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Alba Berlin vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-94
25-24 22-26 21-17 20-27
Position#17
Record6-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#13
Record10-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2022
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Valencia
01 Feb 2024
ABE66
VAL81
26 Jan 2023
ABE88
VAL94
02 Apr 2021
ABE86
VAL90
12 Apr 2019
ABE95
VAL92
08 Feb 2017
ABE73
VAL99
25 Mar 2014
ABE78
VAL73
18 Apr 2010
ABE44
VAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
86-60
86
60
+26
92avg 83
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 83
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
106avg 83
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
85-84
85
84
+1
88avg 83
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
75avg 83
A08/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-63
83
63
+20
77avg 83
H10/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 83
H12/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 83
H15/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
66avg 83
A19/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 83
A23/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
21-14
26-20
23-11
15-27
32-22
26-16
18-14
28-17
18-19
27-24
26-14
27-20
27-28
23-19
8-17
23-27
21-17
20-17
16-18
20-12
25-21
15-18
23-12
12-25
23-21
24-20
18-18
20-23
28-21
14-19
19-13
10-25
18-13
22-25
24-24
19-21
22-24
20-14
18-17
159.7Avg total
83.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.883.4164.2-2.630%
Season at home (10)83.182.2165.3+0.940%
Season away (10)78.684.6163.2-6.020%
Last 10 (10)83.576.2159.7+7.380%
Last 5 (5)78.877.2156.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.186.5164.6-8.518%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.681.0161.6-0.438%
vs Weaker (11)94.178.5172.6+15.591%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
89-95
89
95
-6
87avg 77
A27/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
79-90
79
90
-11
71avg 77
A29/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 77
H03/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 77
H06/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
74avg 77
A08/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 77
H11/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 77
A13/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 77
H15/01
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 77
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
88-76
88
76
+12
80avg 77
H22/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
26-24
18-25
20-24
22-29
21-21
17-21
19-19
18-13
22-23
26-17
26-33
19-24
23-23
16-14
17-16
15-15
23-25
23-18
18-27
16-13
15-17
21-26
29-15
22-16
30-21
10-23
21-19
23-15
19-36
31-23
30-18
27-18
20-19
22-21
20-23
23-14
19-17
32-18
14-27
169.0Avg total
85.8Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.483.2164.7-1.850%
Season at home (11)81.479.8161.2+1.555%
Season away (9)81.487.4168.9-6.044%
Last 10 (10)85.883.2169.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)88.879.8168.6+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.383.8163.1-4.543%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.485.7170.1-1.250%
vs Weaker (4)102.282.0184.2+20.2100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
Alba BerlinValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A08/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H10/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H15/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A19/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
BBL
83.7Avg total
42.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.384.4-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.141.483.6+0.771%-
Last 30 away (16)42.143.185.2-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.283.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.280.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.845.586.3-4.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.941.282.1-0.438%-
vs Weaker (11)44.439.984.3+4.573%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A27/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H06/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A08/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H11/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A13/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H15/01
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H22/01
ACB
83.3Avg total
42.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.781.1-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.381.3+0.867%-
Last 30 away (15)39.741.180.8-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.583.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.280.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.440.576.9-4.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.041.285.2+2.867%-
vs Weaker (4)43.539.883.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.8
57.7%
53.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.5
35.7%
36.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.213.8
80.2%
78.5%13.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.617.6
59.5%
53.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.8
37.8%
36.2%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.814.8
83.1%
78.5%14.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWLWWWWWW
Valencia
WWWWWLLWLL
#17
League position
#13
+10.9
Net rating
+4.6
114.2
Offensive rating
115.4
103.3
Defensive rating
110.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
58.1%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
20.1%
Turnover %
20.6%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.7%
3-point %
37.8%
73.7%
Assist %
61.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 115.4Defence103.3 · 110.8Shooting55.7% · 58.1%3-point %35.7% · 37.8%Ball care20.1% · 20.6%Off. rebounds35.3% · 31.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
7
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
27/10/22Valencia v Alba Berlin87-73
02/04/21Alba Berlin v Valencia86-90
03/12/20Valencia v Alba Berlin92-100
15/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-63
12/04/19Alba Berlin v Valencia95-92 OT
09/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-75
08/02/17Alba Berlin v Valencia73-99
11/01/17Valencia v Alba Berlin85-80
25/03/14Alba Berlin v Valencia78-73
19/03/14Valencia v Alba Berlin86-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/23AWurzburg79-76
19/01/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-87
15/01/23HBonn81-76
12/01/23HReal Madrid77-84
10/01/23HOlimpia Milano83-63
08/01/23ABayern80-79
05/01/23HBaskonia85-84
03/01/23HFrankfurt99-74
30/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne91-79
27/12/22HSyntainics MBC86-60
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23HBasket Zaragoza88-76
19/01/23HPartizan89-81
15/01/23HManresa103-92
13/01/23ALyon-Villeurbanne83-79
11/01/23HAnadolu Efes81-71
08/01/23ABaskonia79-85
06/01/23HCrvena zvezda75-77
03/01/23HFuenlabrada92-86
29/12/22AOlimpia Milano79-90
27/12/22AGran Canaria89-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL30%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game80.883.178.6
Allowed / game83.482.284.6
Point differential-2.5+0.9-6.0
Avg total164.2165.3163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLWW55%
AwayWLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%55%44%
Points / game81.481.481.4
Allowed / game83.279.887.4
Point differential-1.9+1.5-6.0
Avg total164.7161.2168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %10%9%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2114767%83.677.3+6.3
2 Olympiacos2013765%84.576.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce2013765%83.979.4+4.5
4 Barcelona2113862%80.678.0+2.6
5 Zalgiris Kaunas2012860%76.776.2+0.5
6 Monaco2012860%81.482.2-0.8
7 Baskonia2011955%84.181.6+2.5
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv2011955%81.681.5+0.1
9 Anadolu Efes20101050%81.578.1+3.5
10 Valencia20101050%81.483.2-1.9
11 Crvena zvezda20101050%75.477.5-2.1
12 Partizan2091145%84.084.4-0.3
13 Virtus Bologna2091145%77.380.4-3.0
14 Bayern2081240%76.478.4-2.0
15 Panathinaikos2071335%78.583.2-4.7
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2071335%74.679.6-5.0
17 Alba Berlin2061430%80.883.4-2.5
18 Olimpia Milano2061430%69.876.2-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2522212088
Valencia2426172794
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