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Alba Berlin vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 66-86
10-24 20-21 16-24 20-17
Position#18
Record3-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game91.9
vs
Position#13
Record9-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game75.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas
17 Dec 2024
ABE66
ZAL86
05 Dec 2023
ABE64
ZAL62
07 Mar 2023
ABE63
ZAL66
03 Mar 2022
ABE82
ZAL74
29 Dec 2020
ABE71
ZAL74
04 Mar 2015
ABE80
ZAL72
29 Mar 2013
ABE77
ZAL55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
101avg 77
H12/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
88-115
88
115
-27
76avg 77
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
93-96
93
96
-3
85avg 77
A17/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 77
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
85-103
85
103
-18
80avg 77
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
60-74
60
74
-14
55avg 77
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
84avg 77
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 77
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
62avg 77
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
89avg 77
H12/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
24-32
26-22
23-15
27-28
17-34
14-34
30-19
33-22
17-29
16-19
27-26
22-23
33-32
13-24
16-19
16-32
20-20
20-25
29-26
13-17
4-23
23-14
20-20
26-18
22-20
20-23
10-17
18-34
19-21
25-24
18-21
16-21
20-14
17-27
14-18
28-30
18-21
18-23
26-17
178.8Avg total
84.2Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.591.9172.4-11.320%
Season at home (8)83.189.6172.8-6.525%
Season away (7)77.694.4172.0-16.914%
Last 10 (10)84.294.6178.8-10.420%
Last 5 (5)77.486.6164.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.490.1169.5-10.724%
vs Similar (7)73.175.3148.4-2.143%
vs Weaker (6)87.587.0174.5+0.517%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
65-72
65
72
-7
48avg 80
H15/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
101-46
101
46
+55
112avg 80
H17/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
71avg 80
H22/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 80
H28/11
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
101-64
101
64
+37
105avg 80
H01/12
LKL
Partizan
#12
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 80
A03/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
85-72
85
72
+13
73avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 80
H08/12
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
82avg 80
A12/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
93avg 80
H15/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
5-26
21-9
18-20
26-8
26-13
24-12
25-13
28-18
21-24
16-21
19-14
17-19
25-16
15-17
13-31
19-10
27-13
27-25
28-16
19-22
22-22
23-20
14-20
27-17
21-13
15-23
22-19
19-21
20-11
18-16
21-19
24-19
30-19
18-22
20-23
25-14
23-23
21-20
22-18
156.8Avg total
84.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.775.4152.1+1.360%
Season at home (8)75.672.5148.1+3.175%
Season away (7)77.978.7156.6-0.943%
Last 10 (10)84.572.3156.8+12.270%
Last 5 (5)84.876.2161.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.270.7143.8+2.567%
vs Similar (12)81.981.7163.6+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.071.4160.4+17.683%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Alba BerlinZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H12/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A17/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
17-40
17
40
-23
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H12/12
Euroleague
90.6Avg total
41.2Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.582.4-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.180.1-4.040%-
Last 30 away (15)39.844.984.7-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)41.249.490.6-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.880.6-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.245.683.9-7.418%-
vs Similar (7)36.738.375.0-1.657%-
vs Weaker (6)43.543.386.8+0.233%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H15/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H17/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H22/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/11
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H01/12
LKL
Partizan
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A03/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H05/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H08/12
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A12/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/12
LKL
79.0Avg total
44.5Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.378.1+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.332.174.5+10.287%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.581.8+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.534.579.0+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)46.036.282.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.334.371.7+3.067%-
vs Similar (12)42.738.581.2+4.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.235.278.3+8.075%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.9
55.6%
54.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.3
31.5%
36.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
78.0%15.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.3
50.6%
54.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.6
39.1%
36.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
78.0%14.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLWLLLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLWLWWL
#18
League position
#13
-13.6
Net rating
+18.3
104.6
Offensive rating
118.6
118.2
Defensive rating
100.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
21.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.5%
3-point %
39.1%
64.6%
Assist %
62.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 118.6Defence118.2 · 100.3Shooting52.6% · 54.3%3-point %31.5% · 39.1%Ball care21.1% · 15.5%Off. rebounds30.9% · 33.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HPartizan90-91
08/12/24ABamberg67-80
06/12/24AMonaco80-100
04/12/24AVirtus Bologna90-88 OT
01/12/24HLudwigsburg60-74
28/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-103
21/11/24AReal Madrid84-98
17/11/24AVechta93-96
14/11/24ABayern88-115
12/11/24HOlimpia Milano105-101 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HNeptunas91-75
12/12/24AReal Madrid92-83
08/12/24HRytas78-67
05/12/24HAnadolu Efes85-72
03/12/24APartizan78-84
01/12/24HJonava101-64
28/11/24HBaskonia70-83
22/11/24HPanathinaikos84-77
17/11/24HMazeikiai101-46
15/11/24HFenerbahce65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%25%14%
Points / game80.583.177.6
Allowed / game91.989.694.4
Point differential-11.3-6.5-16.9
Avg total172.4172.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %13%12%14%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game76.775.677.9
Allowed / game75.472.578.7
Point differential+1.3+3.1-0.9
Avg total152.1148.1156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1611569%87.280.5+6.7
2 Paris1611569%86.883.6+3.2
3 Bayern1610662%88.787.9+0.8
4 Fenerbahce1610662%77.979.1-1.2
5 Olympiacos159660%84.981.2+3.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas159660%76.775.4+1.3
7 Panathinaikos169756%85.283.2+2.0
8 Barcelona169756%86.384.9+1.4
9 Olimpia Milano169756%87.487.6-0.2
10 Crvena zvezda158753%84.782.0+2.7
11 Anadolu Efes158753%84.782.9+1.7
12 Partizan157847%81.680.9+0.7
13 Real Madrid167944%84.183.3+0.8
14 Baskonia167944%78.880.1-1.3
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne156940%82.685.7-3.1
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1641225%84.688.6-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna1531220%80.985.3-4.4
18 Alba Berlin1531220%80.591.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1020162066
Zalgiris Kaunas2421241786
← all games of the day
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