102330%74.679.6-5.0
18 Khimki M.3142713%78.290.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2627171686
Valencia1329222690
← all games of the day
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