PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-62
13-20 12-8 14-17 25-17
Position#18
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#13
Record5-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas
17 Dec 2024
ABE66
ZAL86
05 Dec 2023
ABE64
ZAL62
07 Mar 2023
ABE63
ZAL66
03 Mar 2022
ABE82
ZAL74
29 Dec 2020
ABE71
ZAL74
04 Mar 2015
ABE80
ZAL72
29 Mar 2013
ABE77
ZAL55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 81
A02/11
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
97-81
97
81
+16
98avg 81
A06/11
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 81
H10/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
92avg 81
H12/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
68-73
68
73
-5
57avg 81
H15/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
74-89
74
89
-15
68avg 81
A17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
75-108
75
108
-33
66avg 81
H19/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-99
75
99
-24
60avg 81
A23/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 81
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 81
A30/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
25-26
15-15
17-23
29-27
20-22
26-16
22-16
26-27
21-33
23-22
15-17
22-16
20-15
24-13
26-20
13-28
22-15
20-10
13-20
20-18
20-25
15-22
19-24
19-22
18-35
21-25
17-26
17-27
16-17
18-23
24-32
21-19
13-28
29-21
16-19
14-29
28-29
24-23
15-21
167.8Avg total
79.7Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.787.9164.6-11.29%
Season at home (4)81.086.2167.2-5.225%
Season away (7)74.388.9163.1-14.60%
Last 10 (10)79.788.1167.8-8.420%
Last 5 (5)76.897.0173.8-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.887.6164.3-10.88%
vs Similar (2)93.090.0183.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (16)89.680.8170.4+8.869%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 76
A05/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
74avg 76
A09/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
59avg 76
A12/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
72avg 76
A15/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 76
H17/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 76
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 76
A24/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 76
H27/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 76
A30/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
77avg 76
A03/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
26-23
17-17
19-17
14-13
12-25
20-13
28-23
14-17
19-13
12-22
19-23
15-13
24-23
13-17
19-20
25-18
16-25
21-18
12-12
16-15
29-20
22-28
22-11
19-19
12-24
21-26
20-20
16-31
16-21
22-10
22-26
18-19
23-12
18-21
24-18
17-15
13-17
21-21
29-15
153.5Avg total
77.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.181.5161.6-1.545%
Season at home (4)78.281.2159.5-3.050%
Season away (7)81.181.7162.9-0.643%
Last 10 (10)77.276.3153.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)80.077.8157.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar (9)80.478.6159.0+1.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)82.474.5156.8+7.968%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
Alba BerlinZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/11
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/11
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H10/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H12/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H19/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A23/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A30/11
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
39.8Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.844.388.1-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.844.089.8+1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)42.144.686.7-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.847.387.1-7.510%-
Last 5 (5)37.249.887.0-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.845.884.7-7.08%-
vs Similar (2)53.046.599.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (16)46.442.989.3+3.662%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A05/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A09/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A12/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A15/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H17/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A24/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H27/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A30/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
LKL
73.6Avg total
36.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.480.0+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.541.983.4-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)40.137.477.5+2.659%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.373.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.674.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (9)36.939.976.8-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.438.681.0+3.863%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.9
54.0%
53.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.9
30.5%
36.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.913.0
76.9%
77.4%13.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.1
54.0%
53.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.1
38.7%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws13.810.3
74.6%
77.4%10.3
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLLLLWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLLWWLLLW
#18
League position
#13
-11.6
Net rating
-0.1
103.3
Offensive rating
111.4
114.9
Defensive rating
111.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
22.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.5%
3-point %
38.7%
60.8%
Assist %
59.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 111.4Defence114.9 · 111.5Shooting50.7% · 55.6%3-point %30.5% · 38.7%Ball care22.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds36.1% · 27.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-102
26/11/23ALudwigsburg79-87
23/11/23AReal Madrid75-99
19/11/23HSyntainics MBC75-108
17/11/23APartizan74-89
15/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne68-73
12/11/23HBasketball Braunschweig92-64
10/11/23HPanathinaikos85-99
06/11/23ATubingen97-81
02/11/23AValencia71-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ALietkabelis80-68
30/11/23AOlimpia Milano83-70
27/11/23HNeptunas76-88
24/11/23AOlympiacos72-89
19/11/23HSiauliai89-74
17/11/23HBayern74-73
15/11/23APanathinaikos71-73
12/11/23ABC Wolves64-75
09/11/23AAnadolu Efes82-86 OT
05/11/23ARytas81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %9%25%0%
Points / game76.781.074.3
Allowed / game87.986.288.9
Point differential-11.2-5.2-14.6
Avg total164.6167.2163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%50%43%
Points / game80.178.281.1
Allowed / game81.581.281.7
Point differential-1.5-3.0-0.6
Avg total161.6159.5162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%90.276.0+14.2
2 Barcelona119282%84.277.1+7.1
3 Monaco117464%78.977.4+1.5
4 Virtus Bologna117464%83.081.7+1.3
5 Olympiacos116555%78.776.3+2.5
6 Baskonia116555%83.082.3+0.7
7 Fenerbahce116555%80.981.3-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv116555%84.786.2-1.5
9 Panathinaikos126650%81.779.8+1.9
10 Anadolu Efes126650%80.286.2-5.9
11 Partizan115645%87.587.0+0.5
12 Zalgiris Kaunas115645%80.181.5-1.5
13 Bayern115645%79.080.9-1.9
14 Valencia115645%73.976.9-3.0
15 Olimpia Milano114736%79.477.2+2.2
16 Crvena zvezda114736%82.080.1+1.9
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne112918%81.589.5-8.1
18 Alba Berlin111109%76.787.9-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1312142564
Zalgiris Kaunas208171762
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.