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Alba Berlin vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-74
24-24 20-6 15-20 23-24
Position#14
Record9-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game79.6
Alba Berlin 🏆
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Position#18
Record6-19
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game78.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2021
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas
17 Dec 2024
ABE66
ZAL86
05 Dec 2023
ABE64
ZAL62
07 Mar 2023
ABE63
ZAL66
03 Mar 2022
ABE82
ZAL74
29 Dec 2020
ABE71
ZAL74
04 Mar 2015
ABE80
ZAL72
29 Mar 2013
ABE77
ZAL55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
A30/01
BBL
Unics Kazan
#9
W
81-53
81
53
+28
86avg 78
H02/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
72-91
72
91
-19
65avg 78
A04/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#2
W
89-77
89
77
+12
87avg 78
A06/02
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 78
H10/02
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
109avg 78
H13/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
72-56
72
56
+16
70avg 78
A15/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#4
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
H19/02
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
A20/02
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
81avg 78
A24/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-23
12-15
32-15
16-11
20-15
20-9
25-18
15-22
22-28
19-19
16-22
22-24
29-19
19-17
19-17
23-12
11-22
17-14
25-19
25-17
22-22
34-17
25-18
24-16
18-15
16-23
14-2
23-31
18-8
28-19
22-23
15-22
24-21
25-15
22-18
21-21
22-19
17-15
22-25
156.2Avg total
83.7Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.279.6154.8-4.436%
Season at home (12)78.778.4157.1+0.250%
Season away (13)72.080.8152.8-8.823%
Last 10 (10)83.772.5156.2+11.290%
Last 5 (5)87.473.4160.8+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.680.4157.0-3.736%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.879.4154.2-4.640%
vs Weaker (14)86.072.8158.8+13.286%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
70avg 81
H01/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
67-76
67
76
-9
65avg 81
H04/02
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
99-70
99
70
+29
106avg 81
H06/02
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
70-74
70
74
-4
66avg 81
H08/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#8
W
83-82
83
82
+1
84avg 81
A10/02
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
102-83
102
83
+19
104avg 81
A16/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
no box
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
91-66
91
66
+25
no box
H20/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
68-47
68
47
+21
58avg 81
H24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
96-83
96
83
+13
92avg 81
A01/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
28-26
13-17
18-30
26-24
13-21
15-18
13-13
33-16
23-21
15-22
28-11
18-17
17-18
16-18
19-21
18-23
18-23
25-18
22-18
25-17
26-23
27-23
24-20
27-17
18-21
16-11
19-19
22-12
24-15
22-16
23-23
18-11
20-18
11-8
19-10
29-10
23-24
24-27
20-22
157.7Avg total
83.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.178.2149.3-7.124%
Season at home (12)72.875.6148.4-2.833%
Season away (13)69.580.6150.2-11.115%
Last 10 (10)83.474.3157.7+9.170%
Last 5 (5)87.469.4156.8+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.576.5145.9-7.023%
vs Similar ◀ (3)84.073.7157.7+10.3100%
vs Weaker (14)85.471.6157.0+13.7100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
Alba BerlinZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A30/01
BBL
Unics Kazan
#9
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H02/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#2
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A06/02
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H10/02
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A15/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/02
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A20/02
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A24/02
Euroleague
79.3Avg total
40.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.479.4+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.137.078.1+4.162%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.280.4-2.135%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.579.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.480.8+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.039.377.3-1.345%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.838.277.0+0.640%-
vs Weaker (14)42.039.981.9+2.150%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H01/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H04/02
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H06/02
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A10/02
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A16/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H20/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A01/03
Euroleague
82.3Avg total
44.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.475.8+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.736.175.9+3.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.136.675.8+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)44.537.882.3+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.433.680.0+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.237.572.8-2.323%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.032.375.3+10.7100%-
vs Weaker (14)42.536.278.7+6.379%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.4
50.4%
52.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.5
40.6%
35.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.912.9
72.1%
77.2%12.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.0
55.7%
52.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.1
37.4%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws13.912.0
86.3%
77.2%12.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWWLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWLWLL
#14
League position
#18
+9.8
Net rating
+9.6
108.4
Offensive rating
113.9
98.5
Defensive rating
104.3
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
21.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
40.6%
3-point %
37.4%
69.2%
Assist %
64.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 113.9Defence98.5 · 104.3Shooting54.5% · 55.9%3-point %40.6% · 37.4%Ball care21.3% · 18.7%Off. rebounds34.5% · 34.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
05/11/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin71-79
30/03/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin96-86
29/12/20Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas71-74
04/03/15Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas80-72
09/01/15Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin75-62
29/03/13Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas77-55
31/01/13Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin92-56
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22ALyon-Villeurbanne82-80
20/02/22ACrailsheim Merlins86-76
19/02/22HChemnitz91-81
15/02/22AFrankfurt72-56
13/02/22HCrailsheim Merlins106-74
10/02/22HZenit Petersburg76-67
06/02/22ABonn89-77
04/02/22ACSKA Moscow72-91
02/02/22HUnics Kazan81-53
30/01/22As.Oliver Wurzburg82-70
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/22APanathinaikos96-83
24/02/22HReal Madrid68-47
20/02/22HLietkabelis91-66
19/02/22HSiauliai80-68
16/02/22APieno Zvaigzdes102-83
10/02/22AMonaco83-82
08/02/22HOlimpia Milano70-74
06/02/22HPieno Zvaigzdes99-70
04/02/22HUnics Kazan67-76
01/02/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv78-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW36%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%50%23%
Points / game75.278.772.0
Allowed / game79.678.480.8
Point differential-4.4+0.2-8.8
Avg total154.8157.1152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW24%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLWW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %24%33%15%
Points / game71.172.869.5
Allowed / game78.275.680.6
Point differential-7.1-2.8-11.1
Avg total149.3148.4150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2520580%82.875.0+7.8
2 Real Madrid2620677%78.072.0+6.0
3 Olimpia Milano2517868%73.470.3+3.1
4 Olympiacos2415962%79.073.4+5.6
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%74.073.5+0.6
6 CSKA Moscow24141058%80.879.0+1.8
7 Anadolu Efes26141254%83.279.8+3.3
8 Unics Kazan25131252%76.775.5+1.2
9 Monaco27141352%83.482.0+1.4
10 Bayern24121250%74.073.5+0.4
11 Fenerbahce25121348%76.273.9+2.3
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv25121348%78.879.5-0.8
13 Crvena zvezda26111542%73.074.2-1.3
14 Alba Berlin2591636%75.279.6-4.4
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne2691735%73.279.7-6.5
16 Panathinaikos2571828%73.879.9-6.1
17 Baskonia2671927%73.580.5-7.0
18 Zalgiris Kaunas2561924%71.178.2-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2420152382
Zalgiris Kaunas246202474
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