PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 63-66
14-15 13-18 18-11 18-22
Position#17
Record7-19
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game85.3
Alba Berlin
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#9
Record13-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2022
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas
17 Dec 2024
ABE66
ZAL86
05 Dec 2023
ABE64
ZAL62
07 Mar 2023
ABE63
ZAL66
03 Mar 2022
ABE82
ZAL74
29 Dec 2020
ABE71
ZAL74
04 Mar 2015
ABE80
ZAL72
29 Mar 2013
ABE77
ZAL55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
84-102
84
102
-18
81avg 83
H01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
86-101
86
101
-15
84avg 83
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
101avg 83
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
45avg 83
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
95avg 83
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 83
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 83
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
67avg 83
H04/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
12-29
18-22
30-29
27-31
20-26
14-24
25-20
18-14
22-20
26-22
28-30
13-28
22-17
10-28
15-20
32-22
21-20
21-21
15-18
16-16
27-24
23-19
25-26
17-21
21-19
13-20
26-23
15-25
24-19
21-17
27-11
19-20
25-22
9-35
21-11
17-16
26-27
7-13
21-20
168.0Avg total
81.3Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.685.3165.9-4.727%
Season at home (13)81.885.5167.2-3.731%
Season away (13)79.585.2164.6-5.723%
Last 10 (10)81.386.7168.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)80.080.8160.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.789.8167.4-12.117%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.378.3160.6+4.057%
vs Weaker (11)93.978.7172.6+15.2100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 76
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
73avg 76
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
H10/02
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 76
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
78-67
78
67
+11
70avg 76
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 76
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
70avg 76
A02/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
97-69
97
69
+28
100avg 76
A04/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
15-21
24-14
20-27
17-23
16-16
19-19
23-22
20-18
18-24
23-18
18-15
23-19
15-17
19-21
29-23
14-14
19-22
22-11
23-20
17-17
21-12
17-16
22-22
26-17
14-16
15-23
26-21
24-22
14-31
14-23
17-20
17-19
19-27
18-31
20-16
26-15
21-23
29-11
21-20
158.2Avg total
79.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.578.6154.2-3.150%
Season at home (12)74.473.4147.8+1.075%
Season away (14)76.583.1159.6-6.629%
Last 10 (10)79.079.2158.2-0.260%
Last 5 (5)79.680.4160.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.484.8160.2-9.440%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.874.5148.4-0.755%
vs Weaker (14)84.872.1156.9+12.786%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
Alba BerlinZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/03
BBL
85.6Avg total
41.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.286.2-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.343.186.4+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.386.1-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.885.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.946.487.3-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.043.385.3-1.314%-
vs Weaker (11)45.939.785.6+6.282%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/02
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A04/03
LKL
77.0Avg total
37.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.974.3+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.234.972.1+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)39.436.675.9+2.871%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.977.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.879.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.844.680.4-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.833.071.8+5.882%-
vs Weaker (14)39.035.074.0+4.071%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.821.2
60.9%
53.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
36.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.914.0
74.1%
78.5%14.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.3
55.3%
53.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.5
35.5%
36.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.013.5
79.4%
78.5%13.5
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWLWWLWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLWWWWWLL
#17
League position
#9
-3.3
Net rating
-5.2
110.7
Offensive rating
111.3
114.0
Defensive rating
116.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
21.6%
Turnover %
20.7%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.0%
3-point %
35.5%
69.3%
Assist %
58.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 111.3Defence114.0 · 116.5Shooting56.7% · 54.6%3-point %34.0% · 35.5%Ball care21.6% · 20.7%Off. rebounds33.2% · 35.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
04/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin88-81
03/03/22Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas82-74
05/11/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin71-79
30/03/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin96-86
29/12/20Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas71-74
04/03/15Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas80-72
09/01/15Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin75-62
29/03/13Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas77-55
31/01/13Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin92-56
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HBayern71-76
02/03/23APartizan74-88
24/02/23ACrvena zvezda87-72
18/02/23ABayern77-83
14/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins91-85
11/02/23HOldenburg89-81
08/02/23HOlympiacos60-93
05/02/23AHeidelberg94-86
03/02/23AFenerbahce86-101
01/02/23HMonaco84-102
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23ANevezis97-69
02/03/23ABarcelona74-93
23/02/23AReal Madrid69-96
19/02/23AJonava81-77
18/02/23ALietkabelis77-67
15/02/23AJuventus78-67
12/02/23HPrienai86-80
10/02/23HBaskonia79-75
06/02/23ABC Wolves75-80
03/02/23HPartizan74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayWLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%31%23%
Points / game80.681.879.5
Allowed / game85.385.585.2
Point differential-4.7-3.7-5.7
Avg total165.9167.2164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %50%75%29%
Points / game75.574.476.5
Allowed / game78.673.483.1
Point differential-3.1+1.0-6.6
Avg total154.2147.8159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2518772%84.276.9+7.3
2 Olympiacos2618869%84.776.1+8.6
3 Barcelona2618869%81.377.2+4.1
4 Fenerbahce2516964%85.281.0+4.2
5 Monaco26161062%83.382.1+1.2
6 Baskonia26141254%86.483.2+3.2
7 Partizan26141254%84.882.8+2.0
8 Anadolu Efes25131252%82.879.7+3.0
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv26131350%82.283.0-0.9
10 Valencia26131350%82.785.3-2.6
11 Zalgiris Kaunas26131350%75.578.6-3.1
12 Virtus Bologna26121446%78.081.3-3.3
13 Crvena zvezda26111542%75.778.8-3.1
14 Olimpia Milano25101540%72.376.6-4.2
15 Bayern26101638%77.079.2-2.2
16 Panathinaikos2681831%79.583.3-3.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2681831%75.180.4-5.3
18 Alba Berlin2671927%80.685.3-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1413181863
Zalgiris Kaunas1518112266
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.